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Lecture 6: MicroEcon ~ct’d Cost of Production Cost of production includes all the opportunity costs of making the output of goods and services. – Explicit costs: input costs that require a direct outlay of money by the firm. – Implicit costs: input costs that do not require an outlay of money by the firm. Profits The firm’s objective is to maximize profits Profit = Total revenue - Total cost Economic Profit: total revenue minus total cost, including both explicit and implicit costs. Accounting Profit: total revenue minus only the firm’s explicit costs. Explicit vs. Implicit Costs: An Example You need $100,000 to start your business. The interest rate is 5%. Case 1: borrow $100,000 – explicit cost = $5000 interest on loan Case 2: use $40,000 of your savings, borrow the other $60,000 – explicit cost = $3000 (5%) interest on the loan – implicit cost = $2000 (5%) foregone interest you could have earned on your $40,000. In both cases, total (exp + imp) costs are $5000. How an Economist Views a Firm Profits How an Accountant Views a Firm Economic profit Accounting profit Revenue Implicit costs Revenue Total opportunity costs Explicit costs Explicit costs Copyright © 2004 South-Western Article 6a: The Painful Truth About Profits Business Week; by: Michael Mandel Without profits there’s no incentive for innovation or creating new companies. Today the biggest problem is that most companies are shooting for a return to the highest profit levels of the late 1990s. >> HIGH WAGES – Despite the recession and a year of slow growth, corporate labor costs are nearly $1 trillion higher now than in 1997. – Real wages and benefits continue to climb, growing at 2% rate during the past year >> SLOW GLOBAL GROWTH – Weak economies overseas have kept exports flat at best – Most major industrial countries are expected to grow more slowly than the US in the coming year >> OVERBUILT – There’s already an excess of US industrial capacity – This makes it almost impossible for corporations to raise prices Article6b: Economic Profit vs. Accounting Profit WSJ; by Robert Bartley Profit is any income to a proprietor—Marxist Labor View—which is fallacious The economist is interested in the dynamic forces of production while: The accountant is interested in proprietorship….cost as a deduction from the owner’s income Economic profit is the unimputable income i.e. “the residium of product remaining after payment is made at rates established in competition with all comers for all services of men or things for which competition exists” The highest uses depend on economic profit-rate of return on assets-not on accounting profits. The issue of interest on equity has tended to constitute an issue between accountants and economic theorists EPS measures the corporate profit and is called the accounting profit Peter Drucker: EPS represents taxable earnings i.e. after all deductions, is purely arbitrary concept and has nothing to do with business performance NET-NET: Takes skill to convert EPS into meaningful economic profit concept. Marginal Product Marginal Product: for any input, it is the increase in output that arises from an additional unit of that input. Diminishing Marginal Product: the marginal product of an input declines as the quantity of the input increases. I 0 Y 0 MP Y = √I 1.0 1 3.5 1 0.4 2 1.4 2.5 0.3 3 1.7 2 2.2 1 0.5 0.2 5 2 1.5 0.3 4 3 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 Diminishing Marginal Product Quantity of Output (cookies per hour) Production function 150 I 0 Y 0 50 140 130 1 120 50 40 110 2 100 90 90 30 80 3 70 120 60 20 50 4 40 140 30 10 20 5 10 0 MP 1 2 3 4 5 Number of Workers Hired 150 Fixed & Variable Costs Fixed costs: those costs that do not vary with the quantity of output produced. Variable costs: those costs that do vary with the quantity of output produced. TC = TFC + TVC Total Costs – – – – Total Fixed Costs (TFC) Total Variable Costs (TVC) Total Costs (TC) TC = TFC + TVC Total Cost Curve Shows the relationship between the quantity a firm can produce and its costs. Total Cost Curve Total Cost Total-cost curve $80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Quantity of Output (cookies per hour) Marginal Cost Marginal Cost (MC): measures the increase in total cost that arises from an extra unit of production. (change in total cost) TC MC (change in quantity) Q EMBA Tavern (change in total cost) TC MC (change in quantity) Q Tavern’s Total-Cost Curve Total Cost $15.00 Total-cost curve 14.00 13.00 12.00 11.00 10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity of Output (pints of beer per hour) Average Costs Average costs can be determined by dividing the firm’s costs by the quantity of output it produces. The average cost is the cost of each typical unit of product. – ATC – AFC – AVC Tavern’s Various Cost Curves Costs $3.50 3.25 3.00 2.75 2.50 2.25 MC 2.00 1.75 1.50 ATC 1.25 AVC 1.00 0.75 0.50 AFC 0.25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity of Output (pints of beer per hour) Returns/Economies of Scale Economies of Scale: long-run average total cost falls as the quantity of output increases (implies Increasing Returns to Scale - IRS) Diseconomies of Scale: long-run average total cost rises as the quantity of output increases (implies Decreasing Returns to Scale – DRS) Minimum Efficient Scale: smallest quantity a firm can produce such that its long-run average total cost is minimized. Returns/Economies of