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Economic Analysis for Business Session XV: Theory of Consumer Choice (Chapter 21) Instructor Sandeep Basnyat 9841892281 [email protected] ACTIVE LEARNING 1: Budget constraint The consumer’s income: $1000 Prices: $10 per pizza, $2 per pint of Pepsi A. If the consumer spends all his income on pizza, how many pizzas does he buy? B. If the consumer spends all his income on Pepsi, how many pints of Pepsi does he buy? C. If the consumer spends $400 on pizza, how many pizzas and Pepsis does he buy? D. Plot each of the bundles from parts A-C on a diagram that measures the quantity of pizza on the horizontal axis and quantity of Pepsi on the vertical axis, then connect the dots. 2 ACTIVE LEARNING Answers A. $1000/$10 = 100 pizzas B. $1000/$2 = 500 Pepsis C. $400/$10 = 40 pizzas $600/$2 = 300 Pepsis 1: D. The budget constraint shows the various combinations of goods the consumer can afford given his or her income and the prices of the two goods. Pepsis B 500 400 C 300 200 100 A 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas 3 The Slope of the Budget Constraint From C to D, Pepsis “rise” = –100 Pepsis 500 “run” = +20 pizzas 400 Slope = –5 C 300 Consumer must 200 give up 5 Pepsis to get another pizza. 100 D 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas CHAPTER 21 THE THEORY OF CONSUMER CHOICE The Slope of the Budget Constraint The slope of the budget constraint equals ◦ the rate at which the consumer can trade Pepsi for pizza: the opportunity cost of pizza in terms of Pepsi ◦ the relative price of pizza: price of one good compared to the other price of pizza $10 5 Pepsis per pizza price of Pepsi $2 CHAPTER 21 THE THEORY OF CONSUMER CHOICE ACTIVE LEARNING Exercise What happens to the budget constraint if: A. Income falls to $800 2: Pepsis 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas 6 ACTIVE LEARNING Answers Consumer can buy $800/$10 = 80 pizzas or $800/$2 = 400 Pepsis or any combination in between. 2A: A fall in income shifts the budget constraint inward. Pepsis 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas 7 ACTIVE LEARNING Exercise What happens to the budget constraint if: B. The price of Pepsi rises to $4/pint. 2: Pepsis 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas 8 ACTIVE LEARNING Answers Consumer can still buy 100 pizzas. But now, can only buy $1000/$4 = 250 Pepsis. 2B: Pepsis 500 An increase in the price of one good pivots the budget constraint inward. 400 300 200 Notice: slope is 100 smaller, relative price of pizza now only 2.5 0 Pepsis. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Pizzas 9 PREFERENCES: WHAT THE CONSUMER WANT The consumer’s preferences allow him to choose among different bundles of the same goods he wants, for example Pepsi and Pizza, that best suits his tastes. If the two bundles suit his tastes equally well, the consumer is indifferent between two bundles. A graphical representation of the bundles of consumption that make the consumer equally happy is called the indifference curve. The Consumer’s Preferences Quantity of Pepsi An indifference curve is a curve that shows consumption bundles that give the consumer the same level of satisfaction, such as in points A, B or C C B A 0 If the consumption of pizza is reduced, consumption of Pepsi must increase to keep him equally happy. Indifference curve, I1 Quantity of Pizza The Consumer’s Preferences-MRS The slope at any point on an indifference curve is the Marginal Rate of Substitution MRS Quantity of Pepsi • MRS is the rate at which a consumer is willing to trade one good for another. • It is the amount of one good that a consumer requires as compensation to give up one unit of the other good. C 200 B MRS 100 5 A 0 30 50 MRS tells how much Pepsi the consumer requires to be compensated for a one unit increase in pizza consumption Indifference curve, I1 Quantity of Pizza Higher and Lower Indifference Curves: Indifference Map Higher indifference curves represent higher level of satisfaction Quantity of Pepsi C E B MRS D I2 5 A 0 Indifference curve, I1 Quantity of Pizza Four Properties of Indifference Curves Higher indifference curves are preferred to lower ones. Indifference curves are downward sloping. Indifference curves do not cross. Indifference curves are bowed inward. Four Properties of Indifference Curves Property 1: Higher indifference curves are preferred to lower ones. ◦ Consumers usually prefer more of something to less of it. ◦ Higher indifference curves represent larger quantities of goods than do lower indifference curves. The Consumer’s Preferences