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Trends in Electronics Reliability Testing by Dr. John W. Sofia Analysis Tech Phone: (781) 245-7825 Fax: (781) 246-6257 Email: [email protected] Website: www.analysistech.com Trends www.analysistech.com 1 The Starting Point Trends First Transistor Bell Labs, 1947 First Integrated Circuit Texas Instruments, 1958 www.lucent.com www.ti.com www.analysistech.com 2 Yesterday And Today Intel 4004-2.3x103 transistors Intel Pentium II-7.5x106 transistors Today 1970 www.intel.com Trends www.analysistech.com 3 Heat Fluxes For Various Events Chu, Simons, et.al 1999 Trends www.analysistech.com 4 Moore’s Law Performance doubles with every new chip generation (approximately every 18-24 months) observed by Gordon Moore in 1965. www.ibm.com www.intel.com Trends www.analysistech.com 5 Driving Factors Simons, 1999 Trends www.analysistech.com 6 CPU Power Trend Aghazadeh, M., 1994 Trends www.analysistech.com 7 Relative Cooling Capability of Various Modes of Convective Heat Transfer and Coolants Kraus and Bar-Cohen, 1983 Trends www.analysistech.com 8 Power Dissipation of CMOS Devices Vs. Clock Speed Montesano & Cassia, 1995 Trends www.analysistech.com 9 Simons, 1996 Explosion in Heat Flux Explosion in heat flux CPU Heat Dissipation Over Time Trends www.analysistech.com 11 Processor Performance Vs. Temperature Kryotech, Inc., 1999 Trends www.analysistech.com 12 National Technology Roadmap For Semiconductors Year of first product shipment 1997 1999 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 Technology Generations Isolated Lines (1/2 pitch) (nm) 250 180 150 130 100 70 50 Logic Transistors/cm2 3.7M 6.2M 10M 18M 39M 84M 180M Chip Frequency (on-chip clock) (MHz) 750 1250 1500 2100 3500 6000 10000 Chip size (mm2 ) 280 400 445 560 790 1120 1580 Power Supply Voltage (V) 2.5-1.8 1.8-1.5 1.5-1.2 1.5-1.2 1.2-0.9 0.9-0.6 0.6-0.5 Maximum Power (V) High Performance 70 90 110 130 160 170 175 Maximum Power (V) Hand Held 1.2 1.4 1.7 2 2.4 2.8 3.2 Chip IO's 1450 2000 2400 3000 4000 5400 7300 TJ /TA (C) 125/55 125/55 125/55 125/55 125/55 125/55 125/55 www.nist.gov Trends www.analysistech.com 13 Industry Trends • • • • • • CMOS will continue to be the pervasive semiconductor technology for both memory and logic. Chip sizes will increase, but circuit density will increase even more resulting in higher heat flux Cost will become an increasingly significant challenge for future high-end cooling designs. There will be increase emphasis on reducing design time. The majority of new computer systems will most likely be aircooled for the next few years. The application of low temperature cooling as a means to achieve improved system performance may be expected to increase over the next few years. Simons, 1999 Trends www.analysistech.com 14 Major Causes of Electronic Failures Source: U.S. Air Force Avionics Integrity Program Reynell, M. 1990 Trends www.analysistech.com 15 Trends in Electronic Cooling Trends • Increasing module and device heat fluxes • Declining thermal design-margins www.analysistech.com 16 Trends in Electronic Interconnects Trends • Larger numbers of interconnects / signals • Smaller (less robust) mechanical size interconnects www.analysistech.com 17 Trends in System Costs Trends • Decreasing cost-performance ratio • Increasing cost of system failure to end user www.analysistech.com 18 Trends in Test Needs • Increasing challenges to avoid thermal & interconnect failure • Increasing needs (& budgets) for reliability testing Trends www.analysistech.com 19 Analysis Tech Thermal and Interconnect Reliability Test Systems Trends www.analysistech.com 20 Analysis Tech Test & Measurement Systems for Electronic Packaging Reliability Thermal Analyzers: • • • • Measurement of all device thermal-characteristics Electrical method of junction temperature measurement Complete test lab equipment Complete component test services Event Detectors: • • • • Trends Electrical monitoring of interconnect reliability For thermal-cycle, vibration, and shock testing Ideal for long-term unattended test Solder joints, connectors, and all advanced interconnects www.analysistech.com 21