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Introduction to Cancer Epidemiology Faina Linkov, PhD Research Assistant Professor of Medicine and Epidemiology University of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute E-mail (preferred mode of communications): fyL1 (at) pitt.edu University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, one of the oldest school to advocate for chronic disease epidemiology research What this course is about • Learning more about cancer epidemiology • Investigating risk factors implicated in cancer development • Learning to write grants and critique articles • Learning to be passionate about chronic disease epidemiology True or False? Smoking causes lung cancer True or False? Large percentage of cancers are preventable True or False? In the past 20 years tremendous improvements in the treatment of all cancers have been achieved True or False? Preventing cancer is easier than treating cancer True or False? Screening tests are available for most cancers Epidemiology “Distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human populations” Cancer Epidemiology Historical Perspective 1775 British surgeon, Percival Pott reported probably the first description of occupational carcinogenesis in the form of scrotum cancer among chimney sweeps. Cancer Epidemiology Historical Perspective Tight corsets and cancer 1842 Rigoni-Stern, Italian physician, observed that married women in the city were getting cervical cancer, but nuns in nearby convents weren’t. He also observed that nuns had higher rates of breast cancer, and suggested that the nuns’ corsets were too tight. Five Criteria for a Cause Effect Relationship Criteria Risk Factor for Disease 1) Timing Exposure occurs before 2) Strength 3) Prevalence 4) Relationship to other risk factors 5) Plausibility development of disease or during its progression Is dose-dependent Cessation of exposure can modify disease Occurs in multiple populations Is independent Can also act synergistically Produces structural‡ or functional changes which are events in mechanism of disease ‡ anatomic or molecular Cancer Epidemiology Historical Perspective 1700s: tobacco and cancer Reports of cancer risks associated with tobacco in the 18th century included snuff taking and nasal cancer, reported by Hill in 1761, and pipe smoking and lip cancer by von Soemmering in 1795. Cancer Epidemiology Historical Perspective • • • • • • • • Tobacco and Lung Cancer Asbestos and Lung Cancer Leather Industry and Nasal Cancer Dyes and Bladder Cancer Ionizing Radiation and Many Cancers DES and Vaginal Adenocarcinoma EBV and Burkitt’s Lymphoma HPV and Cervical Cancer Cancer Epidemiology An Introduction • • • • • • The Epidemiologic Perspective Aims of Cancer Epidemiology Methods of Epidemiology Historical Perspective and Examples Contemporary Studies The Future Aims of Cancer Epidemiology • Uncover new etiologic leads – study of the distribution of cancer – quantify the risk associated with different exposures and host factors • Promote insights into the mechanisms of carcinogenesis • Assess efficacy of preventive measures • Investigate predictors of survival Types of Epidemiologic Studies • • • • Cohort Case-Control Cross-Sectional (Prevalence) Other Methods of Cancer Epidemiology • Descriptive Studies – – – – Incidence, mortality, survival Time Trends Geographic Patterns Patterns by Age, Gender, SES, Ethnicity • Analytic Studies – Case-control – Cohort Challenges to Interpretation – Observational vs. Experimental Design – Cancer “clusters” – Study Design and Conduct • Study Size • Biases: Misclassification, confounding, selection – – – – Exposure assessment important Epidemiology and “strong” and “weak” effects Impact on a population level Replication critical Cancer Epidemiology Sources • US SEER Registry System • IARC International Registries • State/Hospital Registries • Etiologic Clues – “Alert” Clinician – Experimental Studies Cancer Epidemiology Current/Future Topics • • • • • • • • • Infectious Agents Cancer and inflammation Obesity Physical Activity Diet Hormones Immunologic Factors Cancer disparities Inherited Susceptibility (Polymorphisms) Cancer Epidemiology Current/Future Topics • • • • • • • Tumor (somatic) Alterations Cancer Classification Biomarkers of Exposure/Effect Vaccines Survivorship Cancer and disability Alternative therapy