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彈性(elasticity) 彈性的定義 彈性的種類 需求彈性 供給彈性 所得彈性 交叉彈性 彈性與支出 彈性與市場干預之效果 彈性 對“反應”的精確衡量 … allows us to analyze supply and demand with greater precision. … is a measure of how much buyers and sellers respond to changes in market conditions 衡量數量變動敏感的指標 (price elasticity of demand,income elasticity) 需求的價格彈性 Price Elasticity of Demand 當價格變動百分之一時,需求量改 變的百分比 Percentage change in quantity demanded Price elasticity of demand = Percentage change in price Price Elasticity of Demand The price falls to $19.50 and the quantity demanded increases to 11 pizzas an hour. The price falls by $1 and the quantity demanded increases by 2 pizzas an hour. Price Elasticity of Demand The average price is $20 and the average quantity demanded is 10 pizzas an hour. 價格的弧彈性: 以平 均價格與需求量為 參考值 通常用於兩點差距 較大時 Price Elasticity of Demand The percentage change in quantity demanded, %DQ, is calculated as DQ/Qave, which is 2/10 = 1/5. The percentage change in price, %DP, is calculated as DP/Pave, which is $1/$20 = 1/20. The percentage change in quantity demanded, %DQ, is calculated as DQ/Qave, which is 2/10 = 1/5. The percentage change in price, %DP, is calculated as DP/Pave, which is $1/$20 = 1/20. The price elasticity of demand is (1/5)/(1/20) = 20/5 = 4. 當價格變動百分之一時,需求量改變百分之四 The Midpoint Method: A Better Way to Calculate Percentage Changes and Elasticities The midpoint formula is preferable when calculating the price elasticity of demand because it gives the same answer regardless of the direction of the price change. Price elasticity of demand = (Q2 Q1 ) /[(Q2 Q1 ) / 2] ( P2 P1 ) /[( P2 P1 ) / 2] Price Elasticity of Demand 弧彈性 The Midpoint Method ΔQ/(Q1+Q2) ΔP/(P1+P2) Price Elasticity of Demand By using the average price and average quantity, we get the same elasticity value regardless of whether the price rises or falls. The ratio of two proportionate changes is the same as the ratio of two percentage changes. The measure is units-free because it is a ratio of two percentage changes and the percentages cancel out. Changing the units of measurement of price or quantity leave the elasticity value the same. Computing the Price Elasticity of Demand (100 50) Price ED $5 4 (4.00 5.00) (100 50)/2 (4.00 5.00)/2 Demand 67 percent 3 22 percent 0 50 100 Quantity Demand is price elastic. Price Elasticity of Demand The formula yields a negative value, because price and quantity move in opposite directions. But it is the magnitude, or absolute value, of the measure that reveals how responsive the quantity change has been to a price change. 價、量通常呈反方向變動,因此將彈性取絕 對值 彈性 Elasticity (ε) 價格彈性 Price Elasticity 弧彈性 Arc Elasticity = 點彈性 Point Elasticity = DQ Q1 Q2 DP P1 P2 Q P P Q 彈性 Elasticity (ε) 點彈性 Point Elasticity = Q P P Q Q 即為需求線斜率的倒數(取絕對值) P 任一點 p q,需求線愈陡直,斜率愈大, 彈性愈小 彈性反映了需求的本質 美國聯邦政府為安全考量強制父母為嬰兒 買票,有多少人會改搭汽車? Price Elasticity of Demand Inelastic and Elastic Demand Demand can be inelastic, unit elastic, or elastic, and can range from zero to infinity. If the quantity demanded doesn’t change when the price changes, the price elasticity of demand is zero and the good has a perfectly inelastic demand. 完全無彈性 Price Elasticity of Demand 完全無彈性 a vertical demand curve, elasticity =0 Price Elasticity of Demand If the percentage change in the quantity demanded equals the percentage change in price, the price elasticity of demand equals 1 and the good has unit elastic demand. 價格彈性=1 (Note that the demand curve is not linear.) The Price Elasticity of Demand Elastic Demand: Elasticity Is Greater Than 1 Price $5 4 Demand 1. A 22% increase in price . . . 0 50 100 Quantity 2. . . . leads to a 67% decrease in quantity demanded. Price Elasticity of Demand Between the two previous cases, the percentage change in the quantity demanded is smaller than the percentage change in price so that the price elasticity of demand is less than 1 and the good has inelastic demand. 