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Experimental Design and Statistics Scientific Method 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Hypothesis building • Null hypothesis (H0) presumes _______________ between the D.V. and I.V. – The null hypothesis is always assumed _____________ until data show otherwise. – If the data fail to support the null hypothesis the null hypothesis is _________________. • Alternative hypothesis (H1) presumes that the null hypothesis is ______________. – If data fail to support the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis has been ____________. Probability • Statistical tests report the probability that the results of the study are due to chance, reported as a ______________. • The acceptable probability of results being due to chance is known as . • is often set at ____%, meaning that p = _____ is an acceptable risk of the results being due to chance. • Therefore, if p < ________, we will: - • ( may also be commonly set at ____%.) Rejection Errors • Type I error – _____________ a null hypothesis that is ___________. – This incorrectly supports the prediction. (False positive) – Occurs when is too liberal. • Type II error – _____________ a null hypothesis that is __________. – This incorrectly rejects the prediction. (False negative) – Occurs when is too restrictive. Experimental Method • Variable – any characteristic that can change over time or across situations. • Independent variable – the variable that is • Dependent variable – the variable that is Experimental design • Between-groups design (independent group design) – Each group represents a ___________________ – Only the _________ varies between each group. – Requires __________________ of subjects to each group to assure similarity of groups at the beginning of the experiment. – Used when: Experimental design • Within-subjects design (dependent group design) – Each subject is exposed to ______________ • Subjects serve as _____________. – Requires: – ____________ powerful than independent group design, because: Experimental design • Complex design – Two or more independent variables are studied simultaneously. Normal distribution • Normal frequency distribution is shown as: • A large sample (30+) usually provides a normal distribution. • Skewness and kurtosis (provided by Excel) can be used to check for normality in a small sample. If these scores are within __________, parametric statistical tests may be used. Statistical tests – Single sample design • Single sample z-test – 1 sample group – Experiment meets the following assumptions: • • • • Data are interval or ratio Data are normally distributed Population mean is known Population standard deviation is known Statistical tests – Single sample design • Single sample t-test – 1 sample group – Experiment meets the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed • Population mean is known Statistical tests – Independent groups design • Independent t-test – 2 groups (different groups; each exposed to a single condition of the I.V.) – Experiment meets the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed • Variances are equal between groups (a.k.a. Homogeneity of variance). Statistical tests – Independent groups design • Mann-Whitney U test – 2 groups – Experiment breaks one of the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed • Variances are equal between groups (a.k.a. Homogeneity of variance). Statistical tests – Independent groups design • Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) test – 3 or more groups – Experiment meets the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed • Variances are equal between groups (a.k.a. Homogeneity of variance). Statistical tests – Independent groups design • Kruskal-Wallis test – 3 or more groups – Experiment breaks one of the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed • Variances are equal between groups (a.k.a. Homogeneity of variance). Statistical tests – Dependent groups design • Paired (correlated) t-test – 2 groups (same subjects; each exposed to 2 different conditions of the I.V.) – Experiment meets the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed Statistical tests – Dependent groups design • Wilcoxon test – 2 groups – Experiment breaks one of the following assumptions: • Data are interval or ratio • Data are normally distributed Parametric vs. Nonparametric tests • Parametric tests are most powerful. • Require normal distribution and interval or ratio data. • Includes: – Independent t-tests – Dependent t-tests – ANOVA • Nonparametric tests are less powerful. • Used when assumptions are extremely violated or with nominal or ordinal data. • Includes: – Mann-Whitney U – Wilcoxon – Kruskal-Wallis Parametric vs. Nonparametric tests • Fundamental rule for choosing tests: Choose the most powerful test possible!