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BI Marketing Report Analyst inputDetails into report marketing Report Title Electricity in South Africa Report Subtitle Country profile of power sector, market trends and investment opportunities Report Code Publication Date February 2014 Report Type Energy Report Size Pages 39 Tables 12 Figures 13 Contact [email protected] BI Marketing Table ofinto Contents Analyst input report marketing BI Marketing List ofinputTables Analyst into report marketing BI Marketing Section 1:intoFront Page Lead Graphic and Quote Analyst input report marketing Eskom nominal installed capacity (MW) Eskom total installed capacity (MW) Figure 2: South Africa Eskom annual installed capacity (MW) 50,000 45,000 Table 2 shows figures for annual Eskom installed capacity, based on data published by the utility. The figures run from 2003 to 2013. In 2003 the utility’s total installed capacity was 42,011MW, but of this only 36,208MW was actually available to produce power for the grid, with the remainder either accounted for by Eskom’s auxiliary demand, or represented units that were either out of service or derated as a result of age. 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 0 2003 South Africa Eskom annual installed capacity (MW) Figure 2.2 BI Marketing Section 2:report Introduction, market background and USPs Analyst input into marketing South Africa, the southern-most country of the African continent, is the most developed nation in sub-Saharan Africa. The country holds one of the world’s largest reserves of coal, and recent surveys suggest that there may be abundant unconventional natural gas reserves too. The electricity sector, dominated by the state utility Eskom, is well developed, and has an extensive transmission and distribution network. Even so, only around 75% of the population have access to electricity. Lack of investment, in either generating capacity of the transmission and distribution infrastructure, during the decade after full democracy was established in 1994 - led to a shortage of power in middle of the first decade of the twentyfirst century, with blackouts and load shedding. Since then, the country has engaged in a massive electricity sector expansion programme - which expects to see generating capacity double by 2026. This will be achieved partly by expansion of the renewable energy sector, with both wind and solar power expected to contribute - so that by 2030 renewable sources could account for 40% of all generating capacity. In order to achieve this, the government is encouraging independent power producers, particularly in the renewable sector. The country is also planning a significant expansion of nuclear capacity to supplement its one operating nuclear plant. BI Marketing Section 3:report Key features of this report Analyst input into marketing • An overview of the electricity market in South Africa. • Power supply data covering production, imports and exports and the main production sources. • Power demand data by market sector and tariff data. • An overview of the structure of the electricity sector with government and private sector companies as well as the regulatory status. • Power demand forecasts and the development of the power sector to meet expected growth. • Transmission system expansion plans. BI Marketing Section 4:report Key benefits from reading this report Analyst input into marketing • What are the key energy resources in South Africa for power production. • How is the country overcoming the effects of power shortage? • What are the key developments in electricity infrastructure? • Who are the key players in market? • What are the investment opportunities in the country? BI Marketing Section 5:report Key Market Issues Analyst input into marketing This report is a Country Profile, covering:• • • • • • Power generation capacity by fuel input Electricity networks Current power market trends Generation growth Investment opportunities Future project plans BI Marketing Section 6:report Key findings of this report Analyst input into marketing 1. Oil reserves in South Africa are estimated to be 15m bbl. 2. Proven coal reserves were estimated to be 27.4bn tonnes. 3. There is a high solar potential in South Africa. Many areas of the country experience direct irradiance of over 7.0kWh/m2/d, and these areas are often conveniently located for the grid. 4. Capacity problems during the last decade were caused by lack of investment, and state utility Eskom is now being forced to introduce a programme of investment, as well as trying to attract IPPs, and to diversify with more renewable capacity. 5. The transmission and distribution system in South Africa is based on a primary backbone of 400kV AC lines, supplemented with short distances of 765kV. BI Marketing Section 7:report Key questions answered by this report Analyst input into marketing 1. How does South Africa generate its electricity? 2. What is the status of the national electricity market? 3. What are the key developments in electricity infrastructure? 4. Who are the key players in market? 5. What are the future prospects for investment in South Africa? BI Marketing Section 8:report Key areas covered by the report Analyst input into marketing Key products/categories profiled: Energy Electricity in South Africa – Country profile of power sector, market trends and investment opportunities Key regions/countries covered: Africa - South Africa BI Marketing Section 9:report Research methodology Analyst input into marketing Methodology: Secondary research This has been conducted by Paul Breeze – an energy specialist for 28 years. He has gathered together an unique set of studies and research papers. In all, the report cites up to 10 separate sources. BI Marketing Section 10: Author biography and contact details Analyst input into report marketing Name: Dr Paul Breeze Biography: Dr Paul Breeze has specialized in the electricity sector for the past 28 years. He is contributing editor for the monthly international magazine for the power industry, Modern Power Systems, and as freelance writer he has contributed to The Financial Times, The Guardian, The Daily Telegraph, The Observer and The Economist. In addition to the power sector, Paul Breeze’s interests include science and the computer industry.