價格彈性小於1 If the percentage change in the quantity demanded is infinitely large when the price barely changes, the price elasticity of demand is infinite and the good has perfectly elastic demand. 彈性無窮大 Price Elasticity of Demand Figure 4.3c illustrates the case of perfectly elastic demand—a horizontal demand curve. 彈性無窮大 Total Revenue and the Price Elasticity of Demand Total revenue is the amount paid by buyers and received by sellers of a good. Computed as the price of the good times the quantity sold. TR P Q Price Figure 2 Total Revenue When the price is $4, consumers will demand 100 units, and spend $400 on this good. $4 P × Q = $400 (revenue) P 0 Demand 100 Q Quantity Elasticity and Total Revenue along a Linear Demand Curve With an inelastic demand curve, an increase in price leads to a decrease in quantity that is proportionately smaller. Thus, total revenue increases. Price Figure 3 How Total Revenue Changes When Price Changes: Inelastic Demand Price … leads to an Increase in total revenue from $100 to $240 An Increase in price from $1 to $3 … $3 Revenue = $240 $1 Demand Revenue = $100 0 100 Quantity Demand 0 80 Quantity Elasticity and Total Revenue along a Linear Demand Curve With an elastic demand curve, an increase in the price leads to a decrease in quantity demanded that is proportionately larger. Thus, total revenue decreases. Price Figure 3 How Total Revenue Changes When Price Changes: Elastic Demand Price … leads to an decrease in total revenue from $200 to $100 An Increase in price from $4 to $5 … $5 $4 Demand Demand Revenue = $200 0 50 Revenue = $100 Quantity 0 20 Quantity Note that with each price increase, the Law of Demand still holds – an increase in price leads to a decrease in the quantity demanded. It is the change in TR that varies! Elasticity of a Linear Demand Curve Price Elasticity of Demand Elasticity Along a Straight-Line Demand Curve 一條直線需求線上 每一點彈性不同 Figure 4 Elasticity of a Linear Demand is elastic; When price increases from Demand $5, TR declines from demand is responsive$4 to toCurve Price changes in price. $24 to $20. Elasticity is > 1 in this range. $7 6 5 4 Elasticity is is<inelastic; 1 in this range. Demand demand is 3 not very responsive to changes When price increases from in price. $2 to $3, TR increases from $20 to $24. 2 1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Quantity Price Elasticity of Demand 廠商的總收益(消費者的支出)和消費者的需 求彈性有關 彈性>1 p TR 彈性 =1 p TR 不變 彈性<1 p TR Price Elasticity of Demand The total revenue test is a method of estimating the price elasticity of demand by observing the change in total revenue that results from a price change (when all other influences on the quantity sold remain the same). If a price cut increases total revenue, demand is elastic. If a price cut decreases total revenue, demand is inelastic. If a price cut leaves total revenue unchanged, demand is unit elastic. Price Elasticity of Demand At $12.50, demand is unit elastic and total revenue stops increasing. As the price falls from $12.50 to zero, demand is inelastic, and total revenue decreases. Price Elasticity of Demand In part b (shown here), as the quantity increases from zero to 25, demand is elastic, and total revenue increases. At 25, demand is unit elastic, and total revenue is at its maximum. As the quantity increases from 25 to 50, demand is inelastic, and total revenue decreases. General form Demand: P=a+ bQ TR=(a+ bQ)Q=aQ+ bQ2 MR=a+2bQ Expenditure and Elasticity If your demand is elastic, a 1 percent price cut increases the quantity you buy by more than 1 percent and your expenditure on the item increases. If your demand is inelastic, a 1 percent price cut increases the quantity you buy by less than 1 percent and your expenditure on the item decreases. If your demand is unit elastic, a 1 percent price cut increases the quantity you buy by 1 percent and your expenditure on the item does not change. Price Elasticity of Demand Demand tends to be more elastic: the larger the number of close substitutes. if the good is a luxury/佔所得的比重. the more narrowly defined the market 個別廠商 vs. 