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Transcript
Supply and Demand
 Supply and demand is an economic
model
 Designed to explain how prices are
determined in certain types of markets
 What you will learn in this chapter
 How the model of supply and demand
works and how to use it
 Strengths and limitations of model
Markets
 Specific location where buying and selling
takes place, such as
 Supermarket or a flea market
 In economics, a market is not a place but
rather
 A group of buyers and sellers with the potential
to trade with each other
 Economists think of the economy as a
collection of individual markets
 First step in an economic analysis is to
define and characterize the market or
collection of markets to analyze
How Broadly Should We Define The
Market
 Defining the market often requires
economists to group things together
 Aggregation is the combining of a group of
distinct things into a single whole
 Markets can be defined broadly or narrowly,
depending on our purpose
 How broadly or narrowly markets are defined is
one of the most important differences between
Macroeconomics and Microeconomics
Defining Macroeconomic Markets
 Goods and services are aggregated to
the highest levels
 Macro models lump all consumer goods
into the single category “consumption
goods”
 Macro models will also analyze all capital
goods(??) as one market
 Macroeconomists take an overall view of
the economy without getting bogged down
in details (that’s why ‘Macro’.. right?)
Defining Microeconomic Markets
 Markets are defined narrowly
 Focus on models that define much more
specific commodities
 Always involves some aggregation
 The process stops before it reaches the
highest level of generality
Buyers and Sellers
 Buyers and sellers in a market can be
 Households
 Business firms
 Government agencies
 All three can be both buyers and sellers in the same
market, but are not always
 For purposes of simplification this text will usually
follow these guidelines
 In markets for consumer goods, we’ll view business
firms as the only sellers, and households as only
buyers
 In most of our discussions, we’ll be leaving out the
“middleman”
Competition in Markets
 In imperfectly competitive markets, individual buyers or
sellers can influence the price of the product
 In perfectly competitive markets (or just competitive
markets), each buyer and seller takes the market price as
a given
 What makes some markets imperfectly competitive and
others perfectly competitive?
 Perfectly competitive markets have many small buyers or
sellers Each is a small part of the market, and the product is
standardized
 Imperfectly competitive markets have just a few large
buyers or sellers or else the product of each seller is
unique in some way
Using Supply and Demand
 Supply and demand model is designed to
explain how prices are determined in
perfectly competitive markets
 Perfect competition is rare but many markets
come reasonably close
 Perfect competition is a matter of degree rather
than an all or nothing characteristic
 Supply and demand is one of the most
versatile and widely used models in the
economist’s tool kit
Demand
 A household’s quantity demanded of a good
 Specific amount household would choose to buy
over some time period, given
 A particular price that must be paid for the good
 All other constraints on the household
 Market quantity demanded (or quantity
demanded) is the specific amount of a good
that all buyers in the market would choose to
buy over some time period, given
 A particular price they must pay for the good
 All other constraints on households
The Law of Demand
 States that when the price of a good
rises and everything else remains the
same, the quantity of the good
demanded will fall
 The words, “everything else remains the
same” are important
 In the real world many variables change
simultaneously
 However, in order to understand the economy
we must first understand each variable
separately
 Thus we assume that, “everything else remains
the same,” in order to understand how demand
reacts to price
The Demand Schedule and The
Demand Curve
 Demand schedule
 A list (price- quantity combination) showing the
quantity of a good that consumers would choose to
purchase at different prices, with all other variables
held constant
 The market demand curve (or just demand curve)
shows the relationship between the price of a good
and the quantity demanded , holding constant all
other variables that influence demand
 Each point on the curve shows the total buyers would
choose to buy at a specific price
 Law of demand tells us that demand curves virtually
always slope downward
Figure 1: The Demand Curve
Price per
Bottle
When the price is $4.00
per bottle, 40,000 bottles
are demanded (point A).
$4.00
A
B
2.00
At $2.00 per bottle,
60,000 bottles are
demanded (point B).
