Download Statistics Sample Test Solution Chapter 6: Normal Probability

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Foundations of statistics wikipedia , lookup

Bootstrapping (statistics) wikipedia , lookup

History of statistics wikipedia , lookup

Taylor's law wikipedia , lookup

Regression toward the mean wikipedia , lookup

Student's t-test wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
Statistics Sample Test Solution
Chapter 6: Normal Probability Distributions
1. What percent of normally distributed data value lie within 2 standard deviations to either
side of the mean?
About 95%
Or: Answer: P (-2 < z < 2) = P (2) – P (-2) = 0.9772 – 0.0228 = 0.9544 or 95.44%
2. For a continuous random variable, the probability of a single value of x is always 0
3. The parameters of normal distribution are  and  .
4. What are the values of mean and the standard deviation for the standard normal
distribution?
  0 and   1
5. Find the value of z for a standard normal distribution, such that the area in the left tail is
0.05
z = –1.645
6. Find the value of z for a standard normal distribution, such that the area in the right tail is
0.1
1 – 0.1 = 0.9 (cumulative area from the left)
1.28 < z < 1.29
z = 1.285
1
7. Find the following probability: P(z > –0.82)
1 – 0.2061
0.7939
8. The z-value for μ of normal distribution curve is always 0
9. Usually the normal distribution is used as an approximation to binomial distribution when
np>5, and nq≥5
10. Three out of eight drinkers acquire the habit by age 20. If 300 drinkers are randomly
selected, using normal approximation to the binomial distribution, find the probability
that:
Given: n = 300, p = 3/8 (0.375), q = 1 – p = 0.625
a. Exactly 100 acquire the habit by age 20
P(x = 100) = P( 99.5 < x < 100.5)
z = x – μ / σ, μ = np = 300 x 0.375 = 112.5,
σ2 = npq = 70.3125  σ = 8.3853
z 1 = 99.5 – (300 x 0.375) / √(300 x 0.375 x 0.625)
z1 = 99.5 – 112.5 / 8.3853 = -1.5503 ≈-1.55
z2 = 100.5 – 112.5 / 8.3853 = -12 / 8.3853 = -1.4311 ≈ -1.43
P(-1.5503 < z < -1.4311) = 0.0764 – 0.0606 = 0.0158
b. At least 125 acquired the habit by age 20
P(x ≥ 125) = P(x > 124.5)
z = (124.5 – 112.5) / 8.3853 = 1.4311
P(z > 1.4311) = 1 – 0.9236 = 0.0764
c. At most 165 acquired the habit by age 20
P(x≤165) = P(x < 165.5)
2
z = (165.5 – 112.5) / 8.3853 = 6.3206
above 3.5 in the Z-table
P(z < 6.3206) = 0.9999
11. IQ scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.
a. What percentage of people has an IQ score above 120?
Given: normal distribution, μ = 100 σ = 15
P(x > 120)
z = x – μ /σ = (120 – 100) / 15 = 1.33
= P(z > 1.33) = 1 – 0.9082 = 0.0918, 9.18%
b. What is the maximum IQ score for the bottom 30%?
need to find x when area under the curve corresponds to 0.3
x = zσ + μ
-0.53 < z < -0.52
x = (-0.525 x 15) + 100 = x = 92.125
maximum IQ score for the bottom 30% is 92.125
12. Men have head breaths that are normally distributed with a mean of 6.0 in and a standard
deviation of 1.0 in.
3
a. If a man is randomly selected, find the probability that his head breadth is less than 6.2 in.
given: normal distribution, n = 1, : μ = 6.0 in., σ = 1.0 in.
P( x < 6.2)
z = x – μ / σ = z = (6.2 – 6.0)/1 = 0.2
Answer: P (x < 6.2) = P (z < 0.2) = 0.5793
b. If 100 men are randomly selected, find the probability that their head breadth mean
is less than 6.2 in.
Answer: Given:n = 100
x    6.0in
 x   / n = 1.0/√
= 0.1
z = (6.2 – 6.0)/0.1 = 2
P ( x < 6.2) = P (z < 2) = 0.9772
4
13. Find the area of the shaded region. The graph depicts the standard normal distribution of
bone density scores with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.
Answer: p ( Z > − 0.93) = 0.8238
14. Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Those test scores
are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Find the
probability that a given score is between −2.13 and 3.77 and draw a sketch of the region.
Answer: p (− 2.13 < Z < 3.77) = 0.9833
15. Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Bone density test
scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Draw a
graph and find P19, the 19th percentile. This is the bone density score separating the
bottom 19% from the top 81 %.
Answer:
Answer:
5
16. Find the area of the shaded region. The graph to the right depicts IQ scores of adults, and
those scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.
̅
(
)
̅
(
)
Or 0.3281
17. The assets (in billions of dollars) of the four wealthiest people in a particular country are
33, 29, 16, 11. Assume that samples of size n =2 are randomly selected with replacement
from this population of four values.
a. After identifying the 16 different possible samples and finding the mean of each sample,
construct a table representing the sampling distribution of the sample mean. In thetable,
values of the sample mean that are the same have been combined.
6
Answer:
Sample 33,33 33,29 33, 33,11 29,33 29,29 29,16 29,11 Continue
16
33
31
24.5 22
31
29
22.5 20
…
̅
̅̅̅̅̅
1/16 1/16 1/16 1/16 1/16 1/16 1/16 1/16 …
( )
b. Compare the mean of the population to the mean of the sampling distribution of the
sample mean.
Answer:
c. Do the sample means target the value of the populationmean? Ingeneral, do sample
means make good estimates of population means? Why or whynot?
Answer:
18. The population of current statistics students has ages with mean μ and standard deviation
σ. Samples of statistics students are randomly selected so that there are exactly 44
students in each sample. For each sample, the mean age is computed. What does the
central limit theorem tell us about the distribution of those mean ages?
Answer:
7
√
√
19. A boat capsized and sank in a lake. Based on an assumption of a mean weight of 137 lb.,
the boat was rated to carry 50 passengers(so the load limit was 6,850 lb.). After the boat
sank, the assumed mean weight for similar boats was changed from 137 lb. to 170 lb.
a. Assume that a similar boat is loaded with 50 passengers, and assume that the weights of
people are normally distributed with a mean of 174.1 lb. and a standard deviation of 35.1
lb. Find the probability that the boat is overloaded because the 50 passengers have a
mean weight greater than 137 lb.
Given: n = 50, μ = 174.1 σ = 35.1
P( ̅ ≥ 137) = P (z > – 7.474) =1
̅
√
√
– 7.471
Answer: 1.0000.
b. The boat was later rated to carry only 15 passengers, and the load limit was changed to
2,550 lb. Find the probability that the boat is overloaded because the mean weight of the
passengers is greater than 170 (so that their total weight is greater than the maximum
capacity of 2,550 lb).
Given: n = 15, μ = 174.1 σ = 35.1
P( ̅ ≥ 170) =
̅
√
√
P( ̅ ≥ 170) = P (z > – 0.4524) =0.6736 or 0.6772
8
Technology Answer: 0.6745.
c. Do the new ratings appear to be safe when the boat is loaded with 15 passengers?
Answer: Because there is a high probability of overloading, the new ratings do not
appear to be safe when the boat is loaded with 15 passengers.
9