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NEW PRODUCT LICENSING: Why do companies license their IP? Feryal Erhun Enis Kayis Management Science and Engineering Stanford University Mark Wilkinson Intel Corporation MSOM Conference 2005 The Transformation of the Computer Industry (80’s and 90’s) Retail Stores Sales and distribution Application software Superstores Word Perfect Word Operating system DOS and Windows Computer Compaq Dell Packard Bell Intel Architecture Chips IBM DEC Sperry Univac Mail Order Dealers Application software Etc. OS/2 HP Mac IBM Sales and distribution UNIX Etc. Motorola Etc. Operating system Computer Chips Wang Source: A.S. Grove (1999) Only The Paranoid Survive: How to Exploit the Crisis Points That Challenge Every Company, Currency-Doubleday, New York, NY. 2 Motivation: The Tale of Three Companies (The Story of IBM, Intel, and AMD) • IBM adopted x86 chips for its first computers in 1982 • As part of the deal, Intel had to license the x86 architecture to AMD so that IBM could have a second source of chips • Intel, as a new player in the arena, did not have enough capacity to satisfy all the demand and needed the extra respectability that second sourcing provides • Licensing helped Intel by encouraging other producers to push the Intel product while discouraging their own future generations of chips Source: http://www.redhill.net.au/c-amd.html 3 Motivation: Moving R&D to High Volume (R&D Labs) • Lack of production capacity to produce output at a level necessary to satisfy total market demand • Manufacturing costs at R&D facilities are usually higher than at high-volume manufacturing facilities • Outsource/license the product to reach a bigger market at lower costs 4 Research Questions • Why/when would a company license its intellectual property (IP)? • What is the role of an inventor’s capacity in the market equilibrium? • What is the role of manufacturing cost in product licensing? 5 Agenda • Model Definition • Analysis of the Model • Conclusion 6 Model Definition-I End consumers Price p OEM Wholesale price, w1 CS Literature Review Model Definition CS2 Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 7 Model Definition-II End consumers End consumers Price p Price p OEM OEM Wholesale price, w1 Wholesale price, w2 CS Wholesale price, w1 CS2 CS CS2 Royalty Fee, α Transfer Price, t2 Outsource the production to CS2 License the component to CS2 Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 8 Modeling Demand • CS develops a component, which will be embedded within OEM’s new product • The potential number of customers attracted by OEM’s product is N • The probability that any customer purchases OEM’s product at price p with price sensitivity b is: ( p ) 1 bp • The aggregate demand is therefore: D N ( p) N (1 bp) Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 9 Modeling Supply • CS may produce her proprietary component at unit production cost c and sell it to OEM at a wholesale price w1 • CS has limited production capacity K • CS can subcontract the production to CS2, who has “virtually unlimited capacity” and lower production cost c Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 10 Agenda • Model Definition • Analysis of the Model • Licensing • Conclusion 11 LICENSING Analysis NO YES License the product? NO Produce capacity, license the rest (K,D-K) Case I Produce all (D,0) License all (0,D) D<K Literature Review YES Case III Case II Condition: Participate in production? Condition: D>K Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 12 LICENSING Results K CASE II (D,0) CASE I (0,D) N 4 CASE III (K,D-K) 1 2 b( 2 ) 1 b( 2 ) 1 b c 13 LICENSING Summary of the Results - Licensing • Royalty fee is independent of CS’s capacity It depends only on price sensitivity and CS2’s cost • Even when CS has “virtually unlimited capacity,” she may still want to license • When the capacity is limited, licensing creates competition for CS2 CS2 produces more than he wants • More capacity is not always good for CS Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 14 Agenda • Model Definition • Analysis of the Model • Licensing • Outsourcing • Conclusion 15 OUTSOURCING Analysis • Similar to licensing contracts, three cases to analyze: CASE A: CS2 sets transfer price t2<c, hence CS outsource all her production - (0,D) CASE B: CS2 sets transfer price t2=c, hence CS is indifferent between in-house production and outsourcing - (0,D) CASE C: CS2 sets transfer price t2>c, hence CS outsource the residual demand – (K, D-K) Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 16 OUTSOURCING Results CASE B (0,D) CASE A (0,D) CASE C (K,D-K) Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 17 OUTSOURCING Summary of the Results - Outsourcing • CS2 has “virtually” moved up in the supply chain Hence it is: Driving the supply chain Getting most out of the relation Always participates in production • CS’s capacity can be used strategically when she does not have “virtually unlimited capacity” CS does not participate in production even if she has too much capacity Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 18 Agenda • Model Definition • Analysis of the Model • Licensing • Outsourcing • Comparison • Conclusion 19 Licensing vs. Outsourcing (CS’s profit) • Licensing is weakly preferred for almost all of the K-c region: Better outcome is sustainable with licensing Royalty fee is higher than profit margin from outsourcing Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 20 Conclusion • Licensing is a reasonable alternative to outsourcing for a low cost, under-capacity supplier • Capacity can be used strategically by both suppliers to achieve higher profits, especially when CS’s capacity is low • Even when building capacity is free, it is not always in CS’s best interest to increase her capacity, especially when her supply chain partners know her exact capacity CS does not always produce more when her capacity increases Literature Review Model Definition Analysis of the Model Extensions Conclusion 21 THANK YOU! QUESTIONS? Service & Repair Concept Functioning Design Strategic Sourcing 2nd Source Manufacturing Mechanical Design Services Procure Components Plastics PCBA Mfg. Testing Final Packaging Chip Packaging Chip Design (GPU & MCP) Fabless Mfg. Copyright 1995-2003, Agile Software Corporation. Confidential and Proprietary Information. All Rights Reserved. 22