Scale Increasing Returns to Scale (IRS): if a 1% increase in all inputs results in a greater than 1% increase in output Decreasing Returns to Scale (DRS): if a 1% increase in all inputs results in a less than 1% increase in output Constant returns to scale (CRS): if a 1% increase in all inputs results in an exactly1% increase in output Economies of Scale Average Total Cost ATC in long run $12,000 10,000 Economies of Scale (IRS) 0 Constant returns to scale 1,000 1,200 Diseconomies of Scale (DRS) Quantity of Cars per Day Competitive Firms Total Revenue Total Revenue: for a firm, is the selling price times the quantity sold. TR = (P Q) Total revenue is proportional to the amount of output. Average Revenue Average Revenue: how much revenue a firm receives for the typical unit sold. Total revenue Average Revenue = Quantity Price Quantity Quantity Price Marginal Revenue Marginal Revenue: the change in total revenue from an additional unit sold. MR =TR/ Q For competitive firms, marginal revenue equals the price of the good. Profit Maximization Firms will produce where TR-TC is greatest MR=MC Profit Maximization Costs and Revenue The firm maximizes profit by producing the quantity at which marginal cost equals marginal revenue. MC MC2 ATC P = MR = MC P = AR = MR AVC MC1 0 Q1 QMAX Q2 Quantity Measuring Profits Graphically Price Firm with Profits MC ATC P ATC P = AR = MR 0 Quantity Q (profit-maximizing quantity) Decision to Shut Down Shut Down: a short term decision to stop production (not to exit the market) – Sunk fixed costs are ignored Shut down if TR < TVC Shut down if TR/Q < TVC/Q – TR/Q = Average Revenue In equilibrium – TVC/Q = Average Variable Cost P = MR Shut down if P < AVC Decision to Shut Down Costs If P > ATC, the firm will continue to produce at a profit. Firm’s short-run supply curve MC ATC If P > AVC, firm will continue to produce in the short run. AVC Firm shuts down if P < AVC 0 Quantity Decision to Exit Exit: a long run decision to leave the market The firm exits if the revenue it would get from producing is less than its total cost. Exit if TR < TC Exit if TR/Q < TC/Q Exit if P < ATC Decision to Exit Costs Firm’s long-run supply curve Firm enters if P > ATC MC = long-run S ATC Firm exits if P < ATC 0 Quantity Measuring Profits Graphically Price MC ATC ATC P P = AR = MR Loss 0 Q (loss-minimizing quantity) Quantity Cost & Profits Airline Industry Major Costs as Shares of Operating Expenses % 50 40 30 20 10 0 1973 1978 1983 Labor Aircraft Ow nership 1988 1993 Fuel Non-Aircraft Ow nership US Airline Cost Index Report 2003 1998 2003 US Airline Cost Index Report 2004 ATA 2004 Economic Report Major Costs as Shares of Operating Expenses % 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1973 1978 1983 Passenger com m issions Utilities and Office Supplies 1988 1993 1998 2003 Advertising and prom otion Food and Beverages US Airline Cost Index Report 2003 Article 6c: One Airline’s Magic Time Magazine by: Sally Donnelly How does Southwest (SW) soar above its money losing rivals? Productivity Its employees work harder and are smarter, in return, they get job security and a share of profits – Pilots fly as many as 83 hours a month, compared with about 53 hours in a busy month at United Airlines – Flight attendants work almost twice as many hours as their counterparts at other airlines – Mechanics change airplane tires faster (like a NASCAR pit) and thus get higher wages than their counterparts at other airlines Flexibility – SW pilots also pitch in to help ground crews move luggage In return, SW compensates it workers in ways other than the base pay – It contributes 15% of its pre-tax income to a profit-sharing plan – It has assured all its workers and unions that there would be no lay-offs – SW doesn’t use the word “employee”, and gives them enough room to grow and learn – SW has enjoyed big savings by never having the type of defined-benefit pension plans which has proved so costly for other airlines Other advantages of SW: – Last year, SW selected 6,000 people out of 2 million resumes received on the basis of attitudes and not necessarily skills – SW flies point-to-point domestic routes, as opposed to the complex and expensive hub-and-spoke international networks – No meals served onboard, no bulky drink carts and no entertainment – SW uses less expensive, less crowded secondary airports – Flies only one type of aircraft – Boeing 737 to reduce maintenance costs – Employees own more than 10% of SW outstanding shares, thus they work more productively and more creatively to increase their own pay checks – Lowest cost per seat mile: 7.5 cents – Highest aircraft hours per day: 10.9 hrs/day WSJ Article 2002 So What is the Solution? Do the legacy airlines have any comparative advantage that they can use in competing with their low cost rivals for domestic travelers? – The honest answer is NO. The time has come for some of the airlines to either merge or liquidate so that excess capacity in the market can be reduced to profitability manage the new demand frontier. (permanent downward shift in demand curve esp. domestic flying) But will the mergers or liquidations save the big boys? Maybe… The only way out is a radical shift in thinking by the big airlines: outsource to low-cost airlines and allow them to bring passengers to your legacy hubs! Then fly these travelers to international destinations on your planes at premium prices where there is no competition from South-West and upstart airlines.