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Creating a Hypothesis { What do you predict will happen when you do your experiment?! Real hypotheses should be written before the experiment! It does not matter that your experiment has been done a thousand times before! What matters is that you don't know the results and that you can independently find a verifiable answer. What does verifiable mean? Real hypotheses should be written before the experiment! It does not matter that your experiment has been done a thousand times before! What matters is that you don't know the results and that you can independently find a verifiable answer. Verifiable: capable of being tested (verified or falsified) by experiment or observation. Real hypotheses should be written before the experiment! A hypothesis is a statement that proposes a The key word is possible explanation to testable! some phenomenon or event. A useful hypothesis is a testable statement which may include a prediction. If … then … Testing a Hypothesis You will perform a test of how two variables might be related. This is when you are doing a real experiment. You are testing variables. Previous Observations Usually, a hypothesis is based on some previous observation For example: In November many trees undergo color changes in their leaves AND the average daily temperatures are dropping. Are these two events connected? How? How are hypotheses written? Chocolate may cause pimples. Salt in soil may affect plant growth. Plant growth may be affected by the color of the light. Bacterial growth may be affected by temperature. Ultra violet light may cause skin cancer. Temperature may cause leaves to change color. Do you think that these statements make good hypotheses? The word MAY does not suggest how we would prove these statements. Chocolate may cause pimples. Salt in soil may affect plant growth. Plant growth may be affected by the color of the light. Bacterial growth may be affected by temperature. Ultra violet light may cause skin cancer. Temperature may cause leaves to change color. We need to create If… then… statements. If… then… statements Original: Ultra violet light may cause skin cancer. If… then… If skin cancer is related to ultraviolet light , then people with a high exposure to UV light will have a higher frequency of skin cancer because… Original: Temperature may cause leaves to change color. If… then… If leaf color change is related to temperature , then exposing plants to low temperatures will result in changes in leaf color because… Variables If… then… If skin cancer is related to ultraviolet light , then people with a high exposure to UV light will have a higher frequency of skin cancer because… If… then… If leaf color change is related to temperature , then exposing plants to low temperatures will result in changes in leaf color because… DEPENDENT VARIABLE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE Variables If… then… If skin cancer is related to ultraviolet light , then people with a high exposure to UV light will have a higher frequency of skin cancer. If… then… If leaf color change is related to temperature , then exposing plants to low temperatures will result in changes in leaf color. DEPENDENT VARIABLE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE The variable that you observe and measure the results The variable that you control and change. Practice Chocolate may cause pimples. Salt in soil may affect plant growth. Plant growth may be affected by the color of the light. Bacterial growth may be affected by temperature. Rewrite the first four hypotheses as If… then… statements. Single underline the dependent variable and double underline the independent variable. Your hypothesis Write the hypothesis for your experiment as an If… then… statement using the worksheet. Be sure to identify the dependent variable and the independent variable.