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Chapter 3 Demand and Supply Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Introduction When consumers’ incomes fall, they typically reduce their consumption of the majority of goods and services. But during the Great Recession of the late 2000s, consumers responded to falling incomes by buying more shoe repair services, electric hair clippers, and dial-up Internet access services. This chapter helps you understand why an income decline causes consumers to buy more of these goods and services. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-2 Learning Objectives • Explain the law of demand • Discuss the difference between money prices and relative prices • Distinguish between changes in demand and changes in quantity demanded Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-3 Learning Objectives (cont'd) • Explain the law of supply • Distinguish between changes in supply and changes in quantity supplied • Understand how supply and demand interact to determine equilibrium price and quantity Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-4 Chapter Outline • • • • • • • Demand The Demand Schedule Shifts in Demand The Law of Supply The Supply Schedule Shifts in Supply Putting Demand and Supply Together Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-5 Did You Know That ... • After world gasoline prices jumped in the late 2000s, global bicycle sales rose to more than 1 million per month? • Higher fuel prices induced many individuals to substitute away from gasoline powered vehicles in favor of bikes. • By using demand and supply, you can develop a better understanding of why sometimes we observe large increases in the purchase of items such as bicycles. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-6 Did You Know That … (cont’d) • Markets – Arrangements that individuals have for exchanging with one another – Represent the interaction of buyers and sellers for goods and services – Markets set the prices we pay and receive. • • • • Automobile market Health care market Labor market Stock market Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-7 Demand • A schedule showing how much of a good or service people will purchase at any price during a specified time period, other things being constant Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-8 Demand (cont’d) • Law of Demand – A negative, or inverse, relationship between the price of any good or service and the quantity demanded, holding other factors constant (ceteris paribus) • When the price of a good goes up, people buy less of it, other things being equal. • When the price of a good goes down, people buy more of it, other things being equal. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-9 Demand (cont’d) • What are we holding constant? – Income – Tastes and preferences – Price of other goods – Many other factors Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-10 Example: A Mistaken Price Change Confirms the Law of Demand • In Wisconsin Rapids, Wisconsin, employees at a Citgo station intending to change the posted price of gasoline to $3.49 per gallon accidentally changed the price to $0.349 per gallon. • During the few minutes between the error and correction of the mistake, customers used selfserve pumps to filling up their vehicles and any cans they had readily available. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-11 Demand (cont’d) • Relative prices and money prices – Relative Price • The price of a commodity in terms of another commodity – Money Price • Price we observe today in today’s dollars (absolute, or nominal price) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-12 Table 3-1 Money Price versus Relative Price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-13 Example: Why Even Low-Income Households Are Rushing to Buy iPhones • “Smart” cellphones, such as Apple’s iPhone, provide broadband Internet connectivity. • Surveys show that for some low-income consumers, an Internet-ready cellphone provides both phone and Internet services at a relatively low price. • So, the arrival of smart cellphones has caused the quality-adjusted cellphone price to drop sufficiently to justify purchasing the device. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-14 The Demand Schedule • Demand schedule – Table relating prices to quantities demanded – We must also consider: • Time dimension (e.g., per year) • Constant-quality units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-15 The Demand Schedule (cont’d) • Demand Curve – A graphical representation of the demand schedule – Negatively sloped line showing the inverse relationship between the price and the quantity demanded (other things being equal) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-16 Figure 3-1 The Individual Demand Schedule and the Individual Demand Curve, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-17 Figure 3-1 The Individual Demand Schedule and the Individual Demand Curve, Panel (b) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-18 The Demand Schedule (cont’d) • Individual versus market demand curves • Market Demand – The demand of all consumers in the marketplace for a particular good or service – Summation at each price of the quantity demanded by each individual Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-19 Figure 3-2 The Horizontal Summation of Two Demand Curves, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-20 Figure 3-2 The Horizontal Summation of Two Demand Curves, Panels (b), (c), (d) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-21 Figure 3-3 The Market Demand Schedule for Titanium Batteries, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-22 Figure 3-3 The Market Demand Schedule for Titanium Batteries, Panel (b) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-23 Shifts in Demand • Scenario – Imagine the government gives every registered college student in the United States an