D
40,000
60,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Shifts vs. Movements Along The
Demand Curve
 A change in the price of a good causes a movement
along the demand curve
 In Figure 1
 A fall (rise) in price would cause a movement to the
right (left) along the demand curve
 A change in income causes a shift in the demand
curve itself
 In Figure 2
 Demand curve has shifted to the right of the old
curve (from Figure 1) as income has risen
 A change in any variable that affects demand—except
for the good’s price—causes the demand curve to
shift
Figure 2:
Curve
A Shift of The Demand
Price per
Bottle
An increase in income
shifts the demand curve for
maple syrup from D1 to D2.
At each price, more bottles
are demanded after the
shift
B
C
$2.00
60,000
D1
D2
80,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Dangerous Curves: “Change in Quantity
Demanded” vs. “Change in Demand”
 Language is important when discussing demand
 “Quantity demanded” means
 A particular amount that buyers would choose to buy
at a specific price (it is a number represented by a
single point) on a demand curve
 When a change in the price of a good moves us along
a demand curve, it is a change in quantity demanded
 The term demand means
 The entire relationship between price and quantity
demanded—and represented by the entire demand
curve
 When something other than price changes, causing the
entire demand curve to shift, it is a change in demand
Income: Factors That Shift The
Demand Curve
 An increase in income has effect of
shifting demand for normal goods to
the right
 However, a rise in income shifts demand
for inferior goods to the left
 A rise in income will increase the
demand for a normal good, and
decrease the demand for an inferior
good
Wealth: Factors That Shift The
Demand Curve
 Your wealth—at any point in time—is
the total value of everything you own
minus the total dollar amount you
owe
 An increase in wealth will
 Increase demand (shift the curve
rightward) for a normal good
 Decrease demand (shift the curve
leftward) for an inferior good
Prices of Related Goods: Factors
that Shift the Demand Curve
 Substitute—good that can be used in place
of some other good and that fulfills more or
less the same purpose
 A rise in the price of a substitute increases the
demand for a good, shifting the demand curve
to the right
 Complement—used together with the good
we are interested in
 A rise in the price of a complement decreases
the demand for a good, shifting the demand
curve to the left
Other Factors That Shift the
Demand Curve
 Population
 As the population increases in an area
 Number of buyers will ordinarily increase
 Demand for a good will increase
 Expected Price
 An expectation that price will rise (fall) in the future
shifts the current demand curve rightward (leftward)
 Tastes
 Combination of all the personal factors that go into
determining how a buyer feels about a good
 When tastes change toward a good, demand
increases, and the demand curve shifts to the right
 When tastes change away from a good, demand
decreases, and the demand curve shifts to the left
Figure 3(a): Movements Along and
Shifts of The Demand Curve
Price
Price increase moves us
leftward along demand
curve
P2
Price decrease moves
us rightward along
demand curve
P1
P3
Q2
Q1
Q3
Quantity
Figure 3(b): Movements Along and
Shifts of The Demand Curve
Price
Entire demand curve shifts
rightward when:
• income or wealth ↑
• price of substitute ↑
• price of complement ↓
• population ↑
• expected price ↑
• tastes shift toward good
D2
D1
Quantity
Figure 3(c): Movements Along and
Shifts of The Demand Curve
Price
Entire demand curve shifts
leftward when:
• income or wealth ↓
• price of substitute ↓
• price of complement ↑
• population ↓
• expected price ↓
• tastes shift away from good
D1
D2
Quantity
Supply
 A firm’s quantity supplied of a good is the
specific amount its managers would choose
to sell over some time period, given
 A particular price for the good
 All other constraints on the firm
 Market quantity supplied (or quantity
supplied) is the specific amount of a good
that all sellers in the market would choose
to sell over some time period, given
 A particular price for the good
 All other constraints on firms
The Law of Supply
 States that when the price of a good rises
and everything else remains the same,
the quantity of the good supplied will rise
 The words, “everything else remains the
same” are important
 In the real world many variables change
simultaneously
 However, in order to understand the economy we
must first understand each variable separately
 We assume “everything else remains the same”
in order to understand how supply reacts to price
The Supply Schedule and The Supply
Curve
 Supply schedule—shows quantities of
a good or service firms would choose
to produce and sell at different prices,
(so again P-Q combination but??)with
all other variables held constant
 Supply curve—graphical depiction of a
supply schedule
 Shows quantity of a good or service
supplied at various prices, with all other
variables held constant
Figure 4: The Supply Curve
Price per
Bottle
When the price is $2.00
per bottle, 40,000 bottles
are supplied (point F).
