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Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Warm Up Write each fraction as a percent. 1. 25% 2. 3. 37.5% 4. Evaluate. 5. 6P3 120 6. 5P2 20 7. 7C4 35 8. 8C6 28 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 100% Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Objectives Find the theoretical probability of an event. Find the experimental probability of an event. Vocabulary probability sample space equally likely outcomes theoretical probability geometric probability trial Holt McDougal Algebra 2 outcome event favorable outcomes complement experiment experimental probability Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Probability is the measure of how likely an event is to occur. Each possible result of a probability experiment or situation is an outcome. The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes. An event is an outcome or set of outcomes. Favorable outcomes are outcomes in a specified event. Pg 490 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 1A: Finding Theoretical Probability Each letter of the word PROBABLE is written on a separate card. The cards are placed face down and mixed up. What is the probability that a randomly selected card has a consonant? Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 1B: Finding Theoretical Probability Two number cubes are rolled. ~What is the probability that the difference between the two numbers is 4? ~What is the probability of a sum of 8 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability The sum of all probabilities in the sample space is 1. The complement of an event E is the set of all outcomes in the sample space that are not in E. Pg 491 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 2: Application There are 25 students in study hall. The table shows the number of students who are studying a foreign language. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is not studying a foreign language? Language Number French Spanish Japanese 6 12 3 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 3: Finding Probability with Permutations or Combinations Each student receives a 5-digit locker combination. What is the probability of receiving a combination with all odd digits? Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 4: Finding Geometric Probability A figure is created placing a rectangle inside a triangle inside a square as shown. If a point inside the figure is chosen at random, what is the probability that the point is inside the shaded region? Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability You can estimate the probability of an event by using data, or by experiment. Experimental probability is often used to estimate theoretical probability and to make predictions. Pg 493 Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Theoretical and Experimental 7-2 Probability Example 5A: Finding Experimental Probability The table shows the results of a spinner experiment. Find the experimental probability. Number Occurrences 1 6 2 11 3 19 4 14 P(4)= P(x>2)= HW pg 494 14-22,24,26-31,36-40 Holt McDougal Algebra 2