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Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? There is a commonly-held belief that it is more difficult for the Elderly than for the Young to learn and remember new material. It is possible that the Elderly have a reduced capacity to recall or retain learnt information, but there are alternative explanations that relate to the way in which they learn. For example the Elderly may use fewer, or less suitable, strategies for memorising the material, or they may be over-confident in their own abilities and so devote insufficient time to learning the material. 1 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In order to investigate spatial memory, a study was carried out on two groups of people, designated as Young (20-25) and Elderly (over 65). The trick is to see if you can answer the questions posed and write your conclusions in plain English? 2 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the study, 18 labelled objects were arranged randomly on a 10 x 10 grid. 3 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Thirteen Young and fourteen Elderly subjects were allowed to examine the positions of the objects for as long as they liked and were subsequently asked to recall these positions by replacing the objects on the grid. Their study times and two measures of recall performance were recorded. 4 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The main objective is to compare the age groups. agegroup Age group, defined as 1 = Elderly or 2 = Young. subject Identification number for each subject within the age groups. ncorrect Number of objects correctly replaced (out of 18). pccorrect Percentage of objects correctly replaced. cityblock City block score – a measurement of the errors between the target and actual positions. time Study time – the time each individual spent examining the positions of the object. 5 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The city block score, attempts to account for near misses by measuring the distances (in “city blocks”, i.e. horizontal and vertical steps across the grid) between the actual and replaced positions, and totalling these over the 18 objects. Skip to second lecture Skip to first test Skip to third lecture Skip to fourth lecture 6 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The main objective is to compare the age groups. One particular topic that might arise here is the risk of confounding in the two group study because any differences seen between the Young and Elderly might be due not to their age differences but to difference(s) in some other variable(s). 7 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In this study the groups were, in fact, generally balanced in terms of sex ratio, IQ and educational experience, but this does not preclude the possibility that further, unsuspected, differences are present. Additionally, some people naturally tend to process information verbally, while others process information spatially or visually. Thus, a person who processes information verbally may score poorly in the spatial memory test although (s)he may have a generally good memory. 8 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We are going to use some basic graphs to explore the data, particularly to compare the results of the Elderly and Young groups. We shall first look at boxplots. 9 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What can you tell about the scores achieved by the two age groups? To what extent do the scores for the two groups overlap? Comment on the median scores and the variation in scores within each group. 10 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Boxplot 11 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Simple > Define 12 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? ncorrect for the variables and agegroup for the Category Axis 13 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Question - What can you tell about the scores achieved by the two age groups? To what extent do the scores for the two groups overlap? Comment on the median scores and the variation in scores within each group. 14 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - On the whole Elderly subjects got fewer correct than the Young, with scores for the Elderly group overlapping the lowest quartile of scores achieved by Young subjects. Although scores for the Elderly were typically lower, the lowest scores achieved in each group were the same. One person, case number 5, in the Elderly group has been identified as an outlier. The scores for the Young were more spread out and most were over 10. 15 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What do the boxplots tell you about the differences between the age groups in their city block scores? Remember that the city block score measures the errors made in positioning objects on the grid. Look at the medians, the Inter Quartile Ranges (IQR) and comment on the degree of overlap. Does the diagram show any outliers? 16 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? cityblock for the variables and agegroup for the Category Axis Question - What do the boxplots tell you about the differences between the age groups in their city block scores? Look at the medians, the Inter Quartile Ranges (IQR) and comment on the degree of overlap. Does the diagram show any outliers? 17 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The median city block score is approximately 12 for the Young subjects and 27 for the Elderly. This means that generally the Young subjects were more accurate in placing the objects than the Elderly. The upper quartile for the Young subjects is about the same as the lower quartile for the Elderly subjects. This means that three quarters of Young subjects have city block scores similar to those of the lowest scoring (most accurate) quarter of the Elderly subjects. The IQR is similar for both groups and neither group has any outliers. 18 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Now use boxplots to compare the study times of the two groups and comment on the results. Look at the same features as in the last two questions and also comment on the shape of each graph. 19 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? time for the Variables and agegroup for the Category Axis Question - Now use boxplots to compare the study times of the two groups and comment on the results. Look at the same features as in the last two questions and also comment on the shape of each graph. 20 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Almost all of the Elderly subjects spent much less time on the task than Young subjects. The median study times are 42.5 seconds for Elderly subjects and 95 seconds for Young subjects. Both groups have a slight positive skew. Two Elderly subjects are shown as outliers as the result of taking longer than other subjects in the same group. 21 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - From the evidence above do you think that city block score or number correct is better as a measurement of memory? 22 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The number correct is a crude, but easy way of measuring spatial memory; it does not allow for “near-misses”. Comparing, for example, the two sets of boxplots, we see that comparing the Elderly and Young, the former do not get many repositions absolutely right. However, in the city block scores, although the Young group are generally better, some of the Elderly do just as well and some of the Young are just as poor as the Elderly. City block score seems to be a better method. 23 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the next few questions we will look at some alternatives to the boxplots used above, to see whether other diagrams can be equally successful as a tool for showing the differences between groups. First try using stem and leaf plots. 24 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What are the differences between the age groups in the number of correctly placed objects? How well do the diagrams allow you to make comparisons between the groups of subjects? 25 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore 26 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect for the Dependent List box Select agegroup for the Factor List 27 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Question - What are the differences between the age groups in the number of correctly placed objects? How well do the diagrams allow you to make comparisons between the groups of subjects? number correct Stem-and-Leaf Plot for agegroup= Elderly Frequency Stem & Leaf 2*6 1.00 Extremes (=<5.0) 2*7 2.00 6 . 00 7*8 2.00 7 . 00 2*9 7.00 8 . 0000000 2.00 9 . 00 Stem width: 1 Each leaf: 1 case(s) number correct Stem-and-Leaf Plot for agegroup= Young Frequency Stem & Leaf 5,7,9,9 .00 0. 10,11,11,12,13,14,14,14 4.00 0 . 5799 16 8.00 1 . 01123444 1.00 1. 6 Stem width: 10 Each leaf: 1 case(s) 28 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - This is not a particularly helpful way to draw the data here as the diagrams for the two groups are not displayed side by side as they were in the boxplots. Also the ‘leaf’ for the Elderly consists of one unit where as each ‘leaf’ for the Young subjects covers 5 units. The boxplot shown below the stem and leaf diagram (and constructed earlier) is much clearer . 