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NETWORK EVOLUTION IN COMING 10 YEARS: HOW WE WILL COMMUNICATE Achmad Rully 4th Oct 2014 - Ph.D Academy Nakazato Lab, GITS Waseda University CONTENT 2014/10/4 Observing History of Communication Predicting the Future of Population Progress in species communication Conclusion Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? 2 OBSERVING HISTORY OF COMMUNICATION Pre-historic or early humans Face-to-face communication Ancient history (year 3000 BC/BCE until year 1500 AD/CE) Face-to-face communication Primitive written communication (ex: using stone) Cryptography Modern history (from 1500 AD/CE) Face-to-face communication Written communication (ex: letter) Cryptography Late modern history (after telephone & network) Plus: Communication through machine (later: smart machine) Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? 2014/10/4 3 OBSERVING HISTORY OF COMMUNICATION 2014/10/4 What we learnt: Species do communicate, not only human, but also animal even machine (primitive or smart one) Population growth of some species will have effect on growth of communication volume Eventually population growth in machine will force enhancement of communication Human ability to communicate (to human or to machine) limited to: Gesture/Body Hand/s language Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? (Writing, Typing) Voice Brainwave 4 PREDICTING THE FUTURE OF POPULATION 2014/10/4 A 2013 Survey report “a third of the world’s population will own and use a smartphone by the end of 2017” Our Prediction: Smart Machine: Machine that have ability to communicate with others intelligently Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? Smart Machine’s population 5 NETWORK, FROM HUMAN’S TOOL TO MACHINE’S TOOL Content Centric Network (CCN) Internet of Thing (IoT) From more human readable form (DNS, HREF address) To more machine readable form From H2H through H2M (using email, VoIP, video conference) To growth of IoT protocols for wide array of machines type, to (maybe) standardize machine communication protocol in layer 7 BigData From Business Intelligence (BI) providing helpful historical data To BigData (big analytic machines communicating with a lot of small machines which provides variety high speed voluminous data) providing future prediction Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? 2014/10/4 Cryptography From ‘humanly impossible’ (super computer) To ‘machinely impossible’ (quantum computer) 6 CONCLUSION Smart Machines will outnumber Homo Sapiens (Humans) in 10 years Ph.D Academy: Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network? Communication volume of machine-to-machine (M2M) will outnumber human-to-human (H2H) Research to facilitate M2M communication will have more growth in 2024 2014/10/4 7 THANK YOU Ph.D Academy Network Evolution in Coming 10 Years: What's the Future of Network?