Quantity of Pepsi C B D I2 A 0 Indifference curve, I1 Quantity of Pizza Four Properties of Indifference Curves Property 2: Indifference curves are downward sloping. ◦ A consumer is willing to give up one good only if he or she gets more of the other good in order to remain equally happy. ◦ If the quantity of one good is reduced, the quantity of the other good must increase. ◦ For this reason, most indifference curves slope downward. The Consumer’s Preferences Quantity of Pepsi Indifference curve, I1 0 Quantity of Pizza Four Properties of Indifference Curves Property 3: Indifference curves do not cross. ◦ Points A and B should make the consumer equally happy. ◦ Points B and C should make the consumer equally happy. ◦ This implies that A and C would make the consumer equally happy. ◦ But C has more of both goods compared to A. The Impossibility of Intersecting Indifference Curves Quantity of Pepsi C A B 0 Quantity of Pizza Four Properties of Indifference Curves Property 4: Indifference curves are bowed inward. ◦ People are more willing to trade away goods that they have in abundance and less willing to trade away goods of which they have little. ◦ These differences in a consumer’s marginal substitution rates cause his or her indifference curve to bow inward. Bowed Indifference Curves Quantity of Pepsi 14 MRS = 6 A 8 1 4 3 0 B MRS = 1 1 2 3 6 Indifference curve 7 Quantity of Pizza Two Extreme Examples of Indifference Curves Perfect substitutes ◦ Goods that can be exactly substitutable ◦ Consumers value both goods exactly equal Perfect complements ◦ Goods that need exact combination to form a product ◦ Consumers benefit extra unit of good A only if he/she has extra unit of good B Perfect Substitutes and Perfect Complements (a) Perfect Substitutes 50 cents Perfect Substitutes • Because the MRS is constant, two goods with straight-line indifference curves are perfect substitutes. • The marginal rate of substitution is a constant number. 6 4 2 I1 0 1 I2 2 I3 3 $ amount Perfect Substitutes and Perfect Complements (b) Perfect Complements Perfect Complements Two goods with right-angle indifference curves are perfect complements. Left Shoes 9 7 I2 5 I1 0 5 7 9 Right Shoes OPTIMIZATION: HOW THE CONSUMER CHOOSES? Step 1: Consumer chooses to buy on or below his budget constraint. Step 2: He get the combination of goods on the highest possible indifference curve. The Consumer’s Optimum Consumer optimum occurs at the point where the highest indifference curve and the budget constraint are tangent (slope of budget constraint and indifference curve is equal). Quantity of Pepsi Optimum B A I3 I2 I1 Budget constraint 0 Note: Slop of ID curve: MRS Slop of BC: Relative price of Pepsi and Pizza Quantity of Pizza The Consumer’s Optimal Choice The consumer chooses consumption of the two goods so that the marginal rate of substitution equals the relative price. At the consumer’s optimum, the consumer’s valuation of the two goods equals the market’s valuation. ◦ Consumer takes as given the relative price of the two goods and then chooses an optimum at which his MRS equals the relative price. ◦ The relative price is the rate at which market is willing to trade one good for another, whereas the MRS is the rate at which the consumer is willing to trade one good for another. Cases: Income effect and Price Effect What happens when consumer’s income level increases? (Income effect) ◦ A) Normal good: consumption increases, and, ◦ B) Inferior good: consumption decreases An Increase in Income-Normal goods: Pepsi and Pizza Quantity of Pepsi New budget constraint I2 Initial optimum I3 Initial budget constraint 0 Which Indifference curve would the consumer chose? I1 Quantity of Pizza An Increase in Income-Normal goods case Quantity of Pepsi New budget constraint New optimum Initial optimum Initial budget constraint 0 I3 I1 Quantity of Pizza Increase in Income- An Inferior Good case (Pepsi) Quantity of Pepsi New budget constraint Initial optimum New optimum Initial budget constraint 0 I1 I2 Quantity of Pizza Cases What happens when consumer’s income level increase or decreases? ◦ Normal good and inferior good cases What happens when price of the good(s) increases or decreases? (Price effect) Assume that price of Pepsi decreases from $2 to $1 per pint. Price Effect Interaction Pepsi is relatively cheaper Effect 1 Pizza is relatively expensive Effect Opportunity cost of buying Pizza is higher Buy more Pepsi and less Pizza Moves to another combination of Indifference curve Substitution effect Price Effect Interaction Pepsi is relatively cheaper Effect I1 Can buy more goods