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Chapter Four Demand What is demand? • It is the response of customers to your firm’s prices and all other attributes of the good or service your firm offers. • To “know the customer” means to understand what influences the customer’s demand and to what degree changes will affect the customer’s behavior. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–2 PRICE We typically draw demand curves as downward sloping lines -- but how steep? What if the lower price means this higher quantity demanded? P P2 Q Q2 QUANTITY Q3 PRICE The flatter curve is MORE ELASTIC A price change leads to a greater change in quantity demanded P P2 Q Q2 QUANTITY Q3 Who Cares? • The airline who wants to increase passengers on a flight from Phoenix to Los Angeles might care. • What will a price increase do if demand is VERY ELASTIC? Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–5 Answer the following: • What will a price decrease do if demand is not elastic? • How are the airline executives to decide whether to raise or lower price and by how much? Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–6 Answer the following: • Consider the Glaxo-Wellcome company who produces the only known retardant of the onset of AIDS once HIV is contracted. • How high of a price should it set? • What will a price decrease do? • How is the company to decide whether to raise or lower price and by how much? Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–7 Definition of Price Elasticity of Demand • Percentage change in quantity demanded divided by percentage change in price. • % change in Qd/ % change in P • (Q2-Q1)/Q1 divided by (P2-P1)/P1 • or dlogQd/dlogP Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–8 • If price changes by 10% and quantity demanded changes by 15%, what is the price elasticity of demand? • If price changes by 10% and quantity demanded changes by 5%, what is the price elasticity of demand? Definition of Price Elasticity of Demand • If price elasticity is less than 1, we say that demand is inelastic. • If price elasticity is greater than 1, we say that demand is elastic. • If price elasticity is 1, we say that demand is unit elastic. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–10 Assignment: Plot the following data Price per Ticket $1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. Tickets Sold per Day 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 4–11 Price $1,000 200 800 600 PRICE $1000 $800 $600 $400 $200 200 600 1000 1400 1800 QUANTITY Quantity PRICE Price Quantity $1,000 200 $1000 800 600 $800 600 1000 $600 400 1400 $400 $200 200 600 1000 1400 1800 QUANTITY PRICE Price Quantity $1,000 200 $1000 800 600 $800 600 1000 $600 400 1400 200 1800 $400 $200 D 200 600 1000 1400 1800 QUANTITY Price Elasticity Calculation • Calculate the price elasticity of demand between the following prices: • from $1,000 to $600 • from $600 to $400 • from $200 to $100 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–15 Assignment • • • • • from $1,000 to $600 P1 = $1,000; P2 = $600 Q1 = 200; Q2 = 1000 (Q2-Q1)/Q1 = 800/200 = 4 (P2-P1)/P1 = $600-$1000/$1,000 = $400/$1,000 = -.4 • %ChQd/%ChP = 4/-.4 = -10 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–16 Assignment • • • • • • • from $600 to $400 P1 = $600; P2 = $400 Q1 = 1000; Q2 = 1400 (Q2-Q1)/Q1 = 400/1000 = .4 (P2-P1)/P1 = $400-$600/$600 = -$200/$600 = -.33 %ChQd/%ChP = .4/-.33 = -1.2 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–17 Price Elasticity • from $200 to $100 • P1 = $200; P2 = $100 • Q1 = 1800; Q2 = 2000 • (Q2-Q1)/Q1 = 200/1800 = 1/9 • (P2-P1)/P1 = $100/$200 = -1/2 • %ChQd/%ChP = 1/9/-1/2 = -2/9 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–18 Answers • from $1,000 to $600 = -10 • from $600 to $400 = -1.2 • from $200 to $100 = -2/9 = -.22 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–19 Negative Value • What do you notice with the first three elasticities calculated? • from $1,000 to $600 = -10 • from $600 to $400 = -4/6= -.67 • from $200 to $100 = -2/9 = -.22 • (1) All are negative. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–20 Price Elasticity Is Always Negative • We have “e” stand for price elasticity of demand. We know that: • (1) e is always negative --- Why? • So we drop the negative (use the absolute value |e|). • (2) e declines as we move down the demand curve. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–21 Price Elasticity Is Always Negative • What do you notice regarding price elasticity of demand from the three calculations we’ve made? • First: all are negative. • Second: e declines as we move down the demand curve; it becomes smaller in absolute value as price declines. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–22 Elastic Region e > 1 PRICE $1000 $800 $600 Unit Elastic Point $400 Inelastic D Region e < 1 $200 200 600 1000 1400 1800 QUANTITY Elasticity and Total Revenue • Total revenue = P x Q. • The price of the item multiplied by the number of items sold is total revenue. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–24 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 360,000 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 360,000 480,000 560,000 600,000 600,000 560,000 480,000 360,000 200,000 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 360,000 Elastic 480,000 Region 560,000 600,000 600,000 560,000 480,000 360,000 200,000 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 360,000 480,000 560,000 600,000 600,000 560,000 Inelastic 480,000 360,000 Region 200,000 Price per Ticket Quantity $1000 200 900 400 800 600 700 800 600 1000 500 1200 400 1400 300 1600 200 1800 100 2000 Total Revenue 200,000 360,000 Elastic 480,000 Region 560,000 600,000 600,000 Unit Elastic e=1 560,000 Inelastic 480,000 360,000 Region 200,000 Total Revenue and Elasticity • As price decreases in the elastic region, total revenue . . . • Increases. • As price decreases in the inelastic region, total revenue . . . • Decreases. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–32 Determinants of Elasticity • Number of substitutes. • Importance of the good in a consumer’s budget. The higher the % of the budget, the more sensitive consumers are to a 1% price increase -- the more elastic is the demand. • The time period. The longer the time period, the more elastic is the demand. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–33 Income and Other Elasticities • When the price changes, we move along the demand curve -- how much we move is the price elasticity of demand. • When something other than the price changes that affects demand, the demand curve shifts. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–34 Demand would increase – so curve would shift out. PRICE $1000 $800 $600 $400 $200 D1 QUANTITY D2 How far it shifts depends on the elasticity PRICE $1000 $800 $600 $400 $200 D1 QUANTITY D2 6000 RGDP United States 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1929 1935 1941 1947 1953 1959 1965 1971 1977 1983 1989 1995 19 10 19 16 19 22 19 28 19 34 19 40 19 46 19 52 19 58 19 64 19 70 19 76 19 82 19 88 19 94 20 Changes in RGDP -5 -10 -15 -20 United States 15 10 5 0 Income and Other Elasticities • When something other than the price changes that affects demand, the demand curve shifts. • Suppose that income changes by 10% and sales rise by 20%. Then we say that the income elasticity of demand is 2. • Income elasticity is the % change in demand divided by % change in income. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–39 Who Cares? • The economy is growing --- income is rising by 5%. What does this mean? • You work for a construction company. You’ve calculated that the income elasticity of demand is 4. • Your quantity sold will rise by 20%. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–40 If income elasticity is lower? • What if income elasticity of demand is .5? • Then the 5% income increase would mean a sales (quantity) increase of • only 2.5%. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–41 Cross Price Elasticity • Percentage Change of Qd • Percentage Change of P • This indicates relationships between two products. • If the price of medical services rises and the quantity demanded of health food rises, we say the two goods are substitutes. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–42 Cross Price Elasticity • If the price of cigarettes rises and the quantity demanded of alcohol decreases, we say the two goods are complements. • Of what use is cross price elasticity? Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–43 OTHER ELASTICITY MEASURES • • • • • • • • • ADVERTISING PROMOTION SALES FORCE How are these measured? What do they tell us? PIMS Data: 1500 business units: Average Price elasticity = .985 Advertising = .003 Promotion = .008 Sales force = .304 Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company.All rights reserved. 4–44