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The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) “System Dynamics: Publication Metrics (2000-2005) ” Published work represents SD’s domain of influence. Where do SDers publish? What are the significant topics? What are the emerging SD publication trends? Web of Science 2000-2005 8,700 high impact research journals 935 System Dynamics Articles 35,920,686 documents “system dynamics AND (research OR simulation OR model*) and PY=(2000-2005)”. 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 1 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) SD “Relevant” Articles 935 SD Articles 302 SD “Relevant” Selection Process “System “System dynamics” as dynamics” key word? adjective & noun, or separated? 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Casual loop, References or stock and SD authors, flow e.g., diagrams Forrester, evident? Sterman? Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] Tools such as Vensim or Stella mentioned? 2 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) Publication Trend & Origin Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 SD Data Set 2 29Jul-2Aug 2007 43 40 41 51 56 71 Query Data Set 1 128 130 137 168 178 194 Country/Territory USA England Germany Canada Italy Taiwan Peoples R China Netherlands South Korea France Australia Japan Spain Poland Switzerland Greece India Scotland Russia Turkey Belgium Norway Austria Mexico Singapore Warren W. Tignor Record Count % of 936 360 38.50% 89 9.50% 76 8.10% 52 5.60% 44 4.70% 43 4.60% 40 4.30% 33 3.50% 32 3.40% 27 2.90% 26 2.80% 24 2.60% 21 2.20% 19 2.00% 17 1.80% 16 1.70% 16 1.70% 14 1.50% 13 1.40% 13 1.40% 12 1.30% 12 1.30% 11 1.20% 10 1.10% 10 1.10% SAIC [email protected] 3 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) Top 25 SD Relevant vs All SD Articles Topic Rank Order 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 # Topics 2000- % of 302 2005 records Specific SD Topics Management Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods Operations Research & Management Science Environmental Sciences Multidisciplinary Computer Science, Software Engineering Engineering, Industrial Software Engineering Engineering, Manufacturing Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications Business Ecology Economics Computer Science, Information Systems Information Systems Water Resources Engineering, Multidisciplinary Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary Construction & Building Technology Engineering, Electrical & Electronic Computer Science, Theory & Methods Automation & Control Systems Information Science & Library Science Materials Science, Multidisciplinary Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence 119 68 48 22 22 20 21 20 18 17 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 7 7 6 5 5 5 4 39.40% 22.52% 15.89% 7.28% 7.28% 6.62% 6.95% 6.62% 5.96% 5.63% 3.97% 3.64% 3.64% 3.31% 3.31% 3.31% 2.98% 2.98% 2.32% 2.32% 1.99% 1.66% 1.66% 1.66% 1.32% All SD Topics Management Engineering, Electrical & Electronic Engineering, Mechanical Automation & Control Systems Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods Operations Research & Management Science Mechanics Mathematics, Applied Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications Ecology Engineering, Civil Engineering, Manufacturing Environmental Sciences Physics, Mathematical Instruments & Instrumentation Computer Science, Software Engineering Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence Physics, Multidisciplinary Engineering, Industrial Computer Science, Theory & Methods Engineering, Chemical Physics, Atomic, Molecular & Chemical Water Resources Engineering, Multidisciplinary Materials Science, Multidisciplinary # Topics 2000- % of 935 2005 records 125 114 84 72 69 64 62 49 48 43 36 36 36 32 31 29 25 24 23 20 20 20 20 19 19 13.40% 12.20% 9.00% 7.70% 7.40% 6.80% 6.60% 5.20% 5.10% 4.60% 3.90% 3.90% 3.90% 3.40% 3.30% 3.10% 2.70% 2.60% 2.50% 2.10% 2.10% 2.10% 2.10% 2.00% 2.00% SD relevant Set 2 and Query results Set 1 (Shaded cells are Set 1 unique & Italics overlap Set 2 in top 50) 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 4 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) Top 26-50 SD Relevant vs All SD Articles Topic Rank Order 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 # Topics 2000Specific SD Topics 2005 Energy & Fuels 3 Engineering, Civil 3 Engineering, Environmental 3 Geosciences, Multidisciplinary 3 Marine & Freshwater Biology 3 Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences 3 Psychology, Multidisciplinary 3 Transportation 3 Transportation Science & Technology 3 Biology 2 Computer Science, Cybernetics 2 Education, Scientific Disciplines 2 Engineering, Chemical 2 Engineering, Mechanical 2 Environmental Studies 2 Forestry 2 Immunology 2 Infectious Diseases 2 Limnology 2 Planning And Development 2 Psychology, Experimental 2 Public Administration 2 Public, Environmental & Occu. Health 2 Social Work 2 