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“Teach A Level Maths” Statistics 1 Standardizing to z © Christine Crisp Standardizing to Z S1: Standardizing to z AQA Edexcel Normal Distribution diagrams in this presentation have been drawn using FX Draw ( available from Efofex at www.efofex.com ) "Certain images and/or photos on this presentation are the copyrighted property of JupiterImages and are being used with permission under license. These images and/or photos may not be copied or downloaded without permission from JupiterImages" Standardizing to Z We can’t have a table of probabilities for every possible mean and variance ( as we would need an infinite number of tables! ) So, we always standardise to N (0, 1) . ( Mean = 0, variance = 1 ). This is easy to do. If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) then, Z ~ N (0, 1) if X 350 Z 110 Since this formula holds for X, it also holds for all the values of X, given by x. The rule is “subtract the mean and divide by the standard deviation” Standardizing to Z e.g.1 If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) find (a) P ( X 400) (b) P ( 250 X 400) Solution: (a) z So, x P ( X 400) X 350 x = 400, so 400 350 z 110 z 0 45 400 Tables only give 2 d.p. for z so this is all we need. P ( X 400) P ( Z 0 45) (0 45 ) 0 6736 Z 0 45 Standardizing to Z e.g.1 If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) find (a) P ( X 400) (b) P ( 250 X 400) Solution: (b) P ( 250 X 400) There are 2 values to convert so we use subscripts for z. X 250 350 400 N.B. This is left of the mean so the z value will be negative. So, 250 350 z1 0 91 110 400 350 z2 0 45 110 P(250 X 400) P(0 91 Z 0 45) Standardizing to Z e.g.1 If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) find (a) P ( X 400) (b) P ( 250 X 400) Solution: (b) P(250 X 400) P(0 91 Z 0 45) (0 45) ( 0 91) Z ( 0 91) 1 (0 91) 0 91 1 0 8186 0 1814 0 45 (0 45) ( 0 91) 0 6736 0 1814 0 4922 Standardizing to Z Tip: The diagrams for X and Z show the same areas so I don’t always draw both. If the question is straightforward I draw only the Z diagram but if I’m not sure what to do I’ll draw the X diagram ( and maybe the Z one as well ). SUMMARY To use tables to solve problems, we convert the values of the random variable X to values of the standardised normal variable using z x We need to be careful not to confuse standard deviation and variance. e.g. X ~ N ( 20, 16) means = 4. Standardizing to Z e.g.2 A batch of batteries is claimed to last for 24 hours. In fact their running time has a normal distribution with mean time of 29 hours and standard deviation 6 hours. What proportion of batteries do not last for the claimed time? Solution: Let X be the random variable “ life of battery ( hours )” X ~ N ( 29, 6 2 ) Standardizing to Z e.g.2 A batch of batteries is claimed to last for 24 hours. In fact their running time has a normal distribution with mean time of 29 hours and standard deviation 6 hours. What proportion of batteries do not last for the claimed time? Solution: Let X be the random variable “ life of battery ( hours )” X ~ N ( 29, 6 2 ) We want to find P ( X 24) Standardizing to Z e.g.2 A batch of batteries is claimed to last for 24 hours. In fact their running time has a normal distribution with mean time of 29 hours and standard deviation 6 hours. What proportion of batteries do not last for the claimed time? Solution: Let X be the random variable “ life of battery ( hours )” X ~ N ( 29, 6 2 ) We want to find P ( X 24) 24 29 x 24 z 6 0 83 So, Z 0 83 0 P ( X 24) P ( Z 0 83) ( 0 83 ) 1 (0 83 ) 1 0 7967 0 2033 Approximately 20% do not last for 24 hours. Standardizing to Z Exercise 1. If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N (15, 9) find (a) P ( X 18) (b) P (11 X 16) (c) P ( X 17) 2. A shop sells curtain rails labelled 90 cm. In fact the lengths are normally distributed with mean 90·2 cm. and standard deviation 0·4 cm. What percentage of the rails are shorter than 90 cm ? Standardizing to Z Solutions: 1. X ~ N (15, 9) (a) P ( X 18) 18 15 z 1 3 P ( X 18) P ( Z 1) (1) Z ( This is 1 standard deviation above the mean. ) P ( X 18) 0 8413 0 1 Standardizing to Z Solutions: 1. X ~ N (15, 9) (b) P (11 X 16) 11 15 z1 1 33 3 Z 16 15 z2 0 33 3 P (11 X 16) P (1 33 Z 0 33) (0 33) ( 1 33) ( 1 33) 1 (1 33) 1 33 1 0 9082 0 0918 0 0 33 (0 33) ( 1 33) 0 6293 0 0918 0 5375 Standardizing to Z Solutions: 1. X ~ N (15, 9) (c) P ( X 17) P ( Z 0 67) 17 15 z 0 67 3 Z 1 (0 67 ) 0 0 67 1 0 7486 0 2514 Standardizing to Z 2. A shop sells curtain rails labelled 90 cm. In fact the lengths are normally distributed with mean 90·2 cm. and standard deviation 0·4 cm. What percentage of the rails are shorter than 90 cm ? Solution: Let X be the random variable “length of rail (cm)” X ~ N (90 2, 0 4 2 ) 90 90 2 z 0 5 04 We want to find P ( X 90) P ( Z 0 5) ( 0 5) 1 (0 5) 1 0 6915 0 3085 Z 05 0 Approximately 31% are shorter than 90 cm. Standardizing to Z The following slides contain repeats of information on earlier slides, shown without colour, so that they can be printed and photocopied. For most purposes the slides can be printed as “Handouts” with up to 6 slides per sheet. Standardizing to Z We can’t have a table of probabilities for every possible mean and variance ( as we would need an infinite number of tables! ) So, we always standardise to N (0, 1) . ( Mean = 0, variance = 1 ). This is easy to do. If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) then, Z ~ N (0, 1) if X 350 Z 110 Since this formula holds for X, it also holds for all the values of X, given by x. The rule is “subtract the mean and divide by the standard deviation” Standardizing to Z SUMMARY To use tables to solve problems, we convert the values of the random variable X to values of the standardised normal variable using z x We need to be careful not to confuse standard deviation and variance. e.g. X ~ N ( 20, 16) means = 4. Standardizing to Z e.g.1 If X is a random variable with distribution X ~ N ( 350 , 110 2 ) find (a) P ( X 400) (b) P ( 250 X 400) Solution: (a) z So, x P ( X 400) X 350 x = 400, so 400 350 z 110 z 0 45 400 Tables only give 2 d.p. for z so this is all we need. P ( X 400) P ( Z 0 45) (0 45 ) 0 6736 Z 0 45 Standardizing to Z Solution: (b) P(250 X 400) P(0 91 Z 0 45) (0 45) ( 0 91) Z ( 0 91) 1 (0 91) 0 91 1 0 8186 0 1814 0 45 (0 45) ( 0 91) 0 6736 0 1814 0 4922 Standardizing to Z e.g.2 A batch of batteries is claimed to last for 24 hours. In fact their running time has a normal distribution with mean time of 29 hours and standard deviation 6 hours. What proportion of batteries do not last for the claimed time? Solution: Let X be the random variable “ life of battery ( hours )” X ~ N ( 29, 6 2 ) We want to find P ( X 24) 24 29 z 6 0 83 So, Z 0 830 P ( X 24) P ( Z 0 83) 1 (0 83 ) 1 0 7967 0 2033 Approximately 20% do not last for 24 hours.