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Why Might the World Face an Overpopulation Problem? • Malthus: – Pop. Growing faster than food supply • • • • • Today: 1 person, 1 unit of food 25 years: 2 person, 2 units of food 50 years: 4 persons, 3 units of food 75 years: 8 persons, 4 units of food 100 years: 16 persons, 5 units of food Neo-Malthusians • Recent pop. Grown (20th century) – 2 arguments 1. Gap b/t pop. Growth and resources is wider in some countries 2. World pop. Growth is exceeding lots of resources Malthus’s Critics • • • • Unrealistic Pop. Growth does not equal problems Sufficient resources if distributed equally More people = greater power World Health Threats • Epidemiologic transition- distinctive causes of death Epidemiological Transition • Stages 1 & 2 – Stage of famine – Black Plague – Cholera Figure 2-23. Cholera in Soho, London, 1854. Dr. John Snow mapped the distribution of cholera victims and water pumps to prove that the cause of the infection was contamination of the pump near the corner of Broad and Lexington streets. Epidemiologic Transition Stage 3 & 4 • Degenerative and human created diseases – Decrease in infectious disease deaths – Increase in chronic disorders • Polio • Cancer Epidemiological Transition Stage 5 • Re-emergence of infectious diseases – Why? Evolution • Become resistant to drugs and insecticides • malaria – Why? Poverty • TB – Why? Travel • Traveling more/easier