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Chapter 12 Keynesian Business Cycle Theory: Sticky Wages and Prices Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 12 Topics • Construction of the Keynesian sticky wage model: labor market, aggregate supply, IS and LM curves, aggregate demand. • Nonneutrality of money when wages are sticky. • The Role of Government in the sticky wage model. • A Keynesian sticky price model. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-2 Figure 12.1 The Labor Market in the Keynesian Sticky Wage Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-3 Figure 12.2 The Labor Market in the Keynesian Sticky Wage Model When There Is Excess Demand Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-4 Figure 12.3 Construction of the Aggregate Supply Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-5 Figure 12.4 The Effect of an Increase in W or a Decrease in z Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-6 Figure 12.5 The IS Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-7 Figure 12.6 Money Demand, Money Supply, and the LM Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-8 Figure 12.7 Determination of r and Y Given P Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-9 Figure 12.8 The Effect of an Increase in the Money Supply on the LM Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-10 Figure 12.9 The Effect of an Increase in the Price Level on the LM Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-11 Figure 12.10 A Positive Shift in Money Demand Shifts the LM Curve to the Left Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-12 Figure 12.11 The Aggregate Demand Curve Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-13 Figure 12.12 A Shift to the Right in the IS Curve Shifts the AD Curve to the Right Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-14 Figure 12.13 A Shift to the Right in the LM Curve Shifts the AD Curve to the Right Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-15 Figure 12.14 The Keynesian Sticky Wage Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-16 An Increase in the Money Supply • The LM curve and AD curve shift to the right. • The real interest rate falls, the price level rises, the real wage falls, firms hire more labor, real output increases, consumption rises, investment rises. • Money is not neutral in the short run when nominal wages are sticky. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-17 Figure 12.15 An Increase in the Money Supply in the Sticky Wage Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-18 Table 12.1 Data vs. Predictions of the Keynesian Sticky Wage Model with Monetary Shocks Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-19 Figure 12.16 Percentage Deviations from Trend in the Money Supply and Real GDP for the Period 1959–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-20 Table 12.2 Data vs. Predictions of the Keynesian Sticky Wage Model with Investment Shocks Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-21 Figure 12.17 Real and Nominal Interest Rates, 1934–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-22 Figure 12.18 An Increase in the Demand for Investment Goods in the Sticky Wage Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-23 Figure 12.19 Long-Run Adjustment of the Nominal Wage Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-24 The Role of Government Policy in the Sticky Wage Model • Keynesian unemployment will be eliminated and economic efficiency restored in the long run when nominal wages adjust to equate supply and demand in the labor market. • In the short run, efficiency can be restored through appropriate monetary or fiscal policy in the sticky wage model. • Monetary or fiscal policy needs to act quickly enough, and given the right information, to have the predicted effects. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-25 Figure 12.20 Stabilization Policy in the Sticky Wage Model–Monetary Policy Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-26 Figure 12.21 Stabilization Policy in the Sticky Wage Model–Fiscal Policy Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-27 Sticky Price Model • Firms do not change their nominal prices in the short run, as this is too costly. • If demand rises, then firms satisfy this demand by increasing output. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-28 Figure 12.22 The Keynesian Sticky Price Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-29 Equation 12.1 The quantity of employment N must be consistent with the quantity of output Y and the production function: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-30 Equation 12.2 Employment is then an increasing function of Y/z and K. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-31 Figure 12.23 Determination of Employment in the Sticky Price Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-32 Figure 12.24 The Effect of an Increase in Total Factor Productivity on Employment in the Sticky Wage Model Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. 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