* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Prior Results IST RTD Networks
Survey
Document related concepts
Transcript
Using Social Networks Methodology to Evaluate Research & Development Programs Franco Malerba CESPRI Luigi Bocconi University & Nicholas S. Vonortas Center for International Science and Technology Policy and Department of Economics The George Washington University Joint AEA/CES Meetings Toronto, Canada October 27, 2005 PRIOR RESULTS ON IST-RTD NETWORKS Prior Results European IST RTD Networks The network of research collaborations has: A self-organizing structure, dominated by “hubs”, which are also key nodes in National research networks A scale-free architecture at the thematic levels Prior Results European IST RTD Networks European research is characterized by “small world” connectivity Strong tendency of scientists to cluster around national communities Strong tendency to cluster with research disciplines and within industrial sectors The funding structure has a strong influence on research co-operations Prior Results European IST RTD Networks As a result of the new Integrated Projects and Networks of Excellence: The density of links is higher The share of participants in the principal component is higher The average path length is lower Large firms and research institutes are more dominant as gate-keepers of collaboration Small companies are “crowded out” relative to FP5 Prior Results European IST RTD Networks The IST RTD network as a whole has “small world” characteristics - but this is not true for each and every one of its programmes FP6 is more likely than other research collaboration frameworks to: Connect universities and industry Connect different research themes Include new Member States Include key patent-holders Include SMEs CURRENT STUDY ON IST-RTD NETWORKS Towards an ERA for IST: Overall Objectives Develop and apply a quantitative analytical framework for the assessment of the characteristics and performance of networks supported by IST RTD in FP5 and FP6. Analyze knowledge and partnership networks in selected IST RTD domains, concentrating on network nature, topology, time evolution and effectiveness. Supplement quantitative information with some qualitative information, and inter-organizational networks with inter-personal networks Towards an ERA for IST: Evaluation Questions How do the characteristics of the IST-RTD partnership and knowledge networks compare with the characteristics of the global partnership and knowledge networks of IST-RTD companies and with the characteristics of the related global networks? How well are the companies participating in IST RTD programs positioned in the global partnership and knowledge networks? Towards an ERA for IST: Evaluation Questions How effective are IST-RTD networks as mechanisms for transmitting knowledge? Are the Integrated Projects (IPs) and the Networks of Excellence (NoEs) creating leading “knowledge hubs”? What makes these “knowledge hubs” effective? Towards an ERA for IST: Evaluation Questions To what extent does the prominent network status of certain IST RTD companies of clusters match the EU technological leadership in certain areas? Are the global networks of selected “hub” companies with extensive ICT supply chains represented in the FP6 IST RTD? Are the perceived national IST “knowledge hubs” well integrated into the FP6 network? IST-RTD Framework Programme 6 Selection of IST technology domains Patent examiners Matching of IPC codes with technological domains Field experts Matching of SIC codes with technological domains PARTNERSHIP NETWORK Ia EP-CESPRI patents/citations KNOWLEDGE NETWORKS (Ib, IIb, IIIb) INNET alliances PARTNERSHIP NETWORKS (IIa, IIIa) Towards an ERA for IST: Network Types IST-RTD partnership network IST-RTD knowledge network Global partnership network of IST-RTD project participants Global knowledge network of IST-RTD project participants Global partnership network akin to the E technology units Global knowledge network akin to the E technology units Towards an ERA for IST: Examined Programs FP6 Thematic Areas 1. Applied IST research addressing major societal and economic challenges 2. Communication, computing and software technologies 3. Components and micro-systems Strategic objectives eSafety of road and air transports eHealth Technology-enhanced learning and access to cultural heritage Towards a global dependability and security framework Networked business and governments eInclusion Applications and Services for the Mobile User and worker Cross-media content for leisure and entertainment