$4.00
2.00
S
G
At $4.00 per bottle,
quantity supplied is
60,000 bottles (point G).
F
40,000
60,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Shifts vs. Movements Along the
Supply Curve
 A change in the price of a good causes a
movement along the supply curve
 In Figure 4
 A rise (fall) in price would cause a rightward
(leftward) movement along the supply curve
 A drop in transportation costs will cause a shift
in the supply curve itself
 In Figure 5
 Supply curve has shifted to the right of the old curve
(from Figure 4) as transportation costs have dropped
 A change in any variable that affects supply—except
for the good’s price—causes the supply curve to shift
Figure 5: A Shift of The Supply
Curve
Price per
Bottle
A decrease in transportation
costs shifts the supply curve for
maple syrup from S1 to S2.
S1
S2
At each price, more bottles
are supplied after the shift
$4.00
G
60,000
J
80,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Factors That Shift the Supply Curve
 Input prices
 A fall (rise) in the price of an input causes an
increase (decrease) in supply, shifting the supply
curve to the right (left)
 Price of Related Goods
 When the price of an alternate good rises (falls), the
supply curve for the good in question shifts leftward
(rightward)
 Technology
 Cost-saving technological advances increase the
supply of a good, shifting the supply curve to the
right
Factors That Shift the Supply Curve
 Number of Firms
 An increase (decrease) in the number of
sellers—with no other changes—shifts
the supply curve to the right (left)
 Expected Price
 An expectation of a future price increase
(decrease) shifts the current supply
curve to the left (right)
Factors That Shift the Supply Curve
 Changes in weather
 Favorable weather
 Increases crop yields
 Causes a rightward shift of the supply curve for that
crop
 Unfavorable weather
 Destroys crops
 Shrinks yields
 Shifts the supply curve leftward
 Other unfavorable natural events may effect all
firms in an area
 Causing a leftward shift in the supply curve
Figure 6(a): Changes in Supply
and in Quantity Supplied
Price
S
Price increase moves
us rightward along
supply curve
P2
P1
Price decrease
moves us leftward
along supply curve
P3
Q3
Q1
Q2
Quantity
Figure 6(b): Changes in Supply and
in Quantity Supplied
Price
Entire supply curve shifts
rightward when:
• price of input ↓
• price of alternate good ↓
• number of firms ↑
• expected price ↓
• technological advance
• favorable weather
S1
S2
Quantity
Figure 6(c): Changes in Supply
and in Quantity Supplied
Price
Entire supply curve shifts
leftward when:
• price of input ↑
• price of alternate good ↑
• number of firms ↓
• expected price ↑
• unfavorable weather
S2
S1
Quantity
In Summary: Factors That Shift
The Supply Curve
 The short list of shift-variables for supply
that we have discussed is far from
exhaustive
 In some cases, even the threat of such
events can cause serious effects on
production
 Basic principle is always the same
 Anything that makes sellers want to sell more or
less of a good at any given price will shift supply
curve
Equilibrium: Putting Supply and
Demand Together
 When a market is in equilibrium
 Both price of good and quantity bought and sold
have settled into a state of rest
 The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity
are values for price and quantity in the market
but, once achieved, will remain constant
 Unless and until supply curve or demand curve
shifts
 The equilibrium price and equilibrium
quantity can be found on the vertical and
horizontal axes, respectively
 At point where supply and demand curves cross
Figure 7: Market Equilibrium
Price per
Bottle
2. causes the price
to rise . . .
3. shrinking the
excess demand . . .
S
E
$3.00
1.00
H
4. until price reaches its
equilibrium value of $3.00
.
J
Excess Demand
D
1. At a price of $1.00 per
bottle an excess demand
of 50,000 bottles . . .
