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Demand Economics Objectives To understand what is meant by ‘demand’ To understand the concept of marginal utility To be able to draw demand curves To understand what causes a movement along a demand curve and a shift of a demand curve To understand what consumer surplus is Demand: Buyers in the Market Demand: • The quantity of a product that consumers are willing and able to buy at a given price over a given period of time • Consider the demand for iPod Nano’s – what will happen to the demand as the price decreases? The Law of Demand ‘As the price of a product falls the quantity demanded will usually increase, ‘ceteris paribus’ Ceteris Paribus- Latin phrase meaning ‘all other factors remain constant/ the same’. We use it to isolate the impact of one factor. Demand Curve As price falls from P1 to P2 quantity demanded rises from Q1 to Q2 Price P1 P2 D1 0 Q1 Q2 Quantity Any changes in price will lead to a movement along the demand curve (contraction or extension) Price changes have both income and substitution effects When the price of a good falls the rise in demand is due to • Income Effect, a price fall means people see in an increase in their ‘real income’, hence they can afford to buy more • Substitution Effect, when the price of a product falls the product becomes more attractive relative to other products whose prices are unchanged.. Downward-sloping demand curve N.B. The demand curve is normally drawn in textbooks as a straight line suggesting a linear relationship between price and demand, but in reality, the demand curve will be non-linear Demand: Marginal Utility Theory The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility The shape of the typical demand curve may also be explained by the action of diminishing marginal utility Utility is the satisfaction gained from consuming a good or service As more of a good or service is bought, the total utility derived increases. Demand: Marginal Utility Theory The additional utility received from the last unit consumed is known as the Marginal Utility As more of a good is consumed it is generally accepted that marginal utility diminishes. Demand: Marginal Utility Theory Example Plot the Total Utility on a graph Plot the Marginal utility on a separate graph Chocolate Bars Consumed Total Utility 1 10 Marginal Utility 9 2 19 8 3 27 7 4 34 3 5 37 -2 6 35 Demand - Marginal Utility Theory Marginal Utility declines as the consumption of a good increases The MU curve is the same as the individual’s demand curve if measured in money terms Demand: Marginal Utility Theory Price measures sacrifice in the sense that it indicates what other things might have been obtained with the money Since MU diminishes, consumers will be tempted to buy more of a product only if it’s price is lowered Thus as the price of a good falls more is demanded Note: Consumers seek to maximise their total utility by dividing their spending between products in such a way that the MU per penny spent on each product is equal. Consumer Surplus There are always some consumers willing to pay more than the given price eg. Football matches ‘Benefit’ to the consumer It is the difference between the total value consumers place on all the units consumed and the payments they need to make in order to actually purchase that commodity Consumer Surplus Diagram Price P1 Consumer Surplus E D Q1 Quantity On another diagram illustrate the impact on consumer surplus when there is a rise in the price. Change in Consumer Surplus New consumer surplus Price P2 E2 Loss of consumer surplus = P1P2E2E1 E1 P1 D Q2 Q1 Quantity Consumer Surplus A change in the price of a product affects the amount of consumer surplus people receive A rise in the price reduces consumer surplus and a fall in price raises consumer surplus When we analyse the impact of a change in price we can explain the impact on the consumers using the concept of consumer surplus to show lost or gained benefit to consumers Latent Demand Latent Demand • Latent demand exists when there is willingness to purchase a good, but where the consumer lacks the real purchasing power to be able to afford the product • Latent demand is affected by persuasive advertising – where the producer is seeking to influence consumer tastes and preferences • List 3 products that you have latent demand for Effective Demand Effective Demand • When a consumers' desire to buy a product is backed up by an ability to pay for it Joint Demand Joint Demand The demand for a product X might be strongly linked to the demand for a related product Y You own a sports shop. If the demand for tennis racquets rises (after watching Wimbledon?) what will happen to the demand for tennis balls? Goods which are in ‘joint’ demand are called compliments or complimentary goods So if you decide to drop the price of golf clubs what will happen