29 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Barcharts are helpful when we have discrete variables with not too many values. 30 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the distribution of the number of correctly replaced objects. What do you notice about the horizontal axis? 31 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Bar 32 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Simple > Define 33 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect for the Category Axis and click on % of cases 34 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Question Describe the distribution of the number of correctly replaced objects. What do you notice about the horizontal axis? 35 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - There were 18 objects to be correctly replaced on the grid; the highest score was 16 and the lowest 5. The most frequent number of objects replaced correctly (the mode) is 8. Only 9 of the 27 subjects, i.e. one third, replaced more than half correctly. The horizontal axis is in order but not drawn to scale – individual values are treated as categories, so that 14 and 16 are shown as adjacent values. 36 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? A variation of this can help us to see the differences between the Elderly and Young groups. Question - What does this tell you about the distribution of the number correct in the two groups? 37 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select Barchart as before then Stacked > Define 38 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect for the Category Axis and agegroup for the box labelled and Define Stacks by Under Bars Represent select % of cases 39 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Question - What does this tell you about the distribution of the number correct in the two groups? 40 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - All of those with more than half right were in the Young group. Scores for this group range from 5 to 16. The Elderly group’s scores range from 5 to 9, with half of the group scoring 8 correct. The stacked Barchart shows clearly that the Young are more successful than the Elderly in replacing the objects correctly. 41 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the same way, draw barcharts for city block score for the two age groups. Be careful to check how different scores and times are shown on the x-axis. 42 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the same way, draw barcharts for study time stacked for the two age groups. Be careful to check how different scores and times are shown on the x-axis. 43 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Are these barcharts a good way of showing the differences between the age groups in city block scores and study times? 44 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Not really, as there are blocks for each value that may not be evenly spaced. Also the default graphs have rather too many bars. The graphs show that the Elderly generally take shorter study times than the Young but that their city block scores are generally poorer. 45 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Histograms are used to represent the frequency distributions of continuous variables. 46 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Are study time or city block scores continuous variables? 47 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Time is usually regarded as a continuous variable. The city block score, being the sum of blocks in horizontal and vertical directions is a discrete variable. 48 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question – How easy is it to compare the distribution of study time between the Young and Elderly groups? What is the main problem? 49 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore 50 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select time for the Dependent List box and age group for the Factor Listbox Under Display, select Plots 51 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on the Plots button De-select Stem and Leaf and select Histogram 52 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally - Question – How easy is it to compare the distribution of time between the Young and Elderly groups? What is the main problem? 53 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Making comparisons is not easy as you have to keep looking backwards and forwards between two diagrams. The biggest problem is that the diagrams use different scales and this makes comparisons very difficult. 54 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The purpose of this experiment was to see if there is a difference in the spatial memories of the two Age groups. We shall first look at the summary statistics, measures of location (mean and median) and dispersion (standard deviation, range and inter-quartile range) of the times taken to study the grid for each of the age groups in order to compare them. 55 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore as before Select time for the Dependent Listbox Select age group for the Factor Listbox Under Display choose Both 56 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The descriptive statistics. Descriptives Study time Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the average times they took to study the grid. Age group Elderly Young Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Lower Bound Upper Bound Lower Bound Upper Bound Statis tic 50.71 37.71 Std. Error 6.019 63.72 49.40 42.50 507.143 22.520 25 100 75 25 1.235 .639 98.85 80.92 .597 1.154 8.227 116.77 98.72 95.00 879.808 29.662 55 145 90 50 .074 -.908 .616 1.191 57 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The boxplot Question Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the average times they took to study the grid. 58 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the average times they took to study the grid. Age group Elderly Young Statistic Mean 50.71 Median 42.50 Mean 98.85 Median 95.00 59 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The mean and median values of the study times of the Young group (98.85 seconds and 95.00 seconds respectively) are much greater than those of the Elderly group (50.71 seconds and 42.50 seconds respectively). The mean and median values for the Young groups are close, those for the Elderly group quite different. Age group Elderly Young Statistic Mean 50.71 Median 42.50 Mean 98.85 Median 95.00 60 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in variability of the times they took to study the grid. Age group Statistic Elderly Variance Std. Deviation 507.143 Young Variance Std. Deviation 879.808 22.520 29.662 61 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - All the measures of variability are greater for the Young group than for the Elderly. From the table the standard deviation for the Young is 29.66 seconds, whilst for the Elderly it is 22.52 seconds. Age group Elderly Young Variance Std. Deviation Variance Std. Deviation Statistic 507.143 22.520 879.808 29.662 62 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The boxplots show that the inter-quartile range and range are both greater for the Young group than for the Elderly. Further, the boxplots indicate that the two groups are very different in their study times as the inter-quartile ranges do not overlap and the median value for the Young group would be an outlier for the Elderly group. The Elderly group has two outliers, both with unusually high study time values; there are no outliers in the Young group. 63 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the number correct. 64 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Descriptives Descriptive statistics. Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the number correct. No. correct Age group Elderly Young Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Lower Bound Upper Bound Lower Bound Upper Bound Statistic 7.50 6.83 Std. Error .310 8.17 7.56 8.00 1.346 1.160 5 9 4 1 -.862 .203 11.15 9.26 .597 1.154 .869 13.05 11.23 11.00 9.808 3.132 5 16 11 5 -.437 -.290 65 .616 1.191 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Boxplot Question Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the number correct. 66 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Within each age group the mean and median scores are very close. The mean and median values for the Young group, at 11.15 and 11.00 respectively, are larger than for the Elderly group at 7.50 (mean) and 8.00 (median). The measures of dispersion are all larger for the Young than for the Elderly group. There is very little variability in the Elderly group with a standard deviation of 1.16, range of 4 and IQR of 1. Also the median and upper quartile are the same at 8. Age group Elderly Young Statistic Mean 7.50 Median 8.00 Variance 1.346 Std. Deviation 1.160 Mean 11.15 Median 11.00 Variance 9.808 Std. Deviation 3.132 67 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the city block score. 