25,000 50,000 75,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Excess Demand: Putting Supply
and Demand Together
 Excess demand
 At a given price, the excess of quantity
demanded over quantity supplied
 Price of the good will rise as buyers
compete with each other to get more
of the good than is available
Figure 8: Excess Supply and Price
Adjustment
Price per
Bottle
1. At a price of $5.00 per
bottle an excess supply
of 30,000 bottles . . .
Excess Supply at $5.00 S
$5.00
2. causes the
price to drop,
3.00
3. shrinking the
excess supply . . .
L
K
E
4. until price reaches its
equilibrium value of
$3.00.
D
35,000 50,000 65,000
Number of Bottles
per Month
Excess Supply: Putting Supply and
Demand Together
 Excess Supply
 At a given price, the excess of quantity
supplied over quantity demanded
 Price of the good will fall as sellers
compete with each other to sell more
of the good than buyers want
Income Rises: What Happens
When Things Change
 Income rises, causing an increase in
demand
 Rightward shift in the demand curve
causes rightward movement along the
supply curve
 Equilibrium price and equilibrium
quantity both rise
 Shift of one curve causes a
movement along the other curve to
new equilibrium point
Figure 9
Price per
Bottle
4. Equilibrium
price
increases
3. to a new
equilibrium.
S
$4.00
3.00
2. moves us along
the supply
curve . . .
F'
E
1. An increase in
demand . . .
D2
D1
5. and equilibrium quantity
increases too.
50,000 60,000
Number of Bottles of
Maple Syrup per Period
An Ice Storm Hits: What Happens When
Things Change
 An ice storm causes a decrease in
supply
 Weather is a shift variable for supply
curve
 Any change that shifts the supply curve
leftward in a market will increase the
equilibrium price
 And decrease the equilibrium quantity in that
market
Figure 10: A Shift of Supply and A
New Equilibrium
Price per
Bottle
$5.00
3.00
S2
S1
E'
E
D
35,000 50,000
Number of Bottles
Figure 11: Changes in the Market
for Handheld PCs
Price per
Handheld
PC
3. moved the market to
a new equilibrium.
2. and a decrease
in demand . . .
4. Price
decreased . . .
A
$500
B
S2002
S2003
1. An increase in
supply . . .
$400
D2002
5. and quantity
decreased as well.
D2003
2.45 3.33
Millions of Handheld PCs
per Quarter
Both Curves Shift
 When just one curve shifts (and we know
the direction of the shift) we can determine
the direction that both equilibrium price
and quantity will move
 When both curves shift (and we know the
direction of the shifts) we can determine
the direction for either price or quantity—
but not both
 Direction of the other will depend on which
curve shifts by more
The Three Step Process
 Key Step 1—Characterize the Market
 Decide which market or markets best suit
problem being analyzed and identify decision
makers (buyers and sellers) who interact there
 Key Step 2—Find the Equilibrium
 Describe conditions necessary for equilibrium in
the market, and a method for determining that
equilibrium
 Key Step 3—What Happens When Things
Change
 Explore how events or government polices
change market equilibrium
Using Supply and Demand: The
Invasion of Kuwait
 Why did Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait
cause the price of oil to rise?
 Immediately after the invasion, United
States led a worldwide embargo on oil
from both Iraq and Kuwait
 A significant decrease in the oil industry’s
productive capacity caused a shift in the
supply curve to the left
 Price of oil increased
Figure 12: The Market For Oil
Price per
Barrel of Oil
S2
S1
E'
P2
E
P1
D
Q2
Q1
Barrels of Oil
Using Supply and Demand: The
Invasion of Kuwait
 Why did the price of natural gas rise
as well?
 Oil is a substitute for natural gas
 Rise in the price of a substitute increases
demand for a good
 Rise in price of oil caused demand curve
for natural gas to shift to the right
 Thus, the price of natural gas rose
Figure 13: The Market For Natural
Gas
Price per Cubic
Foot of Natural
Gas
S
F'
P4
F
D2
P3
D1
Q3
Q4
Cubic Feet of
Natural Gas