Agriculture, Multidisciplinary 1 # Topics 2000All SD Topics 2005 Acoustics 18 Multidisciplinary Sciences 17 Economics 15 Engineering, Aerospace 15 Physics, Fluids & Plasmas 14 Computer Science, Hardware & Arch. 13 Computer Science, Information Systems 13 Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Apps. 13 Business 12 Energy & Fuels 12 Geosciences, Multidisciplinary 12 Optics 12 Biology 11 Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary 11 Telecommunications 11 Transportation Science & Technology 11 Marine & Freshwater Biology 10 Physics, Applied 10 Physics, Condensed Matter 9 Robotics 9 Construction & Building Technology 8 Engineering, Biomedical 8 Oceanography 8 Computer Science, Cybernetics 7 Geochemistry & Geophysics 7 SD relevant Set 2 and Query results Set 1 (Shaded cells are Set 1 unique & Italics overlap Set 2 in top 50) 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 5 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) SD Publication Profile ZOO BIOLOGY TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT System Dynamics Publication Profile PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION REVIEW ORGANIZATION SCIENCE MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTERS IN SIMULATION JOURNAL OF SOCIAL WORK EDUCATION JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REFRIGERATION-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DU FROID INTELLIGENT TUTORING SYSTEMS Publication HYDROBIOLOGIA EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS EMPIRICAL SOFTWARE ENGINEERING COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AQUATIC SCIENCES WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRONIC COMMERCE COMPUTERS IN HUMAN BEHAVIOR RISK ANALYSIS JOURNAL OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT-ASCE SYSTEM DYNAMICS REVIEW 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 # Occurrences 2000-2005 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 6 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) 1-81 SD Publishers used 2000-2005 Count 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Publication SYSTEM DYNAMICS REVIEW JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SYSTEMS RESEARCH AND BEHAVIORAL SCIENCE ECOLOGICAL MODELLING INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION ECONOMICS ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS JOURNAL OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENTASCE JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS AND SOFTWARE COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE - ICCS 2003, PT II, PROCEEDINGS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC ISSUES JOURNAL OF MATERIALS PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY RISK ANALYSIS SIMULATION MODELLING PRACTICE AND THEORY SYSTEMIC PRACTICE AND ACTION RESEARCH AUTOMATION IN CONSTRUCTION CALIFORNIA MANAGEMENT REVIEW CANADIAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING COMPUTER AIDED SYSTEMS THEORY - EUROCAST 2003 COMPUTERS IN HUMAN BEHAVIOR CONCURRENT ENGINEERING-RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS ENERGY POLICY HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT INFORMATION AND SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGY INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRONIC COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OPERATIONS & PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION JOURNAL OF COMPUTING IN CIVIL ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT IN ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT SCIENCE NATURAL HAZARDS OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 29Jul-2Aug 2007 # 64 21 12 7 6 41 42 43 44 45 46 5 4 4 47 48 49 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 2 59 2 60 2 61 2 62 2 63 2 64 2 65 2 66 2 67 2 68 2 69 2 70 2 71 72 2 2 73 2 74 2 75 2 76 2 77 2 78 2 79 2 80 2 81 Warren W. Tignor SOFTWARE QUALITY JOURNAL STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT ACI MATERIALS JOURNAL ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCE QUARTERLY ADVANCES IN MATERIALS MANUFACTURING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY ADVANCES IN NEURAL NETWORKS - ISNN 2005, PT 2, PROCEEDINGS AIAA JOURNAL ANNALS OF ALLERGY ASTHMA & IMMUNOLOGY AQUATIC SCIENCES AUTOMATICA BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION BT TECHNOLOGY JOURNAL BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY CIRP ANNALS-MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY CLIMATIC CHANGE COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING COMPUTERS & OPERATIONS RESEARCH COMPUTERS AND ELECTRONICS IN AGRICULTURE CYBERNETICS AND SYSTEMS DECISION SCIENCES ELECTRONIC GOVERNMENT, PROCEEDINGS EMERGENCY MEDICINE JOURNAL EMPIRICAL SOFTWARE ENGINEERING ENERGY ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE ETHOS EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS FAMILIES IN SOCIETY-THE JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY HUMAN SERVICES FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT FUTURES GROUND WATER HEALTH POLICY HUMAN AND ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT HYDROBIOLOGIA ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON EDUCATION INDUSTRIAL MARKETING MANAGEMENT SAIC [email protected] 7 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) 81-141 SD Publishers used 2000-2005 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 INFOR INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS RESEARCH INTELLIGENT TUTORING SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADAPTIVE CONTROL AND SIGNAL PROCESSING INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTER INTEGRATED MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING EDUCATION INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYGIENE AND ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING-THEORY APPLICATIONS AND PRACTICE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS C INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REFRIGERATION-REVUE INTERNATIONALE DU FROID INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOFTWARE ENGINEERING AND KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF STD & AIDS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION JOM-JOURNAL OF THE MINERALS METALS & MATERIALS SOCIETY JOURNAL OF COMPUTER INFORMATION SYSTEMS JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-CHINA JOURNAL OF FOOD ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SCREENING JOURNAL OF POLICY ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT JOURNAL OF POLICY MODELING JOURNAL OF PRODUCTIVITY ANALYSIS JOURNAL OF SOCIAL WORK EDUCATION JOURNAL OF SOFTWARE MAINTENANCE AND EVOLUTIONRESEARCH AND PRACTICE JOURNAL OF THE CHINESE INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERS JOURNAL OF TROPICAL FOREST SCIENCE JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENTASCE KNOWLEDGE-BASED INTELLIGNET INFORMATION AND ENGINEERING SYSTEMS, PT 2, PROCEEDINGS KYBERNETES MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTERS IN SIMULATION MEASUREMENT & CONTROL MEDICAL DECISION MAKING 29Jul-2Aug 2007 1 116 1 117 1 1 118 1 119 120 1 121 122 1 123 1 124 1 125 126 1 127 1 128 129 1 130 131 1 1 1 132 133 134 1 1 135 136 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 137 138 139 140 141 MEDICINE AND SCIENCE IN SPORTS AND EXERCISE MICAI 2000: ADVANCES IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, PROCEEDINGS NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY OR SPECTRUM ORGANIZATION SCIENCE PERIODICUM BIOLOGORUM PROCEEDINGS OF THE IEEE PROCEEDINGS OF THE INSTITUTION OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERS PART C-JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING SCIENCE PRODUCT FOCUSED SOFTWARE PROCESS IMPROVEMENT PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT PRODUCTION PLANNING & CONTROL PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION REVIEW QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH POLICY SIMULATION PRACTICE AND THEORY SIMULATION-TRANSACTIONS OF THE SOCIETY FOR MODELING AND SIMULATION INTERNATIONAL SOCIAL SCIENCE COMPUTER REVIEW SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT TOTAL QUALITY MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS EXCELLENCE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW WASTE MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH WATER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK ZOO BIOLOGY 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) Conclusions • Majority of SD relevant topics focus on Management, Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods, Operations Research & Management Science, and Environmental Sciences. • Emerging topics include Mechanical Engineering, Civil Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Energy & Fuels, Biology, Transportation Science & Technology, Marine & Freshwater Biology, and Computer Science, Cybernetics. • Majority of SD articles originate in western society, 39% from the USA and 10% from the UK. • There is publication representation from around the world, but plenty of room for others to assume a larger authorship role. • SD publishers of choice are a familiar few such as the System Dynamics Review, Journal of the Operational Research Society, and European Journal of Operations Research. • There is a publisher for almost any topic of interest, e.g., Annals of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology to Zoo Biology. 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 9 The 2007 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Boston) Next Steps • Need to continue to track the scope and breadth of the SD domain of influence. • Determine the robustness of the search query used herein. • Establish a set point for the date range of the data repository to control impact of new data entries on results. • Track publication date and the electronic availability date. 29Jul-2Aug 2007 Warren W. Tignor SAIC [email protected] 10