to demand for golf clubs? What will happen to demand for other products in your shop? If the price of chicken in the UK fell, we would expect a rise in demand for chicken, what other demand may be affected as a result? When the fall in price of good a causes a rise in demand for good b, we say these goods are substitutes they are in competitive demand Derived Demand When a product or factor (factor of production) is demanded not for itself, but for what it can produce. Eg. Teachers are demanded by schools because students/ parents demand education. A car manufacturer will demand rubber for tyres because of the demand for cars. Any other examples? Derived demand The housing market is a good example of the idea of derived demand. When construction of new homes rises, so too does the demand for materials used in new properties as well as demand for labour Shifts in the demand curve Changes in the conditions of demand Shifts in the Demand Curve A change in price causes a movement along the demand curve whereas a change in any other factor that influence demand will cause a shift of the whole curve (usually a parallel shift). Draw a diagram to show an increase in demand for new cars Factors that influence Demand Other than price, what factors do you think would influence the demand for a new car? Demand for New Cars Consumer Confidence Interest Rates Relative prices of second-hand vehicles Cost of fuel Road Charges / Tax Relative costs of travelling on public transport Availability of Credit Costs of car insurance and servicing etc TIMERS- factors that shift the demand curve Taste- influenced by advertising, fashion etc Income- influenced by economic growth and income tax etc Market size- change in population Expectations- predictions about the future, consumer/ business confidence Related goods- complements and substitutes Seasons- including weather Note there are many many factors that affect demand this is just a simple way to remember some of them! Substitutes Recall: Substitutes are goods in competitive demand They are replacements for another product. Esso and Shell are competing brands of petrol in the UK A rise in the price of Esso petrol (other factors held constant) should cause a substitution effect away from Esso towards Shell (or other competing brands) Fill out the following diagram to show the effect of a rise in the price of Esso petrol and what impact this has on the demand for Shell petrol Changes in price of Substitutes Price of Texaco petrol Price of Shell petrol D1 Output (Q) D1 Output (Q) Changes in price of Substitutes Price of Texaco petrol Price of Shell petrol P2 P1 P1 Demand Q2 Q1 Output (Q) D1 Q1 Q2 D2 Output (Q) Complements Recall: Complements are said to be in joint demand Examples include: bread and butter, DVD players and DVDs, iron ore and steel A rise in the price of a complement to Good X should cause a fall in the demand for y Using 2 corresponding diagrams (as previously) show what would happen to the demand for car insurance when the price of cars increases. Normal and Inferior Goods A normal good will face an increase in demand as income rises. Eg? An inferior good faces a decrease in demand as income rises. They are often cheaper poorer quality substitutes for some other good Eg? Exceptions to the law of demand Speculative Demand The demand for a product can be affected by speculative demand. Here, potential buyers are interested not just in the satisfaction they may get from consuming the product, but also the potential rise in market price leading to a capital gain or profit Giffen Good Unique type of inferior good- as the price increases demand increases Sir R Giffen (1837-1919) suggested there was a tendency for the very poor to buy more of the basic foodstuffs on which they depended when the price rose, and less when the price fell Eg. Bread- A rise in price would mean these consumers have little extra money to spend on meat (for eg.) so would abandon their demand for these and instead buy more bread to fill up their stomachs. Consequently a rise in the price of bread led to a rise in the demand for bread Most economists agree there are no real examples of Giffen goods in developed economies. Some evidence (Jenson and Miller, 2002) Giffen goods may exist in the form of rice and noodles in some parts of China Veblen Goods Thorstein Veblen- as the price rises demand increases Some products become more popular as the price rises Partly due to ‘conspicuous consumption’people get satisfaction from being seen by other people to consume expensive goods “Failure to consume in due quantity and quality becomes a mark of inferiority and demerit” Examples? Price At low prices a typical Veblen good will have a normal demand curve, as rice rises eventually the good achieves “snob value status” and further price rises lead to increases in demand “Snob Value Status” D Quantity