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Impacts of Climate Change in Agriculture and Possible Adaptations in Atlantic Canada Jean-Louis Daigle, Executive Director Gordon Fairchild, Ph.D., P.Ag., Soils Specialist Presentation to: Senate Standing Committee on Agriculture and Forestry Ottawa, May 1st, 2003 The ECSWCC is located in a prime location: • A highly representative Potato production area in NB • Black Brook & Little River Studies • Groundwater Studies (AAC) • Habitat Studies (CRI) • Natural Lab. for Soil and Water Conservation Education Upper Saint John River - Grand Falls, NB Eastern Canada Soil and Water Conservation Centre (ECSWCC) Our Mission To promote sustainable natural resource management with Atlantic Canada agricultural stakeholders. Eastern Canada Soil and Water Conservation Centre Our Vision We envision a future where the development of the Agricultural Industry is : environmentally sound, economically viable, and socially responsible Eastern Canada Soil and Water Conservation Centre Our Mandate 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Information and Awareness Services Networking Policy Analysis Technology Transfer Specialized Advisory Services Professional Development (2002 Strategic Plan) Our Involvements with Climate Change & GHG in Agriculture • Agriculture and Agri-Food Climate Change Table Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emmissions from Canadian Agriculture Options Report 2001 • Agricultural Awareness Partnership Project Under the Climate Change Action Fund (CFA, SCCC, CCA, PFRA-AAFC and ECSWCC) • C-CIARN Agriculture National Advisory Group CC - Impacts & Adaptation Research Network in Agriculture • AAFC Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Advisory Committee • Soil Conservation Council of Canada Taking Charge Initiatives & GHG Mitigation Program Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation In the Atlantic Region Overview and special focus areas: 1- Conservation Implications of climate change: Soil Erosion and Runoff from Cropland Water Quality Impacts 2- Water Conservation and Management Irrigation Needs Flood Control 3- Actions needed for Adaptation in Agriculture Many Atlantic soils are still impacted by serious soil erosion and degradation issues Excess Soil Erosion and Runoff Soil Compaction Loss of Organic Matter Loss of Available Soil-Water Loss of Crop Productivity Estimated annual on-farm cost $40 million in Atlantic region and $10-12 million in NB Potato Belt alone (1985 estimates by AAFC) Increased risks of soil erosion & impacts of agricultural runoff containing sediments, N, P, pesticides & bacteria Black Brook 6,000 T/yr Regional Climatic Considerations from: The Health of our Water. (2000). Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada "A change in precipitation regime also produces a change in the level of risks to which agricultural land is exposed. In general, a regime with greater annual precipitation particularly if increased storm intensity changes more than storm frequencyhightens the risk of soil erosion, runoff, and related environmental and ecological damages." Source: Conservation Implications of Climate Change Report from Soil and Water Conservation Society January 2003 Sheet & rill soil erosion are being addressed by: 1. Better Crop Rotation 2. Strip cropping 3. Winter cover crops Green manures 4. Conservation tillage & Residue Management 5. Mulching 1,2 3 4 5 Rill & gully erosion (steeper fields) by: 6. Cross-slope & contour cropping 7. Diversion terraces & grassed waterways 8. Land drainage enhancement 9. Nutrient and Sediment Control Basins 6&7 9 7 8 Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation 2- Water Conservation & Management Needs • Increasing requirements for Supplemental Irrigation Competition for available surface and ground water Need for water sourcing infrastructures Feasibility of supplemental irrigation ? • Increasing flood risks in sensitive areas or watersheds: Coastal zones (NB, PEI, NS) Floodplains (ex. Lower Saint John River Valley, etc) Dykelands protection (NB and NS) Flood and sediment control systems Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Increased moisture deficits & frequency of localized drought may lead some farmers to consider implementing supplemental irrigation (PEI, NB and NS) Access to water & allocation Irrigation Potential conflicts Water storage Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation A. Bootsma1, and all. (2001). Adaptation of agricultural production to climate change in Atlantic Canada. 1AAFC Total Land Irrigated in Atlantic Canada by provinces (ha) 3500 Total: 5562 ha – 2001 or eq. 0.71% of land irrigated in Canada 3000 2500 NB PEI NS NF 2000 1500 1000 NB 1996 – 3500 ac 500 0 1996 2001 Source: Stats Canada NWSEP - Agricultural Water Supply Issues in Atlantic Canada (March 2003) Key Findings: May not be a net shortage of water for agriculture on an annual basis however there is competition and substantial concerns over the allocation of the resource such as: • Its availability at critical period • Increasing demand for other users • Concerns with its water quality for irrigation and livestock • Lack of regulatory consistency and efficiency • Public perception that agricultural demand for water is jeopardizing the supply of water (both quantity and quality) Irrigation vs Integrated Soil and Water Management In the Atlantic, with rainfall in excess of evapotranspiration, conserving the water in the soil may be more important than irrigation in producing high quality crops and preserving the environment. • This includes measures taken to: • increase soil-water holding capacity with conservation practices • improve soil drainage • Improve crop rotation • reduce agricultural runoff risks Actions Needed: Riparian Management & Flood Control Actions Needed for Adaptation to Climate Change in Atlantic Canada • Educational and Awareness Initiatives and Tools Development in natural resource management among all agricultural stakeholder and the rural community. • Technology Tranfert & Adaptation including on-farm demonstration of cost effective and acceptable BMPs. Actions Needed for Adaptation to Climate Change in Atlantic Canada • Research & Development efforts in long term sustainable resource management solutions (ex. erosion and sediment prediction models and its interaction with water quality, pesticides, and nutrients losses) • Climate Change adaptation in agriculture will need to be integrated into long term governmental programs and policies adapted to regional needs under the APF and other initiatives. Summary • Climate Change will have significant implications on soil erosion and runoff from cropland while increasing environmental pressures. • Need to develop proactive strategies in soil and water conservation and environmental farm planning. • Need to improve communication of cost effective risk management strategies and technology tranfert at the farm gate in order to sustain our rural communities. Web Site: WWW.CCSE-SWCC.NB.CA