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CHAPTER The Market Forces of Supply and Demand Economics PRINCIPLES OF N. Gregory Mankiw © 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning, all rights reserved In this chapter, look for the answers to these questions: What factors affect buyers’ demand for goods? What factors affect sellers’ supply of goods? How do supply and demand determine the price of a good and the quantity sold? How do changes in the factors that affect demand or supply affect the market price and quantity of a good? How do markets allocate resources? 1 Demand The quantity demanded of any good is the amount of the good that buyers are willing and able to purchase. Law of demand: the claim that the quantity demanded of a good falls when the price of the good rises, other things equal THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 2 The Market Demand Curve for Lattes P Qd (Market) $0.00 24 $5.00 1.00 21 $4.00 2.00 18 3.00 15 4.00 12 5.00 9 6.00 6 P $6.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 3 Demand Curve Shifters The demand curve shows how price affects quantity demanded, other things being equal. These “other things” are non-price determinants of demand (i.e., things that determine buyers’ demand for a good, other than the good’s price). Changes in them shift the D curve… P $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q 4 Summary: Variables That Influence Buyers Variable A change in this variable… Price …causes a movement along the D curve # of buyers …shifts the D curve Income …shifts the D curve Price of related goods …shifts the D curve Tastes …shifts the D curve Expectations …shifts the D curve THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 5 ACTIVE LEARNING Demand Curve 1 Draw a demand curve for music downloads. What happens to it in each of the following scenarios? Why? A. The price of iPods falls B. The price of music downloads falls C. The price of CDs falls 6 Supply The quantity supplied of any good is the amount that sellers are willing and able to sell. Law of supply: the claim that the quantity supplied of a good rises when the price of the good rises, other things equal THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 7 The Market Supply Curve P QS (Market) $0.00 0 1.00 5 2.00 10 $4.00 3.00 15 $3.00 4.00 20 $2.00 5.00 25 6.00 30 P $6.00 $5.00 $1.00 Q $0.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 8 Supply Curve Shifters The supply curve shows how price affects quantity supplied, other things being equal. These “other things” are non-price determinants of supply. Changes in them shift the S curve… $6.00 P $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 0 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q 9 Summary: Variables that Influence Sellers Variable A change in this variable… Price …causes a movement along the S curve Input Prices …shifts the S curve Technology …shifts the S curve # of Sellers …shifts the S curve Expectations …shifts the S curve THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 10 ACTIVE LEARNING Supply Curve 2 Draw a supply curve for tax return preparation software. What happens to it in each of the following scenarios? A. Retailers cut the price of the software. B. A technological advance allows the software to be produced at lower cost. C. Professional tax return preparers raise the price of the services they provide. 11 Supply and Demand Together P $6.00 D S $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 Equilibrium: P has reached the level where quantity supplied equals quantity demanded $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 12 Surplus (a.k.a. excess supply): when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P $6.00 D Surplus S $5.00 Example: If P = $5, then QD = 9 lattes $4.00 and QS = 25 lattes $3.00 $2.00 resulting in a surplus of 16 lattes $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 13 Surplus (a.k.a. excess supply): when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P $6.00 D $5.00 $4.00 Surplus S Facing a surplus, sellers try to increase sales by cutting price. This causes QD to rise and QS to fall… $3.00 …which reduces the surplus. $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 14 Surplus (a.k.a. excess supply): when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded P $6.00 D $5.00 $4.00 Surplus S Facing a surplus, sellers try to increase sales by cutting price. This causes QD to rise and QS to fall. $3.00 Prices continue to fall until market reaches equilibrium. $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Q 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 15 A Shift in Supply EXAMPLE 2: EVENT: New technology reduces cost of producing hybrid cars. P S1 S2 STEP 1: S curve shifts because STEP 2: event affects cost of production. S shifts right D curve does not shift, because event STEP 3: production because reduces cost, The shift causes technology is not one makes production price to fall that of the factors more profitable at and quantity to rise. affect demand. any given price. P1 P2 D1 Q Q1 Q2 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND 16 EXAMPLE 3: A Shift in Both Supply and Demand EVENTS: price of gas rises AND new technology reduces production costs STEP 1: P2 Both curves shift. P P S1 S2 1 STEP 2: Both shift to the right. STEP 3: Q rises, but effect on P is ambiguous: If demand increases more than supply, P rises. D1 D2 Q Q1 THE MARKET FORCES OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Q2 17 EXAMPLE 3: EVENTS: price of gas rises AND new technology reduces production costs STEP 3, cont. But if supply increases more than demand, P falls. A Shift in Both Supply and Demand P S1 S2 P1 P2 D1 D2 Q Q1 Q2 18 Elasticity Basic idea: Elasticity measures how much one variable responds to changes in another variable. One type of elasticity measures how much demand for your websites will fall if you raise your price. Price elasticity of demand measures how much Qd responds to a change in P. Price elasticity of supply measures how much Qs responds to a change in P. 19 Price Elasticity of Demand Price elasticity of demand Example: Price elasticity of demand equals 15% = 1.5 10% Percentage change in Qd = Percentage change in P P P rises P2 by 10% P1 D Q2 Q1 Q Q falls by 15% 20 The Determinants of Price Elasticity: A Summary The price elasticity of demand depends on: the extent to which close substitutes are available whether the good is a necessity or a luxury how broadly or narrowly the good is defined the time horizon – elasticity is higher in the long run than the short run 21 Price Elasticity of Supply Price elasticity of supply Percentage change in Qs = Percentage change in P P Example: Price elasticity of supply equals S P rises P2 by 8% P1 16% = 2.0 8% ELASTICITY AND ITS APPLICATION Q1 Q2 Q Q rises by 16% 22 The Determinants of Supply Elasticity The more easily sellers can change the quantity they produce, the greater the price elasticity of supply. Example: Supply of beachfront property is harder to vary and thus less elastic than supply of new cars. For many goods, price elasticity of supply is greater in the long run than in the short run, because firms can build new factories, or new firms may be able to enter the market. ELASTICITY AND ITS APPLICATION 23 The Variety of Curves The price elasticity of demand/supply is closely related to the slope of the demand/supply curve. Rule of thumb: The flatter the curve, the bigger the elasticity. The steeper the curve, the smaller the elasticity. 24 APPLICATION: Does Drug Interdiction Increase or Decrease Drug-Related Crime? One side effect of illegal drug use is crime: Users often turn to crime to finance their habit. We examine two policies designed to reduce illegal drug use and see what effects they have on drug-related crime. For simplicity, we assume the total dollar value of drug-related crime equals total expenditure on drugs. Demand for illegal drugs is inelastic, due to addiction issues. 25 Policy 1: Interdiction Interdiction reduces the supply of drugs. Since demand for drugs is inelastic, P rises proportionally more than Q falls. Price of Drugs new value of drugrelated crime D1 S2 S1 P2 initial value of drug-related crime P1 Result: an increase in total spending on drugs, and in drug-related crime ELASTICITY AND ITS APPLICATION Q2 Q1 Quantity of Drugs 26 Policy 2: Education Education reduces the demand for drugs. Price of Drugs new value of drugrelated crime D2 D1 S P and Q fall. initial value of drug-related crime P1 Result: A decrease in total spending on drugs, and in drug-related crime. P2 Q2 Q1 Quantity of Drugs 27