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International trade Today: Winners and losers of various international trade policies Previously, we talked about…    How trade can benefit people Comparative advantage being the core of beneficial trade An introduction of international trade Today: More on international trade   Review of comparative advantage Examining consumption possibilities      Without trade With trade Supply and demand analysis of trade Tariffs and Quotas “Outsourcing” Review of comparative advantage  Recall the principle of comparative advantage   “Everyone does best when each person (or each country) concentrates on the activities for which his or her opportunity cost is lowest.” (F/B p. 39) Today, we will apply this concept on a countrywide scale Comparative advantage: Same numbers, different names Productivity in pizza production Productivity in salad production United 20 pizzas cooked States per hour 10 salads made per hour Chile 4 salads made per hour 16 pizzas cooked per hour Comparative advantage U.S. Chile  Opportunity cost Opportunity cost of of cooking a pizza making a salad ½ salad 2 pizzas ¼ salad 4 pizzas Recall: To find comparative advantage for each person, find the lowest number in each column Recall increasing opportunity cost  Opportunity cost increases as production increases within each country    Each country uses its best pizza maker to make its first pizzas Then, the next best pizza maker is used, etc. The same applies to salads Production possibilities curve   Recall from last lecture that all of the points along PGQ are the efficient points of the production possibilities curve Recall that this shape occurs due to increasing opportunity costs as more is produced Production possibilities curve   Without trade, only points along arc PGQ (or points between this arc and the origin) can be consumed We will see that gains can be made by trade The world market   In the world market, there is an equilibrium price (based on world supply and world demand) Any one country that enters or exits the market usually does not change the market price much  For ease of discussion, assume that entry or exit by any one country does not change the world price Consumption possibilities curve   If we produce at point G, we can trade goods at the given market price Production at G (with trade)  Consumption anywhere along FGH Which consumption possibility curve is best?   We could produce at one of the red dots before we start trading However, note that there are fewer consumption sets possible than producing at G Optimal production in an open economy   Since the red line is suboptimal, we will not utilize it Similarly, any point except G will produce a similar result to the red line  Suboptimal consumption possibilities for any production except G Optimal production in an open economy  Solution   Produce such that the “line of trade possibilities” is tangent to the production possibilities curve In this case, point G is tangent to line FGH Supply and demand analysis of trade   As we just analyzed, we saw that total surplus goes up when world trade is possible However, we will see that there are winners and losers to trade  Note that the winners’ gain is larger than the losers’ loss Market for cars, w/o trade  Suppose that without trade, 40,000 cars are sold at a price of $14,000 Market for cars, w/o trade   Consumer surplus is blue shaded area Producer surplus is red shaded area Market for cars, with trade   Notice that the world price for cars is $10,000 At this price, notice that 20,000 cars will be supplied and 60,000 cars will be demanded in this market Market for cars, with trade  What will happen?    This is unlike the case of rent control, since the shortage is picked up by the world market 20,000 domestic cars will be purchased 40,000 foreign cars will be purchased Imports Surplus with trade   Consumer surplus increases substantially Producer surplus decreases, but does not change as much as consumer surplus does Imports Without imports (left) With imports (right) Imports Net gain Imports A similar exercise can be done for a country that is a net exporter  When a country is a net exporter, the world price is above what it would be if trade was not possible    Consumer surplus decreases when trade occurs Producer surplus increases when trade occurs Overall, total surplus increases Tariffs, quotas, and bailouts   Even when trade is not prohibited, countries use other devices to control the amount of a particular good imported Tariff   Quota   Tax that must be paid for each unit of the good imported A binding limit set on the amount of a good that can be imported Bailouts: An example with U.S. automakers   Subsidized loans See additional reading on class website What happens when we impose a tariff?   In this case, the tariff imposed is $1000 per ton of sugar imported We will see that some potential economic surplus is lost when the tariff is imposed What happens when we impose a tariff?  Total surplus without tariffs  Shaded area What happens when we impose a tariff?  With a tariff, the price paid by consumers is the world price plus the amount of the tariff   Think of a tariff just like a tax This increases the quantity supplied domestically and decreases the amount imported What happens when we impose a tariff?   Quantity supplied domestically increases Imports decrease   Before, 100 tons minus 20 tons, or 80 tons After, 80 tons minus 40 tons, or 40 tons Total surplus and tariff money collected     Consumer surplus (CS) Producer surplus (PS) Tariff revenue generated What is missing? Total surplus and tariff money collected     CS PS Tariffs What is missing?  Two triangles are lost with the imposition of tariffs Total surplus and tariff money collected    The two triangles lost are potential surplus that could be gained Notice that relative to open global trade, producer surplus is higher Consumer surplus is lower with the tariff (relative to open global trade) Voluntary export restraints (VERs)  1970s   Many American consumers bought fuel-efficient Japanese cars 1980s     VERs agreed to between US and Japan U.S. auto makers benefited by decreased competition Japanese auto makers benefited by being able to raise their prices U.S. consumers lost by having to pay more for all cars purchased VERs   VERs are a type of quota What does economic theory tell us about quotas? Quotas  Quotas are similar to tariffs, except:   Domestic supply plus quota determines supply available in a country’s market Equilibrium in this example is price of 125, 80,000 TV’s What else is different with quotas?  With quotas, no revenues are directly generated  Those with right to import and export gain economic rents The U.S. automaker bailout   Bad decision making CAFE standards  What did fuel economy standards lead to?    Minivans SUVs Bankruptcy for some U.S. automakers in the near future? “Outsourcing”   “Outsourcing” has been a controversial term in the media in recent years There are definitely short-run costs of outsourcing   Displaced workers Buildings and machinery that gets unused “Outsourcing”  Long-run benefits of outsourcing    Each country can specialize what it has comparative advantage in Technological improvements lower the costs of trade Lower costs to consumers How to make sure your job does not get outsourced  Make sure it requires a lot of face-toface contact     Construction work Automobile repair Health care Make sure that you have skills that nobody else has Final thoughts about “outsourcing”  Trade policy can be formed such that those that are displaced are not any worse off    Some of the gains from “making the pie bigger” can be transferred to those that get displaced Justification for re-training programs for displaced workers Overall, the standard of living of a country improves with trade  Example: Think how much bananas would cost if we could not import them Summary  Trade improves overall surplus    Some people win, while others lose Trade barriers, such as protectionism, quotas, and tariffs limit the gains from trade Outsourcing has short-run costs but long-run benefits in a country’s economy Upcoming attractions  For the next month, we will examine market failures and some economic fields   Market failures: Monopoly, oligopoly, monopolistic competition, externalities, cost of information, private provision of public goods Fields  Some potential topics: Labor, Income distribution, Environment, Health/Safety, Public Good analysis End of Unit 3  Starting next week, Unit 4   Monopoly, including profit maximization and inefficiencies Game theoretical tools needed to analyze small groups of people or firms   Applications, including Prisoner’s Dilemma Study of externalities