68 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Descriptives Descriptive statistics Question Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the city block score. City block s core Age group Elderly Young Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Mean 95% Confidence Interval for Mean 5% Trimmed Mean Median Variance Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Range Interquartile Range Skewness Kurtos is Lower Bound Upper Bound Lower Bound Upper Bound Statistic 27.71 22.13 Std. Error 2.584 33.30 27.68 27.50 93.451 9.667 13 43 30 15 .070 -1.102 14.46 8.47 .597 1.154 2.752 20.46 13.85 12.00 98.436 9.921 4 36 32 15 1.008 .307 .616 1.191 69 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Boxplot Question Describe the differences between the Elderly and Young age groups in the measures of performance for the city block score. 70 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Again, within each age group the mean and median scores are very close. The mean and median values for the Elderly group at about 28 are larger than for the Young group at 14.5 (mean) and 12 (median). The measures of dispersion are much the same for the two age groups, with standard deviations of about 10, ranges of 30 and 32 and IQR of 15. Age group Elderly Young Statistic Mean 27.71 Median 27.50 Variance 93.451 Std. Deviation 9.667 Mean 14.46 Median 12.00 Variance 98.436 Std. Deviation 9.921 71 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We can look a little more closely at the distributions of the measures of performance and study time using Frequency tables. We first consider the number of correctly replaced objects. 72 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Describe the distribution of the number of correctly replaced objects. 73 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies 74 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect as the Variable 75 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? No. correct Finally Question Describe the distribution of the number of correctly replaced objects. Valid 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 Total Frequency 2 2 3 7 4 1 2 1 1 3 1 27 Percent 7.4 7.4 11.1 25.9 14.8 3.7 7.4 3.7 3.7 11.1 3.7 100.0 Valid Percent 7.4 7.4 11.1 25.9 14.8 3.7 7.4 3.7 3.7 11.1 3.7 100.0 Cumulative Percent 7.4 14.8 25.9 51.9 66.7 70.4 77.8 81.5 85.2 96.3 100.0 76 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - About half (52%) of the subjects replaced 8 or fewer objects in the correct position. Only one person replaced more than 14 correctly. No. correct Valid 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 Total Frequency 2 2 3 7 4 1 2 1 1 3 1 27 Percent 7.4 7.4 11.1 25.9 14.8 3.7 7.4 3.7 3.7 11.1 3.7 100.0 Valid Percent 7.4 7.4 11.1 25.9 14.8 3.7 7.4 3.7 3.7 11.1 3.7 100.0 Cumulative Percent 7.4 14.8 25.9 51.9 66.7 70.4 77.8 81.5 85.2 96.3 100.0 77 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We now look at the frequency counts for the number of objects correctly replaced for the different age groups. 78 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the table tell you about the data? What are the modes? 79 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs 80 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect as the Row variable and agegroup as the Column variable 81 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on Cells and under Percentages, select Column. 82 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? No. correct * Age group Crosstabulation Finally Question - What does the table tell you about the data? What are the modes? No. correct 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 Total Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Age group Elderly Young 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 2 0 14.3% .0% 2 1 14.3% 7.7% 7 0 50.0% .0% 2 2 14.3% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 2 .0% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 3 .0% 23.1% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 14 13 100.0% 100.0% Total 2 7.4% 2 7.4% 3 11.1% 7 25.9% 4 14.8% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 3 11.1% 1 3.7% 27 100.0% 83 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - On the whole the Elderly got fewer correct than the Young. All of the scores for the Elderly were under 10, with the mode at 8. The scores for the Young were more spread out and most were over 10 correct; the mode is 14. 84 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the same way, cross-tabulate both city block score and study time by age group. 85 Is Spatial Memory AgeRelated? City block score * Age group Crosstabulation City block score 4 5 6 7 11 12 13 14 15 16 Question - Describe the differences in city block scores between the age groups. 17 20 21 22 23 26 29 32 34 35 36 42 43 Total Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Age group Elderly Young 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 2 .0% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 14 13 100.0% 100.0% Total 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 27 100.0% 86 City block score * Age group Crosstabulation Is Spatial Memory AgeRelated? City block score 4 5 6 7 11 12 13 Answer - The city block scores are spread out for both age groups, with generally just one person in each category. Scores for the Young are generally lower than those for the Elderly. 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 26 29 32 34 35 36 42 43 Total Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Age group Elderly Young 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 2 .0% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 14 13 100.0% 100.0% Total 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 27 100.0% 87 Is Spatial Memory AgeRelated? Study time * Age group Crosstabulation Study time 25 30 35 40 45 55 70 Question - Describe the differences in study times between the age groups. 75 85 90 95 100 105 125 130 140 145 Total Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Age group Elderly Young 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 2 0 14.3% .0% 3 0 21.4% .0% 2 0 14.3% .0% 2 2 14.3% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 2 7.1% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 14 13 100.0% 100.0% Total 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 3 11.1% 2 7.4% 4 14.8% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 3 11.1% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 27 100.0% 88 Is Spatial Memory AgeRelated? Study time * Age group Crosstabulation Study time 25 30 35 40 45 Answer - study times for the Elderly are generally much lower than for the Young, with most of the former taking 55 seconds or less whilst all of the latter took 55 seconds or more. 55 70 75 85 90 95 100 105 125 130 140 145 Total Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Count % within Age group Age group Elderly Young 1 0 7.1% .0% 1 0 7.1% .0% 2 0 14.3% .0% 3 0 21.4% .0% 2 0 14.3% .0% 2 2 14.3% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 0 7.1% .0% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 2 7.1% 15.4% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 1 1 7.1% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 0 1 .0% 7.7% 14 13 100.0% 100.0% Total 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 3 11.1% 2 7.4% 4 14.8% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 3 11.1% 1 3.7% 2 7.4% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 1 3.7% 27 100.0% 89 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Here we are going to test the (null) hypothesis that there is no difference in the performances of the two groups - Elderly and Young. We have two measures – the number of objects correctly replaced and the city block score that measures the distance between the actual and replaced positions and totals this over the 18 objects. These distances are measured as “city blocks” i.e. horizontal and vertical steps across the grid. Each of these measurements is a discrete variable, so we need to be careful in deciding which tests are appropriate. 90 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question – Recall the boxplot, how did the two groups perform? Looking at the distribution of scores in each group, does the diagram support the assumptions underlying the t-test? 91 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The boxplots show that the median scores are about 27 for the Elderly group and 12 for the Young group, which are quite different. The t-test assumes that the scores are normally distributed within each population. This means that for each age group, we want to see that the distribution of scores is reasonably symmetric, with no outliers. The distribution of scores for Young subjects has a positive skew but otherwise there are no problems. The test also assumes that the population variances are equal and this seems reasonable as both groups have similar ranges and IQRs. 92 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now we want to compare the city block scores for the two groups, Elderly and Young. 