GRID-based Systems and solving complex problems Improving Risk management Broadband for all Mobile and wireless systems beyond 3G Networked audiovisual systems and home platforms Open development platforms for software and services Embedded systems Pushing the limits of CMOS and preparing for post-CMOS Micro and nano-systems Advanced displays Optical, opto-electronic, photonic functional components Towards an ERA for IST: Examined Programs FP 5 Key Actions FP6 Thematic Areas 1. System and services for the citizen 1. Applied IST research addressing major societal and economic challenges 2. New method of wok and electronic commerce 2. Communication, computing and software technologies 4. Essential technologies and infrastructures 3. Components and micro-systems TA 1-2-3 FP6 Projects Not Selected 115 27,3 Selected 307 72,7 Not selected 27% Selected 73% TA 1-2-3 FP6 Participants Not selected 1340 21,8 Selected 4814 78,2 Not selected 22% Selected 78% Participants: counted once for every project they have participated in TA 1-2-3 FP6 By instrument (projects) 0,5 0,4 0,3 Not Selected 0,2 Selected 0,1 0 CA CA: Coordination Action IP: Integrated Project NoE: Network of Excellence IP NoE SSA STREP SSA: Specific Support Project STREP: Specific Targeted Research Project TA 1-2-3 FP6 Organization Type 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 Not Selected 0,15 Selected 0,1 0,05 0 HE HE: Higher Education IND: industry IND OTH REC: Research OTH: Other REC TA 1-2-3 FP6 SMEs and Large Enterprises Not Selected Large Company SME Selected Large Company SME 1032 21.15 260 21.17 3846 78.85 968 78.83 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 Not Selected Selected SME Large Company Correspondence between TAs, IPC and SIC Codes… Technology Classes: Patents Class description Class description 1 Electrical engineering 16 Chemical Engineering 2 Audiovisual technology 17 Surface Technology 3 Telecommunications 18 Materials Processing 4 Information Technology 19 Thermal Processes 5 Semiconductors 20 Environmental Technology 6 Optics 21 Machine Tools 7 Control Technology 22 Engines 8 Medical Technology 23 Mechanical Elements 9 Organic Chemistry 24 Handling 10 Polymers 25 Food Processing 11 Pharmaceutics 26 Transport 12 Biotechnology 27 Nuclear Engineering 13 Materials 28 Space Technology 14 Food Chemistry 29 Consumer Goods 15 Basic Materials Chemistry 30 Civil Engineering FP6 Patents/ Technological Classes 30 25 20 15 10 TA 3 TA 2 5 0 cla s s1 ss a l c TA 1 4 s7 s 10 cla s s 13 s cla 6 s 1 a l s c 9 s s1 cla s 22 s cla s 5 s2 cla s 8 s2 cla s cla SIC Codes: Alliances Class description 1311 Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas Plastics Materials, Synthetic Resins, and 2821 Nonvulcanizable Elastomers Biological Products, Except Diagnostic 2836 Substances Computer Peripheral Equipment, Not 3577 Elsewhere Classified 3571 Electronic Computers 3651 Household Audio and Video Equipment 3661 Telephone and Telegraph Apparatus Radio and Television Broadcasting and 3663 Communications Equipment 3674 Semiconductors and Related Devices 3679 Electronic Components, Not Elsewhere Classified 3714 Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories 3711 Motor Vehicles and Passenger Car Bodies 4512 Air Transportation, Scheduled 4812 Radiotelephone Communications 4813 Telephone Communications, Except Radiotelephone Class description 4841 Cable and Other Pay Television Services Communications Services, Not Elsewhere 4899 Classified 4911 Electric Services Computers and Computer Peripheral Equipment and Software Electronic Parts and Equipment, Not 5065 Elsewhere Classified 6794 Patent Owners and Lessors 7372 Prepackaged Software 5045 7375 Information Retrieval Services 7373 Computer Integrated Systems Design 7371 Computer Programming Services Computer Related Services, Not Elsewhere Classified 8731 Commercial Physical and Biological Research Commercial Economic, Sociological, and 8732 Educational Research 8742 Management Consulting Services 7379 13 28 11 28 21 35 36 7 35 7 36 71 5 36 1 61 36 6 36 3 74 36 7 37 9 14 37 1 45 1 1 48 2 12 48 1 48 3 4 48 1 99 49 1 50 1 4 50 5 6 67 5 9 73 4 7 73 2 7 73 5 7 73 3 7 73 1 7 87 9 3 87 1 3 87 2 42 FP6 Alliances / Relevant SIC 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% TA1 TA2 TA3 Cliques Vs. Stars Assumption about the structure of the affiliation network: clique vs. star Assumption about the role played by prime contractor: no specific role for participants - clique hp. vs. A participant serves as the coordinating agent - star hp. PC PC Clique vs. Star Both assumptions: