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Chapter 6.1: Continuous Distributions and Continuous Random Variables Chris Morgan, MATH G160 [email protected] February 22, 2012 Lecture 17 1 Continuous Random Variables So far we have only discussed random variables that can take on only discrete values. –Remember discrete values are values that are countable. But these distributions do not describe all situations that we encounter in the real world. So there is another important class of distributions that describe variables that can be measured but are not countable. 3 Continuous Random Variables Examples: - Measurements like height, weight, or diameter of any object or person. - Time - Distance These types of random variables take on values in an interval so they are called continuous random variables. We can have an inclusive interval – [ , ] – or an exclusive interval denoted by – ( , ). 4 Continuous Random Variables A random variable X is called continuous if there is a function f(x), called the probability density function (PDF) of X, such that: a) f(x) ≥ 0 or all real numbers x b) f ( x)dx 1 i. Because of this, we cannot find P(X=x) because the integral would cancel out and give 0. ii. P(X=x) = 0 c) The probability that X takes on a value between a and b (a< b) is given by: b P(a X b) f ( x)dx a 5 Probability Density Function • Abbreviated PDF • Sometimes called Probability Distribution Function • A function that describes the density of probability at an interval. • The probability is found by taking an integral of the density function over the given interval. • f(x) denotes we are using a PDF 6 Probability Density Function 7 Cumulative Density Function • Abbreviated CDF • The cumulative distribution function is the integral of the PDF: CDF F ( x) f ( x)dx • This is a simple way of finding probabilities –If you already have the CDF, then you do not need to integrate to find the probability. 8 Cumulative Density Function 9 PDF/CDF Example Let X be a continuous RV with PDF: cx 0 x 4 f ( x) 0 otherwise a) Find the value of the constant c: 2 cx 4 0 (cx)dx 1 2 |0 c 2 1 c * 8 1 4 2 4 So: c = 1/8 10 PDF/CDF Example b. Draw a sketch of the PDF: 11 PDF/CDF Example Find the CDF: 2 x x F ( X ) dx 8 16 0 x0 1 2 f ( x) x 0 x 4 16 x 4 1 12 PDF/CDF Example d. Draw a sketch of the CDF: 13 PDF/CDF Example e. Compute P(2 < X ≤ 5) using both the PDF and the CDF: PDF: P(2 X 5) 4 2 2 2 2 x x 4 4 2 3 dx |2 8 16 16 16 4 CDF: 42 22 3 P(2 X 5) F (4) F (2) 16 16 4 14 Expected Value and Variance E( X ) x * f ( x)dx E ( X ) x 2 * f ( x)dx 2 Var( X ) E ( X 2 ) [ E ( X )]2 15 Expectation/Variance Example Suppose we are given the following PDF: 1 x 0 x4 f ( x) 8 otherwise 0 We have already found the CDF: 0 x0 1 2 f ( x) x 0 x 4 16 x 4 1 16 Expectation/Variance Example Find the expected value of X: E( X ) 4 0 x x 3 4 43 x dx | 2.6667 8 24 0 24 Find the variance of X: E( X 2 ) 4 0 4 4 4 x x 4 x 2 dx | 8 8 24 0 24 2 8 8 Var ( X ) E ( X ) [ E ( X )] 8 9 3 2 2 17