ereader. • If some factor other than price changes, we can show its effect by moving the entire demand curve, shifting the curve left or right. • In this case, there will be an increase in the number of titanium batteries demanded at each and every possible price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-24 Figure 3-4 A Shift in the Demand Curve Suppose universities prohibit the use of ereaders on campus Suppose the government gives an e-reader to every student Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-25 Determinants of Demand • Ceteris-Paribus Conditions – Determinants of the relationship between price and quantity that are unchanged along a curve – Changes in these factors cause a curve to shift Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-26 Normal and Inferior Goods • Normal Goods – Goods for which demand rises as income rises; most goods are normal goods • Inferior Goods – Goods for which demand falls as income rises Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-27 Example: An Income Drop Reveals That Divorce Services Are a Normal Good • During the Great Recession of the late 2000s, U.S. divorce filings dropped nationwide. • A study revealed that many couples decided that their individual incomes had dropped to levels too low to feel they could “afford” to live apart, and so they instead found ways to work through their marital problems. • So, divorce services are a normal good: As married couples’ incomes declined, so did their demand for those services. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-28 Shifts in Demand • Determinants of demand – Income – Tastes and preferences – The prices of related goods • Substitutes • Complements Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-29 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Substitutes – Two goods are substitutes when a change in the price of one causes a shift in demand for the other in the same direction as the price change Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-30 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Complements – Two goods are complements when a change in the price of one causes an opposite shift in the demand curve for the other Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-31 Example: Computer Hardware Consumers Substitute in Favor of “Clouds” • During the late 2000s, the real estate Web site Zillow tracked changes in the market values of houses by renting 500 computer servers and performing calculations using Web links among those servers. • In so doing, Zillow substituted away from buying traditional computer hardware in favor of “cloud computing”—renting clusters of hardware that can perform complex calculations over the Internet. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-32 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Determinants of demand – Expectations • Future prices • Income • Product availability – Market size (number of buyers) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-33 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Income: Normal Good Price Increase in income increases demand Decrease in income decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-34 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Income: Inferior Good Price Decrease in income increases demand Increase in income decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-35 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Tastes and Preferences Price Hybrid vehicles • Increase in demand SUVs • Decrease in demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-36 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Price of Related Goods: Substitutes Price Butter and Margarine • Price of both = $2/lb • Price of margarine increases to $3/lb • Demand for butter increases D1 D2 Q/Butter Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-37 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Price of Related Goods: Complements Price Speakers and Amplifiers • Decrease the relative price of amplifiers • Demand for speakers increases Speakers and Amplifiers • Increase the relative price of amplifiers • Demand for speakers decreases D3 D1 D2 Q/Speakers Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-38 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Expectations: Income, Future Prices Price A higher income or expectations of a higher future price will increase demand A lower income or expectations of a lower future price will decrease demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-39 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Market Size (Number of Buyers) Price Increase in the number of buyers increases demand Decrease in the number of buyers decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-40 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Changes in demand versus changes in quantity demanded – Whenever there is a change in a ceteris paribus condition, there will be a change in demand • A shift of the entire demand curve to the right or to the left • The only thing that can cause the entire curve to move is a change in a determinant other than the good’s own price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-41 Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Changes in demand versus changes in quantity demanded – A change in a good’s own price leads to a change in quantity demanded (a single point on a demand curve) for any given demand curve • A movement along the same demand curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-42 Figure 3-5 Movement Along a Given Demand Curve A change in the price changes the quantity of a good demanded, movement along the curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-43 The Law of Supply • Supply – Schedule showing relationship between price and quantity supplied for a specified time period, other things being equal – The amount of a product or service that firms are willing to sell at alternative prices Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-44 The Law of Supply (cont'd) • Law of Supply – The higher the price of a good, the more of that good sellers will make available over a specified time period, other things being equal • At higher prices, a larger quantity will generally be supplied than at lower prices, all other things held constant. • At lower prices, a smaller quantity will generally be supplied than at higher prices, all other things held constant. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-45 International Example: Why the Quantity of Brides Supplied Is Rising in China • In China, a prospective groom traditionally provides the prospective bride with a fixed payment called cai li, or “bride price”, when the couple marries. • During the 2000s, the bride price rose from about $300 to as much as $1,500. • As a consequence, the number of Chinese women accepting marriage proposals and receiving cai li increased considerably. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-46 The Supply Schedule • The supply schedule is a table relating prices to quantity supplied at each price. • Supply Curve – A graphical representation of the supply schedule – Positively sloped line (curve) showing the direct relationship between price and quantity supplied, all else being equal Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-47 Figure 3-6 The Individual Producer’s Supply Schedule and Supply Curve for Titanium Batteries, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-48 Figure 3-6 The Individual Producer’s Supply Schedule and Supply Curve for Titanium Batteries, Panel (b) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-49 Figure 3-7 Horizontal Summation of Supply Curves, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-50 Figure 3-7 Horizontal Summation of Supply Curves, Panels (b), (c), (d) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-51 Figure 3-8 The Market Supply Schedule and the Market Supply Curve for Titanium Batteries, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-52 Figure 3-8 The Market Supply Schedule and the Market Supply Curve for Titanium Batteries, Panel (b) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-53 Why Not … help college students by requiring publishers to reduce prices of all of the textbooks they currently supply? • If the government were to impose legally enforced reductions in textbook prices, the quantity of textbooks supplied by publishers would decline. • Thus, such a policy action would not necessarily “help” college students, because publishers would make fewer textbooks available for college students to purchase. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-54 Shifts in Supply • Scenario – A new method of manufacturing SD cards significantly reduces the cost of production. – What will producers of SD cards do? Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-55 Figure 3-9 Shifts in the Supply Curve If production costs increase, supply decreases If production costs decrease, supply increases Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-56 Figure 3-9 Shifts in the Supply Curve (cont’d) Price per Titanium Battery ($) 5 S2 S1 a 4 c When supply increases the quantity supplied will be greater at each price 3 2 1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Quantity of Titanium Batteries Supplied (millions of constant-quality units per year) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-57 Figure 3-9 Shifts in the Supply Curve (cont’d) Price per Titanium Battery ($) 5 S2 S1 a 4 b c 3 When supply increases the quantity supplied will be greater at each price d 2 1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Quantity of Titanium Batteries Supplied (millions of constant-quality units per year) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-58 Figure 3-9 Shifts in the Supply Curve (cont’d) S3 Price per Titanium Battery ($) 5 S1 b 4 d a When supply decreases the quantity supplied will be less at each price c 3 2 1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Quantity of Titanium Batteries Supplied (millions of constant-quality units per year) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-59 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) • Determinants of supply – Cost of inputs – Technology and productivity – Taxes and subsidies – Price expectations – Number of firms in industry Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-60 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Cost of Inputs Price Increase in cost decreases supply S3 S1 S2 Decrease in cost increases supply Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-61 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Technology and Productivity Price S3 S1 S2 Decreases in productivity decrease supply Improvements in technology or increases in productivity increase supply Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-62 Example: How “Fracking” for Natural Gas Has Affected Its Supply • Traditional methods of drilling for natural gas entailed drilling straight down to cut vertical wells. • Hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking,” makes it possible to extract natural gas sideways to cut horizontal wells. • This technological improvement has boosted U.S. natural gas reserves more than 50 percent since 2000. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-63 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Taxes and Subsidies Price S3 S1 S2 Increases in taxes or decreases in subsidies decrease supply Decreases in taxes or increases in subsidies increase supply Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-64 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Price Expectations Price Expectations of higher future prices decrease supply S3 S1 S2 Expectations of lower future prices increase supply Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-65 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Number of Firms in Industry Price Decrease in the number of firms decreases supply S3 S1 S2 Increase in the number of firms increases supply Q/Units Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-66 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) • Changes in supply versus changes in quantity supplied – Whenever there is a change in a ceteris paribus condition, there will be a change in supply • A shift of the entire supply curve to the right or to the left • The only thing that can cause the entire curve to move is a change in a determinant other than the good’s own price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-67 Shifts in Supply (cont'd) • Changes in supply versus changes in quantity supplied – A change in a good’s own price leads to a change in quantity supplied (a single point on a supply curve) for any given supply curve • A movement along the same supply curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-68 Putting Demand and Supply Together • Putting demand and supply together • Equilibrium (Market Clearing) Price – The price that clears the market – The price at which quantity demanded equals quantity supplied – The price where the demand curve intersects the supply curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-69 Figure 3-10 Putting Demand and Supply Together, Panel (a) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-70 Figure 3-10 Putting Demand and Supply Together, Panel (b) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-71 Putting Demand and Supply Together (cont'd) • Equilibrium – The situation when quantity supplied equals quantity demanded at a particular price – There tends to be no movement of the price of the quantity away from this point unless demand or supply changes – Equilibrium is a stable point – any point that is not equilibrium is unstable and will not persist Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-72 Putting Demand and Supply Together (cont'd) • The equilibrium price – The price toward which the market price will automatically tend to gravitate, – There is no outcome better than this price for both consumers and producers Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-73 Putting Demand and Supply Together (cont'd) • Shortages – The situation when quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied – Exist at any price below the market clearing price – Shortages and scarcity are not the same thing Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-74 Example: How the Housing Bust Created a Sawdust Shortage • Between 2006 and 2010, U.S. housing prices plummeted, leading builders to reduce construction of new housing and thus the amount of wood sawed supplied for use by farmers and manufacturers that used it to make auto parts. • Thus, at the prevailing price just after the decrease in sawdust supply, there was a temporary shortage of sawdust. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-75 Putting Demand and Supply Together (cont'd) • Surpluses – The situation when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded – Exist at any price above the market clearing price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-76 Policy Example: Should Shortages in the Ticket Market Be Solved by Scalpers? • If you’ve ever tried to get tickets to the big game you know all about “shortages.” • Since the quantity of tickets is fixed, the price can go pretty high. • Enter the scalper. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-77 Figure 3-11 Shortages of Super Bowl Tickets Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-78 You Are There … Adjusting to a Lower Market Clearing Price of Solar Cells • In 2008, the equilibrium price for a solar cell generating one watt of electrical power declined by more than 50 percent. • In response to this price change, a major solar cell producer, Q-Cells, cut production of solar cells by 7 percent in that year and reduced the company’s staff by 10 percent. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-79 Issues & Applications: How the Great Recession Identified Inferior Goods • During the Great Recession, many people responded to falling incomes by buying shoe repair services rather than new shoes, electric hair clippers to do their haircutting instead of going to hair salons, and dial-up instead of broadband Internet access services. • Thus, these services are an inferior good. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-80 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives • The law of demand says that prices and quantity demanded are inversely related – At a higher price people buy less, at a lower price people buy more • Relative prices must be distinguished from money prices, since people respond to changes in relative prices Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-81 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd) • A change in quantity demanded versus a change in demand – A change in quantity demanded is a movement along the same demand curve – A change in demand is a shift of the whole demand curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-82 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd) • The law of supply states that price and quantity supplied are directly related – Firms offer more at a higher price; firms offer less at a lower price • A change in quantity supplied versus a change in supply – A change in quantity supplied is a movement along the same supply curve – A change in supply is a shift of the whole supply curve Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-83 Summary Discussion of Learning Objectives (cont'd) • Determining market price and equilibrium quantity – The demand and supply curves intersect at the market clearing, or equilibrium point – Surpluses exist if the price of the good is greater than the market price – Shortages exist when the price of a good is below the market price Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-84