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The Normal Distribution The Normal Distribution Distribution – any collection of scores, from either a sample or population Can be displayed in any form, but is usually represented as a histogram Normal Distribution – specific type of distribution that assumes a characteristic bell shape and is perfectly symmetrical The Normal Distribution Can provide us with information on likelihood of obtaining a given score 60 people scored a 6 – 60/350 = .17 = 17% 9 people scored a 1 – 3% The Normal Distribution Why is the Normal Distribution so important? Almost all statistical tests that we will be covering throughout the course assume that the population distribution, that our sample is drawn from (but for the variable we are looking at), is normally distributed Many variables that psychologists and health professionals look at are normally distributed The Normal Distribution Ordinate Density – what is measured on the ordinate Abscissa The Normal Distribution Mathematically defined as: 1 X 2 / 2 2 f (X ) (e) 2 Since and e are constants, we only have to determine μ (the population mean) and σ (the population standard deviation) to graph the mathematical function of any variable we are interested in No, this will not be on the test The Normal Distribution Using this formula, mathematicians have determined the probabilities of obtaining every score on a “standard normal distribution” To determine these probabilities for the variable you’re interested in we must plug in your variable to the formula Note: This assumes that your variable fits a normal distribution, if not, your results will be inaccurate The Normal Distribution However, your data probably doesn’t exactly fit a standard normal distribution μ = 0; σ = 1 How do you get your variable to fit? z X The Normal Distribution Z-Scores Range from +∞ to -∞ Distribution: μ = 0; σ = 1 Represent the number of standard deviations your score is from the mean i.e. z = +1 is a score that is 1 standard deviation above the mean and z = -3 is a score 3 standard deviations below the mean Normal Distribution Cutoff at +1.645 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 50 3. 00 3. 50 2. 00 2. 50 1. 00 1. 0 .5 00 0. 0 -.5 0 .0 -1 0 .5 -1 0 .0 -2 0 .5 -2 0 .0 -3 0 .5 -3 0 .0 -4 z Reminder: Z-Scores represent # of standard deviations from the mean For this distribution, if μ = 50 and σ = 10, what score does z = -3 represent? z = +2.5? The Normal Distribution What are the scores that lie in the middle 50% of a distribution of scores with μ = 50 and σ = 10? z = ± .67 = .2500 Solve for X using z-score formula Scores = 56.7 and 43.3 The Normal Distribution z X X 50 .67 10 X 50 .67(10) X 50 6.7 X 6.7 50 X 56.7 and 43.3 The Normal Distribution We can do the same thing for the middle 95% to identify the scores in the extreme 2.5% of the distribution z = 1.96 corresponds to p ≈ .025 Keep this in mind, we’ll come back to it later The Normal Distribution Other uses for z-scores: 1. Converting variables to a standard metric You took two exams, you got an 80 in Statistics and a 50 in Biology – you cannot say which one you did better in without knowing about the variability in scores in each If the class average in Stats was a 90 and the s = 15, what would we conclude about your score now? How is it different than just using the score itself? If the mean in Bio was a 30 and the s = 5, you did 4 s’ above the mean (a z-score of +4) or much better than everyone else The Normal Distribution Other uses for z-scores: 1. Converting variables to a standard metric This also allows us to compare two scores on different metrics 2. i.e. two tests scored out of 100 = same metric one test out of 50 vs. one out of 100 = two different metrics Is 20/50 better than 40/100? Is it better when compared to the class average? Allows for quick comparisons between a score and the rest of the distribution it is a part of The Normal Distribution Standard Scores – scores with a predetermined mean and standard deviation, i.e. a z-score Why convert to standard scores? You can compare performance on two different tests with two different metrics You can easily compute Percentile ranks but they are population-relative!