產業. the longer the time period 替代的可能性 The closeness of substitutes + The closer the substitute for a good or service, the more elastic is the demand for it. Necessities, such as food or housing, generally have inelastic demand.必須品 Luxuries, such as exotic vacations, generally have elastic demand.奢侈品 佔所得的比率 The greater the proportion of income consumers spend on a good, the larger is its elasticity of demand. + 距價格改變的時間 The more time consumers have to adjust to a price change, or the longer that a good can be stored without losing its value, the more elastic is the demand for that good. + Price Elasticity of Demand Figure 4.6 shows how the elasticity of demand for food varies with the proportion of income spent on food in different countries. 所得彈性(Income elasticity) 當所得改變百分之一,財貨需求量變動的 百分比 The income elasticity of demand measures how the quantity demanded of a good responds to a change in income, other things being equal. The formula for calculating the income elasticity of demand is: Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in income More Elasticities of Demand If the income elasticity of demand is greater than 1, demand is income elastic and the good is a luxury good . 奢侈財 Examples include sports cars, furs, and expensive foods If the income elasticity of demand is greater than zero but less than 1, demand is income inelastic and the good is a normal good .正常財. Examples include food, fuel, clothing, utilities, and medical services If the income elasticity of demand is less than zero (negative), the good is an inferior good.劣等財 More Elasticities of Demand Figure 4.8 shows estimates of the income elasticity for food in different countries. A higher average income is associated with a lower income elasticity of demand for food. Cross Elasticity of Demand 交叉彈性 The cross elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of demand for a good to a change in the price of a substitute替代財or a complement互補財, other things remaining the same. 當一貨價格變動百分之一,其他財貨需求量(供給量)變動的百分 比 The formula for calculating the cross elasticity is: Percentage change in quantity demanded Percentage change in price of substitute or complement 交叉彈性 The cross elasticity of demand for a substitute is positive. 替代財(substitutes):當一物價格下降,另 一物需求量下降,則兩者互為代替品, 例:咖啡vs茶;糖vs代糖 交叉彈性 The cross elasticity of demand for a complement is negative. 互補財(complements):當一物價格下降,另 一物需求量上升,則兩者互為互補品 例:咖啡vs奶精 More Elasticities of Demand Figure 4.7 shows the increase in the quantity of pizza demanded when the price of a burger (a substitute for pizza) rises. The figure also shows the decrease in the quantity of pizza demanded when the price of a soft drink (a complement of pizza) rises. 為什麼考慮彈性? 改變價格時,顧客如何反應?(價位該定 在何處) 改變價格時,對手如何反應?(改變那一 個市場) 改變價格時,自己的收益如何改變? 收益改變後,情況可維持多久? 彈性大小與均衡變動 比較靜態分析(Comparative static analysis): 探討市場均衡如何因其他條件改變而變動 的研究 需求彈性小 當供給增加 Q*變動小 需求彈性大 當供給增加 Q*變動大 P*變動大 P*變動小 彈性的差異影響均衡價、量 的變化 Price Elasticity of Supply 供給的價格彈性 (Price elasticity of supply):當價格變動 百分之一,供給量變 動的百分比 In Figure 4.9a, a change in demand brings a small increase in the quantity supplied and a large rise in price. Price Elasticity of Supply In Figure 4.9b, a change in demand brings a large increase in the quantity supplied and a small rise in price. Price Elasticity of Supply The contrast between the two outcomes in Figure 4.9 highlights the need for a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity supplied to a price change. 