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Transcript
NETWORK EVOLUTION IN
COMING 10 YEARS: HOW WE
WILL COMMUNICATE
Achmad Rully
4th Oct 2014 - Ph.D Academy
Nakazato Lab, GITS
Waseda University
CONTENT
2014/10/4
Observing History of Communication
 Predicting the Future of Population
 Progress in species communication
 Conclusion

Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?
2
OBSERVING
HISTORY OF COMMUNICATION
Pre-historic or early humans

Face-to-face communication
Ancient history
(year 3000 BC/BCE until year 1500 AD/CE)
Face-to-face communication
 Primitive written communication (ex: using stone)
 Cryptography


Modern history (from 1500 AD/CE)
Face-to-face communication
 Written communication (ex: letter)
 Cryptography


Late modern history (after telephone & network)

Plus: Communication through machine (later: smart
machine)
Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?

2014/10/4

3
OBSERVING
HISTORY OF COMMUNICATION
2014/10/4

What we learnt:
Species do communicate, not only human, but also
animal even machine (primitive or smart one)
 Population growth of some species will have effect on
growth of communication volume
 Eventually population growth in machine will force
enhancement of communication
Human ability to communicate (to human or to
machine) limited to:

 Gesture/Body
 Hand/s
language
Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?

(Writing, Typing)
 Voice
 Brainwave
4
PREDICTING THE FUTURE OF POPULATION
2014/10/4
A 2013 Survey report “a third of the world’s
population will own and use a smartphone by the
end of 2017”
 Our
Prediction:

Smart Machine:
Machine that have
ability to communicate
with others
intelligently
Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?
Smart Machine’s
population
5
NETWORK, FROM HUMAN’S TOOL
TO MACHINE’S TOOL
Content Centric Network (CCN)

Internet of Thing (IoT)



From more human readable form (DNS, HREF address)
To more machine readable form
From H2H through H2M (using email, VoIP, video conference)
To growth of IoT protocols for wide array of machines type, to
(maybe) standardize machine communication protocol in layer
7
BigData
From Business Intelligence (BI) providing helpful historical
data
 To BigData (big analytic machines communicating with a lot
of small machines which provides variety high speed
voluminous data) providing future prediction


Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?


2014/10/4

Cryptography


From ‘humanly impossible’ (super computer)
To ‘machinely impossible’ (quantum computer)
6
CONCLUSION
Smart Machines will outnumber
Homo Sapiens (Humans) in 10 years
Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in
Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of
Network?
Communication volume of machine-to-machine
(M2M) will outnumber human-to-human (H2H)
 Research to facilitate M2M communication will
have more growth in 2024

2014/10/4

7
THANK YOU
Ph.D Academy
Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the
Future of Network?