with extra money Income level increased Jumps to higher indifference curve Income effect Effect Normal Good Buy more goods Inferior Good - Buy less of inferior goods Price Effect Total Price Effect = Substitution effect + Income Effect A Change in Price- Price of Pepsi decreases from $2 to $1 Quantity of Pepsi New budget constraint Substitution Income Total effect effect effect C New optimum B Initial optimum Initial budget constraint A I2 I1 0 Quantity of Pizza Total effect of Price decrease of Good X on Quantity demanded of Good X Total effect of = Substitution+ Income price effect effect decrease 9 = 5 + 4 Total effect of = Substitution+ Income price effect effect decrease 3 = 5 + (-2) 5-38 Generalization: Income and Substitution Effects The Income Effect ◦ The income effect is the change in consumption that results when a price change moves the consumer to a higher or lower indifference curve The Substitution Effect ◦ The substitution effect is the change in consumption that results when a price change moves the consumer along an indifference curve to a point with a different marginal rate of substitution. THREE APPLICATIONS Do all demand curves slope downward? How do wages affect labour supply? How do interest rates affect household savings? THREE APPLICATIONS Do all demand curves slope downward? ◦ Demand curves can sometimes slope upward. ◦ This happens when a consumer buys more of a good when its price rises. ◦ Giffen goods Economists use the term Giffen good to describe a good that violates the law of demand. Giffen goods are goods for which an increase in the price raises the quantity demanded. The income effect dominates the substitution effect. They have demand curves that slope upwards. Reasons: Application I: A Giffen Good Quantity of Potatoes Initial budget constraint B Optimum with high price of potatoes Optimum with low price of potatoes D E 2. . . . which increases potato consumption if potatoes are a Giffen good. 1. An increase in the price of potatoes rotates the budget constraint inward . . . C New budget constraint 0 1. Potatoes are a strongly inferior good. When the price of potatoes rises, the consumer is poorer. The income effect makes the consumer want to buy less meat and more potatoes 2. Because potatoes are more expensive, substitution effect makes the consumer want to buy more meat but income effect is so strong that it exceeds the substitution effects I2 A I1 Quantity of Meat What happens when the wage rate increases? ◦ When wage rate increases, a) If people find that spending more time on leisure activity incur higher opportunity costs, the substitution effect is greater than the income effect for them and they work more. b) If people find that increase in wage rate is an increase in their income level, income effect is greater than the substitution effect for them and they spend more time on leisure and works less or the same amount. Application II: The Work-Leisure Decision Consumption What happens when the wage increases? $5,000 Optimum I3 2,000 I2 I1 0 60 100 Hours of Leisure An Increase in the Wage: Substitution effect-Income effect (a) For a person with substitution effect. . . Hours of work (b) For a person with Income effect Hours of work ... BC2 1. When the wage rises . . . 1. When the wage rises . . . BC1 BC1 BC2 I2 I2 I1 I1 0 2. . . . hours of leisure decrease . . . Hours of Leisure 0 2. . . . hours of leisure increase . . . Hours of Leisure How do interest rates affect household saving? ◦ If the substitution effect of a higher interest rate is greater than the income effect, households save more. ◦ If the income effect of a higher interest rate is greater than the substitution effect, households spend more and save less or remain constant. Application III: The Consumption-Saving Decision Consumption Budget when Old constraint What happens when the bank interest rate increases? $110,000 55,000 Optimum I3 I2 I1 0 $50,000 100,000 Consumption when Young An Increase in the Interest Rate-Substitution and Income Effect (a) Higher Interest Rate Raises Saving Consumption when Old (b) Higher Interest Rate Lowers Saving Consumption when Old BC2 BC2 1. A higher interest rate rotates the budget constraint outward . . . 1. A higher interest rate rotates the budget constraint outward . . . BC1 BC1 I2 I1 I2 I1 0 2. . . . resulting in lower consumption when young and, thus, higher saving. Consumption when Young 0 2. . . . resulting in higher consumption when young and, thus, lower saving. Consumption when Young Thus, an increase in the interest rate could either encourage or discourage saving. Thank you