供給的價格彈性 Elasticity of Supply The elasticity of supply measures the responsiveness of the quantity supplied to a change in the price of a good when all other influences on selling plans remain the same. Percentage change in quantity supplied Price elasticity of supply = Percentage change in price Elasticity of Supply Figure 4.10 on the next slide shows three cases of the elasticity of supply. Supply is perfectly inelastic if the supply curve is vertical and the elasticity of supply is 0. Supply is unit elastic if the supply curve is linear and passes through the origin. (Note that slope is irrelevant.) Supply is perfectly elastic if the supply curve is horizontal and the elasticity of supply is infinite. Elasticity of Supply “Perfectly inelastic” (one extreme) 0% % change in Q Price elasticity = = of supply % change in P P S curve: vertical S P2 Sellers’ price sensitivity: 0 Elasticity: 0 10% =0 P1 P rises by 10% Q1 Q changes by 0% Q “Inelastic” < 10% % change in Q Price elasticity <1 = = of supply 10% % change in P P S curve: relatively steep S P2 Sellers’ price sensitivity: relatively low Elasticity: <1 P1 P rises by 10% Q1 Q2 Q rises less than 10% Q “Unit elastic” % change in Q Price elasticity = = of supply % change in P 10% =1 P S curve: intermediate slope S P2 Sellers’ price sensitivity: intermediate Elasticity: =1 10% P1 P rises by 10% Q1 Q2 Q rises by 10% Q “Elastic” > 10% % change in Q Price elasticity >1 = = of supply 10% % change in P P S curve: relatively flat S P2 Sellers’ price sensitivity: relatively high Elasticity: >1 P1 P rises by 10% Q1 Q2 Q rises more than 10% Q “Perfectly elastic” (the other extreme) any % % change in Q Price elasticity = infinity = = of supply 0% % change in P P S curve: horizontal Sellers’ price sensitivity: extreme Elasticit y:infinity S P2 = P1 P changes by 0% Q1 Q2 Q changes by any % Q Elasticity of Supply The Factors That Influence the Elasticity of Supply The elasticity of supply depends on Resource substitution possibilities + The easier it is to substitute among the resources used to produce a good or service, the greater is its elasticity of supply.生產要素、生產過程變通、替代的可能 紅茶與綠茶 The time frame for supply decisions The more time that passes after a price change, the greater is the elasticity of supply.時間的長短+ Elasticity of Supply The time frame for supply decisions The more time that passes after a price change, the greater is the elasticity of supply. Momentary supply is perfectly inelastic. The quantity supplied immediately following a price change is constant. Short-run supply is somewhat elastic. Long-run supply is the most elastic. The supply schedule for chocolate chip cookies is as given in the table above. As the price rises, the elasticity of supply decreases. P 1.5 P=2.5 3/2 5/4 Price (dollars) Quantity supplied 1 10 2 30 3 50 4 70 變動緣起 分析對象 商品本身價格 需求量 供給量 需求價格彈性 供給價格彈性 其他商品價格 需求交叉彈性 供給交叉彈性 所得改變 需求所得彈性 供給所得彈性 彈性大小與均衡變動 比較靜態分析(Comparative static analysis): 探討市場均衡如何因其他條件改變而變動 的研究 需求彈性小 當供給增加 Q*變動小 P*變動大 需求彈性大 當供給增加 Q*變動大 P*變動小 所以需求或供給彈性大,均衡改變多反 應在價格Q 需求或供給彈性小,均衡改變多反應在 價格P Can Good News for Farming Be Bad News for Farmers? Examine whether the supply or demand curve shifts. Determine the direction of the shift of the curve. Use the supply-and-demand diagram to see how the market equilibrium changes. Figure 7 An Increase in Supply in the Market for Wheat Price of Wheat 2. . . . leads to a large fall in price . . . 1. When demand is inelastic, an increase in supply . . . S1 S2 $3 2 Demand 0 100 110 Quantity of Wheat 3. . . . and a proportionately smaller increase in quantity sold. As a result, revenue falls from $300 to $220. Compute the Price Elasticity of Demand When There Is a Change in Supply 100 110 (100 110) / 2 ED 3.00 2.00 (3.00 2.00) / 2 0.095 0.24 0.4 Demand is inelastic. Why Did OPEC Fail to Keep the Price of Oil High? Supply and Demand can behave differently in the short run and the long run In the short run, both supply and demand for oil are relatively inelastic But in the long run, both are elastic Production outside of OPEC More conservation by consumers Does Drug Interdiction Increase or Decrease Drug-Related Crime? Drug interdiction impacts sellers rather than buyers. Demand is unchanged. Equilibrium price rises although quantity falls. Drug education impacts the buyers rather than sellers. Demand is shifted. Equilibrium price and quantity are lowered. Figure 9 Policies to Reduce the Use of Illegal Drugs Drug Education Drug Interdiction Price of Drugs Price of Drugs The demand for illegal drugs is inelastic. In each case, the change D1price in S2 S1 S1 is the same. D1 D2 Quantity of Drugs Quantity of Drugs Interdiction shifts the supply, while education shifts the demand. The changes in quantities (and TR) are remarkable. But in one market the price goes up. And in the other it goes down. 