93 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Compare Means > Independent-Samples T Test 94 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select cityblock as the Test variable and agegroup as the Grouping variable 95 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on Define Groups, then type 1 into the box labelled Group 1 and 2 into the box labelled Group 2. 96 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F City block s core Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed .029 Sig. .865 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.515 25 .002 13.253 3.771 5.487 21.019 3.511 24.737 .002 13.253 3.775 5.475 21.031 Question - Can we assume that the population variances are equal? 97 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F City block s core Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed .029 Sig. .865 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.515 25 .002 13.253 3.771 5.487 21.019 3.511 24.737 .002 13.253 3.775 5.475 21.031 Looking at the first two columns of the table, you can see the results of Levene’s test, which tests whether the population variances of the city block scores are the same for both Elderly and Young subjects. If there is no evidence of a difference between these variances then we can use a test that assumes that they are equal to compare the population means. More formally. 98 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F City block s core Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed .029 Sig. .865 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.515 25 .002 13.253 3.771 5.487 21.019 3.511 24.737 .002 13.253 3.775 5.475 21.031 Answer – Null hypothesis (H0): the variances are the same or E2 Y2 versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): the variances are different or E2 Y2 Test statistic, F = 0.029, with p-value = 0.865. Therefore there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis, H0. We can assume that the variances are equal and hence they can be pooled in the t-test on the means. 99 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now we can return to our test on the means. As it is reasonable to assume that the population variances are equal, we can use the test results based on this assumption and shown on the first line of the same table in SPSS. Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F City block s core Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed .029 Sig. .865 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.515 25 .002 13.253 3.771 5.487 21.019 3.511 24.737 .002 13.253 3.775 5.475 21.031 Question - What do you conclude from this output? 100 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer – Null hypothesis (H0): the means are the same or E Y versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): the means are different or E Y The test statistic is t-Value = 3.515, d.f. = 25 with a p-value = 0.002. As this is much smaller than 0.05 there is evidence to reject H0 and so we conclude that there is a significant difference in the mean city block scores for the Elderly and Young groups. Note that in this case the t values and confidence intervals are little affected by assumptions about the variance. 101 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now use the same methods to compare study time (time) between the Elderly and Young groups. Draw a boxplot as before and then use the Compare Means option to check whether the variances can be assumed equal and perform a t-test. Use the t-test to determine whether Elderly subjects underestimate the time required to study the grid: to make the test one-sided, you will need to divide the p-value by 2. 102 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? boxplot 103 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? t test Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F Study time Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed 1.049 Sig. .316 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -4.771 25 .000 -48.132 10.088 -68.909 -27.355 -4.722 22.368 .000 -48.132 10.193 -69.251 -27.013 Question - What is the result of Levene’s test? 104 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer – Null hypothesis (H0): the variances are the same or E2 Y2 versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): the variances are different or E2 Y2 Test statistic, F = 1.049 with p-value 0.316. Therefore there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis, H0. We can assume that the variances are equal and hence they can be pooled in the t-test on the means, for which the hypotheses in the next question. 105 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Now write down the null and alternative hypotheses for the t-test and then look at the results. What do you conclude? Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F Study time Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed 1.049 Sig. .316 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -4.771 25 .000 -48.132 10.088 -68.909 -27.355 -4.722 22.368 .000 -48.132 10.193 -69.251 -27.013 106 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer – Null hypothesis (H0): the means are the same or E Y versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): the mean time is lower for the Elderly or E Y The test statistic is t-Value = -4.771, d.f. = 25. The p-value, shown to 3 decimal places, is 0.000, which we report as p < 0.001: dividing by 2 to obtain the p-value for a one-sided test gives us p < 0.0005. Hence there is very strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the means of the study times of the two groups are significantly different. Elderly subjects do seem to have underestimated the time required to study the grid. 107 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Although we have assumed that city block scores can be approximated by a Normal distribution, they are in fact discrete, being the sums of counts of horizontal and vertical blocks. We might also want to compare the Elderly and Young groups on the other measure of spatial memory – the number of correct replacements. We therefore need a test that does not rely on the underlying distribution being Normal. The non-parametric test that is “equivalent” to the two sample t-test above is that due to Mann and Whitney. We shall first use this test on the city block scores. 108 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > 2 Independent Samples 109 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select cityblock for the Test Variable List and agegroup for the Grouping Variable 110 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on Define Groups and type 1 and 2 into the boxes. 111 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally Te st Statisticsb Cit y block sc ore Mann-W hit ney U 29.500 W ilcox on W 120.500 Z -2. 986 As ymp. Sig. (2-tailed) .003 a Ex act Sig. [2*(1-tailed .002 Sig.)] a. Not correct ed for ties. b. Grouping Variable: Age group 112 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What is being tested here and what are your conclusions? Te st Statisticsb Cit y block sc ore Mann-W hit ney U 29.500 W ilcox on W 120.500 Z -2. 986 As ymp. Sig. (2-tailed) .003 a Ex act Sig. [2*(1-tailed .002 Sig.)] a. Not correct ed for ties. b. Grouping Variable: Age group 113 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - This test is on the medians (denoted by the Greek letter or eta), rather than the means. Null hypothesis (H0): The median city block scores of the two populations are the same versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): The medians of the two populations are different. The test statistic U = 29.5, and the test is significant with p = 0.003. As this is less than 0.05 we have evidence to reject H0 and conclude that there is a difference in the median city block scores Young and Elderly age groups. 114 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now look at the number of correct replacements and see if these differ between the two groups. Test Statisticsb Mann-Whitney U Wilcoxon W Z As ymp. Sig. (2-tailed) Exact Sig. [2*(1-tailed Sig.)] No. correct 25.500 130.500 -3.216 .001 a .001 a. Not corrected for ties . b. Grouping Variable: Age group 115 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Is there a difference between the median number of correct replacements between the two groups? Explain. Test Statisticsb Mann-Whitney U Wilcoxon W Z As ymp. Sig. (2-tailed) Exact Sig. [2*(1-tailed Sig.)] No. correct 25.500 130.500 -3.216 .001 a .001 a. Not corrected for ties . b. Grouping Variable: Age group 116 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer – Null hypothesis (H0): The medians of the two populations are the same versus Alternative hypothesis (H1): The medians of the two populations are different. Here U = 25.5 with p = 0.001. Again we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a difference in the median number of correct replacements between the two groups. 117 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Which of the measurements of memory recall (number correct or city block score) do you think is better? Explain. Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F No. correct Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed Sig. 9.225 t-test for Equality of Means t .006 df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -4.079 25 .000 -3.654 .896 -5.499 -1.809 -3.962 15.028 .001 -3.654 .922 -5.619 -1.688 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F City block s core Equal variances as sumed Equal variances not ass umed .029 Sig. .865 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper 3.515 25 .002 13.253 3.771 5.487 21.019 3.511 24.737 .002 13.253 3.775 5.475 21.031 118 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Note that for the number correct, the variances cannot be assumed to be equal. For example, the F-Test gives a Test Statistic of 9.225 and corresponding p-value of 0.006.The second line of results for the t-test (which do not assume equal variances) gives t-Value = -3.962, d.f. = 15.028 and p-value = 0.001. We would conclude that the means are significantly different. In both cases, using parametric or non-parametric tests we see that there are significant differences in the measures of accuracy between the age groups. city block score seems better as it accounts for “near misses”. However the number correct is easier to find. 119 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We shall first see if the two measurements of accuracy – the number correctly positioned and the error in position are correlated. First look at the scatterplot. 120 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Scatter/Dot 121 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Simple > Define 122 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect for the x-axis and cityblock for the y-axis. 123 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally This seems reasonably linear, so the next step is to find the correlation coefficient. 124 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? More flamboyant plots are possible within SAS. Galleries of available graphics and source code have been provided. •Graphics gallery for the SGPLOT procedure: create one plot •Graphics gallery for the SGPANEL procedure: create a panel of plots, each of the same plot type •Graphics gallery for the SGRENDER procedure: use with the GTL to layout multiple plots of different types, or to produce nonstandard plots •Graphics gallery for the SGSCATTER procedure: create a panel of scatter plots 125 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? This example follows suggestions from How to create a scatter plot with marginal histograms in SAS The syntax should be saved in an ascii file, ideally with the extension “.sas”. 126 proc template; define statgraph scatterhist; dynamic XVAR YVAR XTYPE YTYPE TITLE; begingraph / designwidth=600px designheight=400px borderattrs=(thickness=3px); entrytitle TITLE; layout lattice / rows=2 columns=2 rowweights=(.2 .8) columnweights=(.8 .2) rowdatarange=union columndatarange=union rowgutter=0 columngutter=0; /* histogram or barchart at X2 axis position */ layout overlay / walldisplay=(fill) wallcolor=GraphBackground:color xaxisopts=(display=none) yaxisopts=(display=none offsetmin=0); if (upcase(XTYPE) = "DISCRETE") barchart x=XVAR / barwidth=1 stat=pct; else histogram XVAR / binaxis=false; endif; endlayout; /* NOBS count cell */ layout overlay; entry " "; *'NOBS = ' eval(n(XVAR)); endlayout; /* scatter plot with conditional axis types */ layout overlay / xaxisopts=(type=XTYPE) yaxisopts=(type=YTYPE); scatterplot y=YVAR x=XVAR / datatransparency=0 markerattrs=(symbol=circlefilled size=11px); endlayout; /* histogram or barchart at Y2 axis position */ layout overlay / walldisplay=(fill) wallcolor=GraphBackground:color xaxisopts=(display=none offsetmin=0) yaxisopts=(display=none); if (upcase(YTYPE) = "DISCRETE") barchart x=YVAR / barwidth=1 orient=horizontal stat=pct; else histogram YVAR / orient=horizontal binaxis=false; endif; endlayout; endlayout; endgraph; end; run; ods graphics; PROC IMPORT OUT= WORK.A DATAFILE= "\\Client\F$\spss\case study\7.sav" DBMS=SPSS REPLACE; RUN; proc sgrender data=Work.A template=scatterhist; dynamic YVAR="cityblock" XVAR="ncorrect" TITLE="Relationship"; run; The template, treat as a black box. Import your SPSS “.sav” file. Produce the plot you require. 127 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Within SAS use its menu’s File > Open Programme assess SAS source Run > Submit After loading the template the “log” reports 128 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? NOTE: PROCEDURE TEMPLATE used (Total process time): real time 0.57 seconds cpu time 0.43 seconds 37 38 39 40 41 ods graphics; PROC IMPORT OUT= WORK.A DATAFILE= "\\Client\F$\spss\case study\7.sav" DBMS=SPSS REPLACE; RUN; NOTE: The import data set has 27 observations and 6 variables. NOTE: WORK.A data set was successfully created. NOTE: PROCEDURE IMPORT used (Total process time): real time 0.70 seconds cpu time 0.06 seconds 42 43 44 45 proc sgrender data=Work.A template=scatterhist; dynamic YVAR="cityblock" XVAR="ncorrect" TITLE="Relationship"; run; NOTE: There were 27 observations read from the data set WORK.A. NOTE: PROCEDURE SGRENDER used (Total process time): real time 0.89 seconds cpu time 0.21 seconds thin SAS use its menu’s File > Open Programme assess SAS source Run > Submit 129 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? On the graph, right click mouse, then “Save picture as” 130 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Returning to the thread of the analysis This seems reasonably linear, so the next step is to find the correlation coefficient. 131 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Correlate > Bivariate 132 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select ncorrect and cityblock 133 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The result is Correlations No. correct City block s core Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score 1 -.735** .000 27 27 -.735** 1 .000 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 134 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What do you conclude about the two measurements of accuracy? Correlations No. correct City block s core Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score 1 -.735** .000 27 27 -.735** 1 .000 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 135 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - They are negatively related i.e. an increase in city block score is generally associated with a decrease in number correct and vice versa. The correlation coefficient is quite high. Correlations No. correct City block s core Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score 1 -.735** .000 27 27 -.735** 1 .000 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 136 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Study time may also be included by adding it to the list of variables to be correlated. 137 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The plots are 138 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The plots are 139 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? With correlation Correlations No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score Study time 1 -.735** .780** .000 .000 27 27 27 -.735** 1 -.732** .000 .000 27 27 27 .780** -.732** 1 .000 .000 27 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 140 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Report the correlation coefficients and what you can conclude about the variables. Correlations No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score Study time 1 -.735** .780** .000 .000 27 27 27 -.735** 1 -.732** .000 .000 27 27 27 .780** -.732** 1 .000 .000 27 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 141 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - City block score and time: r = -0.732. They are negatively related i.e. an increase in study time is generally associated with a decrease in city block score. The correlation coefficient is quite high. Number correct and time: r = 0.780. They are positively related i.e. an increase in study time is generally associated with a increase in the number correctly replaced. The correlation coefficient is quite high. 142 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What do the p-values tell you and what assumption is made here? Correlations No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block No. correct score Study time 1 -.735** .780** .000 .000 27 27 27 -.735** 1 -.732** .000 .000 27 27 27 .780** -.732** 1 .000 .000 27 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 143 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Here we are testing hypotheses on the correlation coefficient for the populations, designated by the Greek letter (rho). Null hypothesis (H0): there is no correlation or 0 Alternative hypothesis (H1): there is some correlation or 0 City block and number correct. The p-value is given as 0.000. This is how SPSS records the probability, it does not mean that it is exactly 0.000 but we can say that p < 0.001, so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. 144 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? City block and study time. Again, p < 0.001, so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. Number correct and study time. Again, p < 0.001, so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. The assumption is that, for each pair, the variables are jointly normally distributed. 