rather strong and somewhat arbitrary Equally reasonable, they represent the upper and lower limits So we explore the main topological characteristics of the network under both assumptions Indicative Analysis: 3 subjects Subject 1: Identifying HUBs and their relative roles Hub definition • An organization is a hub in a specific network if it has many links and/or if it connects the otherwise unconnected parts of the network The above translates into high degree centrality and/or high betweeness centrality STYLIZED 3A PARTNERSHIP NETWORK This is a stylized model of Network 3a (Alliances) Give intuition behind the concept of a Partnership Hub A Hub is defined as a node exhibiting high value of betweenness and degree The node labelled “HUB 3a” is the designated Hub for this network. STYLIZED 3A PARTNERSHIP NETWORK Yellow nodes indicate organizations participanting in Framework Programme. STYLIZED 1A PARTNERSHIP NETWORK This is a stylized model of Network 1a (FP Participants) The blue node is the 3a network relevant Hub The yellow node represents the relevant Hub in the stylized 1a partnership network Links Between 1a Hubs and 3a Hubs Blue nodes are the 3a network Hubs Yellow nodes represent the 1a network Hubs 1a Hubs are strongly inter-connected and they are also connected with 3a Hubs 3a Hubs are NOT hubs in network 1a, BUT are gateways that connect FP organizations to the global network 1A FP6 (TA1) PARTNERSHIP NETWORK Blue nodes are the 3a network Hubs Red nodes are other 3a network participants within distance 1 from 3a Hubs Yellow nodes represent 1a network Hubs 1A FP6 (TA1) PARTNERSHIP NETWORK (no IP) This is the TA1 Network without the links related to IP The network is substantially different, with many isolated nodes and diminished complexity Subject 2: Effectiveness of KNOWLEDGE HUBs Effectiveness of Knowledge Hubs Hubs as knowledge depositories • Number of Patents • Number of Citations Received • Number of Highly Cited Patents Hubs at the cross-road of information and ideas • Degree Centrality • Betweeness Centrality Effectiveness of Knowledge Hubs: Hypothetical Example KH IIIa degree IIIb KH Ia OTHER Ia 0,12 0,1 0,08 0,06 highly cited patent 0,04 betweenness IIIb 0,02 0 patent citation/patent Effectiveness of Knowledge Hubs: Hypothetical Example • closely matches that of global KHs in terms of three variables (number of patents, network centralities); • lags seriously behind in terms of the remaining two variables that approximate the quality and the importance of their patent portfolios; the FP KHs seem to perform better in diffusing knowledge through their centrality roles in the networks than in creating powerful and influential portfolios of new ideas. Subject 3: Leadership Leadership Two different definitions of Leadership: • Technology Leadership: the role played by each organisation in the innovative process • Market leadership: the share of revenues in ICT among EU25 Technology Leadership Technology leadership is defined in terms of two concepts: • Niche overlap concerns the crowdedness of the technological area explored by organisations. Its measure is based on similarity of technological antecedents (i.e. co-citation). • Prestige deriving from the direct technological ties between actors (i.e. direct patent citations) Technology Leadership Four different kinds of actors: • Technology Leaders: a key source of knowledge spillovers for many other organizations in the industry. Their research activity is focused on the exploitation of opportunities in relatively mature and therefore highly crowded fields • Technology Brokers: sources of knowledge in relatively new and unexplored fields Technology Leadership • Technology Followers: they do not contribute significant spillovers to other organizations and engage into relatively mature and crowded technological subfields • Isolate Organisations: they do not receive direct citations from many other organizations and are exploring relatively untapped technological subfields. Technology Leadership: Hypothetical Example 0.1 0.08 Technology leaders 0.06 0.04 Prestige 0.02 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -0.02 -0.04 EU-Non FP EU-FP KH EU-FP Non KH Global KH Average prestige Average alfa -0.06 Technology isolates -0.08 -0.1 Crowding 10 Technology Leadership: Hypothetical Example This analysis might suggest: • The number of identified leaders and brokers that participate in the Framework Programme • The number (and identity) of those who not only participate but they can also be characterized as Partnership HUBs in the Framework Programme.