實例分析1 以價制量 1960年代煙酒進口公賣,但因需求彈性小, 抑制的消費量有限 P D2 D1 Q2 Q1 Q 實例分析2 穀賤傷農 稻米盛產則價格下降,因需求彈性小, 需求數量增加不多,農民總收入減少 D P P S1 S1 S2 S2 Q Q 實例分析3 物以稀為貴 需求固定時,供給量減少,則價格上漲 P P2 D S2 S1 P1 Q 實例分析4 租稅與轉嫁: 繳稅者未必是真正承擔稅負 的人 租稅轉嫁:tax shift,需求彈性愈小,消費 者擔愈重,轉嫁愈嚴重 Taxes The tax revenue takes part of the consumer surplus and producer surplus. The decreased quantity creates a deadweight loss. 無謂的損失 P D1 S2 tax S1 P2 P1 需求彈性小 消費者承擔的稅負 較多 Q2 Q1 Q P D1 S2 D2 tax S1 P2 P1 需求彈性小 消費者承擔的稅負 較多 Q2’ Q2 Q1 Q 政府對價量的直接管制 數量管制:供需彈性愈小,供需價格差距 愈大黑市運作或其他機制會產生 價格管制 Stabilizing Farm Revenues An Agricultural Market The supply of farm products is heavily influenced by natural forces (weather, insects, etc.) beyond the control of farmers. Consumer demand for farm products is inelastic. These two characteristics combine to make the market for farm products and farm revenues volatile. Stabilizing Farm Revenues Figure 6.11(a) shows the market for wheat. Once the crop is planted, supply is perfectly inelastic along the momentary supply curve MS0. The price is $4 a bushel and farm total revenue is $80 billion. Stabilizing Farm Revenues A poor harvest decreases supply. Farmers lose $20 billion of total revenue on the decreased quantity sold. But they gain $30 billion from the higher price. Because demand is inelastic, total revenue increases—to $90 billion. Stabilizing Farm Revenues Now a bumper harvest increases supply. Farmers lose $40 billion of total revenue on the original quantity because the price falls. They gain only $10 billion from the increased quantity. Because demand is inelastic, total revenue decreases—to $50 billion. Stabilizing Farm Revenues Speculative Markets in Inventories Speculative markets have developed for the inventories of those farm products that can be stored over long periods of time.耐久的農作因此產生投機市場 Inventory holders speculate by: Buying for inventory when the expected future price exceeds the current price. Selling from inventory when the current price exceeds the expected future price. Stabilizing Farm Revenues Figure 6.12 shows how inventory speculation changes the outcome. Supply is now perfectly elastic at the price expected by inventory holders—supply curve S. A poor harvest decreases production but inventories are sold off. Stabilizing Farm Revenues A bumper crop increases production, but some of the extra output goes into inventory. The price is stabilized at the inventory speculators’ expected price. 投機市場以存貨調節市 場價格與交易量 Stabilizing Farm Revenues In reality, speculation decreases but does not completely eliminate price fluctuations. 減少價格波動 While speculation does not stabilize farmers’ revenues, it changes the effects of bumper harvests and crop failures. Farmers’ total revenues now increase with bumper crops and decrease with crop failures. Price elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded responds to changes in the price. Price elasticity of demand is calculated as the percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price. If a demand curve is elastic, total revenue falls when the price rises. If it is inelastic, total revenue rises as the price rises. The income elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded responds to changes in consumers’ income. The cross-price elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded of one good responds to the price of another good. The price elasticity of supply measures how much the quantity supplied responds to changes in the price. In most markets, supply is more elastic in the long run than in the short run. The price elasticity of supply is calculated as the percentage change in quantity supplied divided by the percentage change in price. The tools of supply and demand can be applied in many different types of markets.