145 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? So far we have looked at all the data together but there might be differences between the Young and Elderly groups. The correlations between scores can be found separately for Young and Elderly subjects using the Split File procedure. 146 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Data > Split File 147 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select Organise output by groups and agegroup 148 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Until this procedure is reversed, every analysis or plot requested will be run separately for each age group. First repeat the instructions for finding the correlations between ncorrect, cityblock and time. Question - Report the correlation coefficients for each pair of variables in each agegroup. What you can conclude in each case? 149 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? It is always wise to plot the data Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Scatter/Dot 150 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Matrix scatter 151 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select the three variables 152 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The Elderly plots are 153 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The Young plots are 154 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Correlationsa No. correct Question - Report the correlation coefficients for each pair of variables in each age group. What can you conclude in each case? City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block score Study time -.693** .368 .006 .195 14 14 14 -.693** 1 -.418 .006 .137 14 14 14 .368 -.418 1 .195 .137 14 14 14 No. correct 1 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Elderly Correlationsa No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N No. correct 1 13 -.625* .022 13 .724** .005 13 City block score -.625* .022 13 1 Study time .724** .005 13 -.692** .009 13 13 -.692** 1 .009 13 13 *. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Young 155 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Here we are testing hypotheses on the correlation coefficient for the populations, designated by the Greek letter (rho). Null hypothesis (H0): there is no correlation or 0 Alternative hypothesis (H1): there is some correlation or 0 . 156 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Elderly Group Correlationsa No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block score Study time -.693** .368 .006 .195 14 14 14 -.693** 1 -.418 .006 .137 14 14 14 .368 -.418 1 .195 .137 14 14 14 No. correct 1 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Elderly 157 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? City block and number correct: r = -0.693. City block and number correct are negatively related. The correlation coefficient is quite high. p-value = 0.006, so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. City block and study time: r = -0.418, city block and study time are negatively related. The correlation coefficient is quite low. p-value = 0.137 so there is no evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is not significantly different from zero. 158 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Number correct and study time: r = 0.368, number correct and study time are positively related. The correlation coefficient is quite low. p-value = 0.195 so there is no evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is not significantly different from zero. 159 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer – Young Group Correlationsa No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N No. correct 1 13 -.625* .022 13 .724** .005 13 City block score -.625* .022 13 1 Study time .724** .005 13 -.692** .009 13 13 -.692** 1 .009 13 13 *. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Young 160 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? City block and number correct: r = -0.625. City block and number correct are negatively related. The correlation coefficient is quite high. p-value = 0.022, so there is evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. City block and study time: r = -0.692, city block and study time are negatively related. The correlation coefficient is quite high. p-value = 0.009 so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. 161 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Number correct and study time: r = 0.724, number correct and study time are positively related. The correlation coefficient is quite high. p-value = 0.005 so there is strong evidence to reject H0 and we conclude that the correlation is significantly different from zero. 162 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Correlationsa No. correct Question - Are there any differences between the Elderly and Young groups? City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block score Study time -.693** .368 .006 .195 14 14 14 -.693** 1 -.418 .006 .137 14 14 14 .368 -.418 1 .195 .137 14 14 14 No. correct 1 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Elderly Correlationsa No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N No. correct 1 13 -.625* .022 13 .724** .005 13 City block score -.625* .022 13 1 Study time .724** .005 13 -.692** .009 13 13 -.692** 1 .009 13 13 *. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Young 163 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - For both age groups , and overall, there is significant correlation between the two measurements of accuracy – the number of correct replacements and the city block scores i.e. in all cases there is a significant linear relationship between these two measurements. When each of these is paired with study time, we have found that the correlations are stronger, and statistically significant for the Young group and overall, but not for the Elderly. For study time and number correct there is a positive relationship; for study time and city block it is negative for either age group. The difference in the signs of these correlations reflect the fact that performing well corresponds to low values for the city block score and high values for the number correct. 164 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? To reverse the split file procedure Data > Split File 165 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze all cases 166 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now recreate a scatter plot of city block scores and study times. With city block scores on the y-axis and study time on the x-axis. Why are the specific variables assigned to a particular axis? To see any relationship, plot the line of best fit, a linear regression. 167 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The scatter plot is 168 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Double click on the scatter diagram to open the Chart Editor window 169 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? In the Chart Editor window, click on one of the points to highlight the points in the graph. 170 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on the Add fit line icon which shows a scatter plot with a line of best fit. 171 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Check that the ‘Linear’ option is selected. 172 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Finally (note that this appears to be the only way to produce such a graph, no syntax is available) 173 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the scatter plot tell you about the variables? Do you think that study time is a good predictor of city block score? 174 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Overall there is a negative trend in the scatter of points, indicating that, in general, an increase in study time is associated with a decrease in city block i.e. the longer the study time the smaller the city block score. However the points are fairly scattered so it is not a strong trend. Study time might be a predictor of city block. 175 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We now perform the regression analysis to find the equation of the regression line. y x 176 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Analyze > Regression > Linear 177 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select city block for the Dependent variable and study time as the Independent variable – recall the plot for identification of the variables 178 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the output tell you about the constant term (intercept)? Coeffi cientsa Model 1 (Const ant) St udy time Unstandardized Coeffic ient s B St d. Error 39.204 3.681 -.242 .045 St andardiz ed Coeffic ient s Beta -.732 t 10.651 -5. 368 Sig. .000 .000 a. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore ANOVAb Model 1 Regres sion Residual Total Sum of Squares 1916.754 1663.246 3580.000 df 1 25 26 Mean Square 1916.754 66.530 F 28.810 Sig. .000a a. Predic tors : (Const ant), Study t ime b. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore 179 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Null hypothesis (H0): the intercept is zero 0 i.e. the line passes through the origin Alternative hypothesis (H1): the intercept is not zero 0 i.e. The constant term is 39.204; The test statistic is t = 10.651 with 25 d.f. (shown in the ANOVA table) and p < 0.001 (SPSS displays 0.000, which we report as p < 0.001). Hence there is strong evidence to reject H0 and conclude that the intercept is not zero. 180 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the output tell you about the regression term (gradient)? Coeffi cientsa Model 1 (Const ant) St udy time Unstandardized Coeffic ient s B St d. Error 39.204 3.681 -.242 .045 St andardiz ed Coeffic ient s Beta -.732 t 10.651 -5. 368 Sig. .000 .000 a. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore ANOVAb Model 1 Regres sion Residual Total Sum of Squares 1916.754 1663.246 3580.000 df 1 25 26 Mean Square 1916.754 66.530 F 28.810 Sig. .000a a. Predic tors : (Const ant), Study t ime b. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore 181 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Null hypothesis (H0): the gradient is zero i.e. there is no regression or 0 Alternative hypothesis (H1): the gradient is not zero, i.e. there is regression or 0 The regression term is -0.242, the test statistic is t = -5.368 with 25 d.f. (shown in the ANOVA table) p < 0.001. Hence there is strong evidence to reject H0 and conclude that the gradient is not zero i.e. there is some relationship. 182 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the R square term tell you and how is it related to the correlation coefficient found earlier? Model Summary Model 1 R .732a R Square .535 Adjusted R Square .517 Std. Error of the Estimate 8.157 a. Predictors: (Constant), Study time Correlations City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block score 1 Study time -.732** .000 27 27 -.732** 1 .000 27 27 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 183 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - R-Sq tells you how much of the variation in city block is due to the changes in study time, i.e. to regression (the rest being attributed to error). It is the ratio of the regression sum of squares (SS) to the total sum of squares in the Analysis of Variance table, written as a percentage: 1916.8/3580.0 = 53.5% Alternatively, it is the square of the correlation coefficient, written as a percentage (-0.732)2= 53.5%. Only about half of the variation in city block is due to study time. 184 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the regression predict as the city block score for a subject who took (i) 50 seconds (ii) 200 seconds? The equation of the line is city block = 39.2 – 0.242 study time 185 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The equation of the line is city block = 39.2 – 0.242 study time So for 50 seconds city block = 39.2 – 0.242 (50) = 27.1 We cannot say anything for 200 seconds as the time is outside our range and we do not know if the linear relationship still holds here. 186 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We might also want to see the regression for each of the two age groups separately and compare them. Earlier we separated Young and Elderly subjects. Use the Split File procedure to do this again and repeat the regression analysis above. Compare the results for different age groups to each other and to the equation obtained using the whole sample. 187 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Elderly 188 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Young 189 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What are the best fit equations for using study time to predict city block scores for (i) the Elderly, (ii) the Young? How well do these predict the results? 190 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - For Elderly subjects, the equation of the line of best fit is cityblock = 36.8 – 0.179 Time This is very similar to the equation for both groups combined. There is strong evidence to conclude that the intercept is not zero (t = 5.927, d.f. = 12, p < 0.001). However, we must conclude that there is no evidence to reject the hypothesis that the gradient is zero (t = -1.593, d.f. = 12, p = 0.137) i.e. there is no statistically significant evidence of a regression. This is confirmed by R-Sq = 17.4% i.e. Time is “explaining” very little of the variation in city block. 191 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The equation of the line of best fit for Young subjects is cityblock = 37.3 – 0.231 Time This is very similar to the equation for both groups combined. There is strong evidence to conclude that neither the intercept (t = 4.984, d.f. = 11, p < 0.001) nor the gradient (t = -3.178, d.f. = 11, p = 0.009) are zero. R-Sq = 47.9% i.e. Time “explains” almost half of the variation in city block . 192 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Correlationsa Question - How do these results link with the correlations found earlier? No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N City block score Study time -.693** .368 .006 .195 14 14 14 -.693** 1 -.418 .006 .137 14 14 14 .368 -.418 1 .195 .137 14 14 14 No. correct 1 **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Elderly Correlationsa No. correct City block s core Study time Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N Pearson Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) N No. correct 1 13 -.625* .022 13 .724** .005 13 City block score -.625* .022 13 1 Study time .724** .005 13 -.692** .009 13 13 -.692** 1 .009 13 13 *. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is s ignificant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). a. Age group = Young 193 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - We found earlier that time and city block scores were not significantly correlated for the Elderly group i.e. they are not linearly related. This has been confirmed in the regression analysis. 194 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? We found that city block scores were linearly dependent on study times. We are now going to extend this by considering whether the Age group is also an important factor and look more closely at the SPSS output that we can obtain to generate more information on the data and outcomes of the regression model. You might want to carry the analysis a bit further. Does the city block score also depend on whether the subject was Elderly or Young? In order to do this we need to code the agegroup variable – say into 1 for Elderly and 0 for Young. 195 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Transform > Recode Into Different Variables 196 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Select age group as the numeric variable type Elderly into the box labelled Output Variable Name and click on Change Click on Old and New Values 197 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? On the left, under Old Values, type 2 into the box labelled Value On the right, under New Values, type0 into the box labelled Value Click on Add – this creates the first rule On the left, select All other values, on the right select Copy old values and click on Add 198 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? SPSS now creates a new variable, with the name Elderly, which takes value 1 for an Elderly subject and 0 otherwise. Now repeat the regression analysis with city block as the dependent variable and both study time and Elderly as predictor variables. 199 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - How does this affect the regression analysis? Is age group significant? Model Summary Model 1 R .738a R Square .545 Adjusted R Square .507 Std. Error of the Estimate 8.241 a. Predictors: (Constant), elderly, Study time Coeffi cientsa Model 1 (Const ant) St udy time elderly Unstandardized Coeffic ient s B St d. Error 35.355 6.627 -.211 .063 3.079 4.387 St andardiz ed Coeffic ient s Beta -.639 .134 t 5.335 -3. 359 .702 Sig. .000 .003 .490 a. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore 200 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - R-Sq has hardly changed. It was 53.5% with just study time as a predictor and is now 54.5%, indicating that the inclusion of age group has helped only marginally in explaining the variation in city block score. The age group variable Elderly is not significant (t = 0.702, d.f. = 24, p =0.490). 201 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Hence we now return to the simple linear regression model as found earlier. Every time a regression analysis is performed, the SPSS output includes an analysis of variance (ANOVA) table. This is a useful tool in multiple regression (i.e. where there is more than one independent variable) and other areas in statistics. For the original regression of city block score on study time recall the ANOVA table. 202 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - Explain what the Degrees of Freedom (d.f.), Sum of Squares (SS) and Mean Square (MS) represent and how they are related. ANOVAb Model 1 Regres sion Residual Total Sum of Squares 1916.754 1663.246 3580.000 df 1 25 26 Mean Square 1916.754 66.530 F 28.810 Sig. .000a a. Predic tors : (Const ant), Study t ime b. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore 203 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - d.f. or degrees of freedom represents the amount of independent information in each sum. Thus we have 1 for “Model” as there is 1 independent variable, 26 -1 = 25 for “Total”, and the “Regression” d.f. + “Residual Error” d.f. = “Total” d.f. Each Sum of Squares (SS) represents a portion of the variability in block – due to the “Regression”, i.e. in this case, due to study time or that due to the “Residual Error”, i.e. the variability around the regression line “Regression” SS + “Residual Error” SS = “Total” SS 204 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The Mean Squares are found by dividing each SS by its corresponding d.f. The Mean Square due to the “Residual Error” (MSE) is an unbiased estimate of the variance of the error terms. 205 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - State the hypotheses being tested in the ANOVA, how the test statistic is calculated and what your decision would be. ANOVAb Model 1 Regres sion Residual Total Sum of Squares 1916.754 1663.246 3580.000 df 1 25 26 Mean Square 1916.754 66.530 F 28.810 Sig. .000a a. Predic tors : (Const ant), Study t ime b. Dependent Variable: City block sc ore 206 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - Null hypothesis (H0): the gradient is zero i.e. there is no regression or 0 Alternative hypothesis (H1): the gradient is not zero, i.e. there is regression or 0 The test statistic, " Regression " Mean Square 1916.8 F 28.81 MSE 66.5 Under H0 the Mean Squares should be equal, i.e. F should be 1. Here F = 28.81 with d.f. = 1, 25 and p < 0.001. Hence we reject H0 at the 5% significance level and conclude that city block score is linearly dependent on study time. 207 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Here we verify (or not!) some of the assumptions made in the regression model, using the residuals, which are estimates of the unknown error terms. Question - What are the assumptions made about the error terms? 208 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The errors have zero mean, constant 2 variance and are Normally distributed i.e. i ~ , and they are uncorrelated. 209 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? The residuals can be calculated and plotted against study time, the independent variable and the predicted values of city block score. 210 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Returning to the previous regression Click on the Save button under Predicted Values select Unstandardised, under Residuals select Standardised and under Distances, select Cook’s 211 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Click on the Plots button and select Histogram and Normal Probability plot 212 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? SPSS repeats the regression analysis, producing the same output as before. In addition it generates plots which we will look at later and creates three new columns in the Data Viewer Window, storing the predicted values, labelled PRE_1, standardised residuals, ZRE_1 and Cook’s distances, COO_1. 213 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - How are the predicted values and residuals calculated? What does this information tell you about your model? 214 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The Predicted Values (PRE_1) are calculated from the regression equation so, for example, at observation 1, for a study time of 75 seconds, the model predicts that the city block score would be 39.2 – 0.242 x 75 = 21.0646. The residuals are the difference between the actual and predicted values. Thus for observation 1 the residual is 17 – 21.0646 = -4.0646. The residuals are an indication of the fit of the model to the original data, so that large positive or negative residuals indicate a poor fit. Here the residuals vary between 0.9819 (observation 17) and 16.0982 (observation 10). Note that, from the regression output, observation 10 is flagged as having a large residual. 215 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - How are the standardized residuals calculated, why are they “better” than the ordinary residuals and what further information do they give about the model? 216 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - A standardized residual is calculated by dividing the residual by its standard error. The standardized residuals follow a t distribution, which can be approximated by the Normal for large enough sample sizes. Standardized residuals greater than 2.5 or less than –2.5 are rare and indicate unusually large residuals. There are none in that category here. The standardised residual for observation 10 is 1.9734, higher than any other but still with an absolute value less than 2. 217 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What do the Cook’s distances tell us? 218 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - These distances (COO_1) can be used to identify influential data points. A rule of thumb is that an observation may have an adverse effect on the analysis if D > 4/n. Here n = 26, so we would look for D values greater than 4/26 = 0.154 (to 3 d.p.). There are no values of D as large as this here. We would therefore conclude that there are no influential data points. 219 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Next we test the assumptions of the model (normality etc.) by looking at various plots of the residuals. Produce a simple scatter graph with the standardised residuals, ZRE_1 for the y-axis and the predicted values, PRE_1 for the x-axis. 220 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Giving 221 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does this graph tell us? 222 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The residuals are randomly scattered about the line through 0, indicating that the mean of the residuals is 0. The variation in the residuals seems to be increasing with increasing fitted values, casting doubt on the assumption of constant variance. 223 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Now consider the graphs that followed on from the usual regression output. These can be used to check the assumption of Normality. First look at the histogram. 224 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the histogram show? 225 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The histogram shows a distribution that looks approximately Normal. 226 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Next look at the P-P (Normal probability) plot. 227 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What does the Normal probability plot suggest? 228 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The Normal probability plot also suggests a Normal distribution. 229 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? You can also use the regression procedure to find confidence intervals for the mean city block score and prediction intervals for an individual value of city block score at a specified study time. We will predict the city block score for study times of 60 seconds and 160 seconds. Go to the Data Viewer Window and type 60 in line 28 of the column headed time and 160 in the same column on the line below. This introduces two new lines of data: these will not affect the regression coefficients but will be included in making predictions. To simplify the Data Viewer Window, highlight the column headings for the residuals, predicted values and Cook’s distances from previous analyses press the delete key to empty these columns. 230 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Using Save in the previous regression. Remove the selections under Residuals and Distances, and under Prediction Intervals, select Mean and Individual. 231 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? SPSS repeats the regression analysis and creates new columns in the data viewer. These columns show the predicted city block score (PRE_1), confidence limits for the predicted mean city block score (LMCI_1, UMCI_1) and confidence limits for individual predictions (LICI_1, UICI_1) associated with the study times listed in the dataset. 232 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What can you say about the mean city block score of participants with a study time of 60 seconds? 233 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - We are 95% confident that the mean lies between 21.21 and 28.17. 234 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What city block score can Mrs. Smith expect if she takes 60 seconds to study the grid? 235 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - We are 95% confident that Mrs. Smith’s city block score will be between 7.54 and 41.85. 236 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Question - What can you say about the city block score of participants with a study time of 160 seconds? 237 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? Answer - The 95% confidence interval is given as (-8.11, 9.13). However, the longest study time used here was 145 seconds. Therefore, predicting a city block score for a study time of 160 seconds is extrapolating beyond the range of our observations, which is unreliable. 238 Is Spatial Memory Age-Related? th-th-th-that's all folks! Or is it!! 239