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Kardan University All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Demand • Demand for a good or service is defined as quantities of a good or service that people are ready (willing and able) to buy at various prices within some given time period, other factors besides price held constant. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Demand Function • The demand for a commodity arises from the consumers’ willingness and ability to purchase the commodity. Consumer demand theory postulates that the quantity demanded of a commodity is a function of / or depends on the price of the commodity, the consumers’ income, the price of related commodities, and the tastes of the consumer. • Qd = f(p){Y,Pr , T, N} Kardan.edu.af Change in Quantity Demanded Price An increase in price causes a decrease in quantity demanded. P1 P0 Q1 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Q0 Quantity 4 Kardan.edu.af Change in Quantity Demanded Price A decrease in price causes an increase in quantity demanded. P0 P1 Q0 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Q1 Quantity 5 Kardan.edu.af Changes in demand • Changes in price result in changes in the quantity demanded. – This is shown as movement along the demand curve. • Changes in nonprice determinants result in changes in demand. – This is shown as a shift in the demand curve. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Changes in demand • Nonprice determinants of demand – Tastes and preferences – Income – Prices of related products – Future expectations – Number of buyers All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Changes in demand • • • • • • Change in Buyers’ Tastes -Today’ consumer purchases leaner meats compared to old generations -due to the level of blood cholesterol and body weight Change in Buyers’ Incomes – Normal Goods i.e., shoes, travel, automobiles, education – Inferior Goods – i.e., potatoes, salt Change in the Number of Buyers Change in the Price of Related Goods – Substitute Goods i.e., Carrots can be replaced by cabbage – Complementary Goods i.e., cars and gasoline or electric stove and electricity. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Change in Demand An increase in demand refers to a rightward shift in the market demand curve. Price P0 Q0 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Q1 Quantity 9 Kardan.edu.af Change in Demand A decrease in demand refers to a leftward shift in the market demand curve. Price P0 Q1 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Q0 Quantity 10 Kardan.edu.af Mathematically Qdx= f(Px, I, Py, N,T) • QdX/PX < 0 • QdX/I > 0 if a good is normal • QdX/I < 0 if a good is inferior • QdX/PY > 0 if X and Y are substitutes • QdX/PY < 0 if X and Y are complements All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Related concepts The increase in Qx when Px falls occurs because in consumption, the individual consumer substitutes commodity x for other commodities which are now relatively expensive. This is called the substitution effect. In addition, when Px falls, a consumer can purchase more of x with a given amount of money (i.e., the consumer’s real income increases). This is called the income effect. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af To remember.. • Band wagon effect: “ to keep up with the Joneses” “Me too” • Snob Effect: “Me only” All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Using elasticity in managerial decision making • Controllable factors – – – – Setting the price of its product Expenditures on advertisement Quality of its product Customer service All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Using elasticity in managerial making decision…. continued • Uncontrollable factors – Level and growth of consumer income – Competitor price decisions – Competitors expenditures on advertisement – Competitor’s Product quality and customer service All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Price Elasticity of Demand/Demand sensitivity Analysis • Price Elasticity of demand is the measure of the response of the change in the quantity demanded due to the change in the price of the product. Ep = ΔQd × P ΔP Q • Decision: If demand for a product is price inelastic, the firm would not decrease the price of the product, by doing so the firm would decrease its profit. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Mathematically EP Q / Q Q P P / P P Q Linear Function All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 P EP a1 Q 17 Kardan.edu.af Price Elasticity of Demand- Example Market Px 8 A 6 4 2 0 0 B C D E F G 200 400 600 Qdx All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 800 1000 1200 Find Ep at point A, B, C and G Ep=(ΔQ/ ΔP) (P/Q) At point A, Ep=(0-200/ 6-5) (6/0) Ep=-200 (6/0)= indefinite At point B, Ep= (200400/5-4) (5/200)=-5 At point C, Ep=(400600/4-3) (4/400)=-2 At point G =?? 18 Kardan.edu.af MR and TR based on Elasticity- Example P Q Ep TR=P.Q MR=DTR/DQ (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) $6 0 -indefinite $0 - 5 200 -5 1,000 5 4 400 -2 1,600 3 3 600 -1 1,800 1 2 800 -1/2 1,600 -1 1 1,000 -1/5 1,000 -3 0 1,200 0 0 -5 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 19 Kardan.edu.af Graphically Showing Elasticities and MR-TR MR>0 MR<0 EP 1 E 1 TR P 0 600 EP 1 MR=0 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 1200 QX 20 Kardan.edu.af Graphically Showing Elasticities and MR-TR PX 6 EP 1 EP 1 EP 1 0 600 1200 QX MR All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 X 21 Kardan.edu.af Price Elasticity & Firm's Total Revenue P Q 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Ep ∞ 5 2 1 0.5 0.2 0 TR=P.Q $0 500 800 900 800 500 0 Situation Perfectly Elastic More Elastic More Elastic Unitary Elastic Less Elastic Less Elastic inelastic All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Price elasticity, total revenue, and Demand F TR 900 TR P ($) 6 5 600 300 E P Qd >1 4 E 3 2 P =1 E P <1 1 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 0 300 600 Kardan.edu.af Reference page 138 • Case study 4-3 (Price elasticity of Demand) All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Income Elasticity of Demand Income Elasticity of Demand measure the response of the change-in-quantitydemanded due to the change-in-income of the people. Ey = ΔQd × Y ΔY Q Income elasticity of demand suggests the growth potential of a market. It also shows the nature of good. If Ey = 0 the good is income inelastic and has no growth. potential for the market If Ey= +ve the good is a normal good and is income elastic If Ey= -ve the good is an inferior good and is income elastic All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Income Elasticity of Demand Normal Good E I 0 Luxuries Good E I 1 Inferior Good EI 0 Necessities Good 0 <I E < 1 26 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Income Elasticity of Demand Point Definition Linear Function EI a3 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 I Q 27 Kardan.edu.af Using Income Elasticity in managerial making decision…. continued • Decision: • If income elasticity of demand is very low for the firm’s product is Negative, management must know that firm will not benefit from the rising incomes of the people and may want to improve its product or move into new product line with more income elasticity of demand. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Reference page 140 • Case study 4-4 (income elasticity of demand) All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Cross Elasticity of Demand Cross Elasticity of Demand measures the response of the change-in-quantity demanded of a product due to change-in-the price of competitor’s product. ECr = ΔQa × Pb ΔPb Qa Cross Elasticity of demand shows the rivalry of the product. Ecr= +ve the good will be substitute good Ecr=-ve the good will be complimentary good Ecr= 0 the goods are uncorrelated. For Example, Ppepesi increase Qcoke increases (Substitute good) Pcar increase Qpetrol decreases (Complimentary Good) Pbutter increase Qbooks remains the same (Uncorrelated goods) All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand Point Definition Linear Function All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 QX / QX QX PY E XY PY / PY PY QX E XY PY a4 QX 31 Kardan.edu.af Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand Substitutes Complements EXY 0 EXY 0 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 32 Kardan.edu.af Using Cross Elasticity in managerial making decision…. continued • Decision: • If the firm estimated that cross elasticity of demand for its product with respect to the price of competitor’s product is very high. It will be good to quickly respond to the competitor price reduction ,otherwise, the firm would lose a great deal of its sale. • However the firm would think twice before lowering its price for fear of starting a price war. • For reference: read case application 3-7 p#117, 5th edi. “demand elasiticities for beverages in USA” All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Commodity X Commodity Y Substitute Goods: Natural Gas Coke Tea Electricity Pepsi Coffee Complementary Goods: Car Petrol Mobile SIM Card Pen Ink EXY 0.80 0.40 0.29 -0.50 -0.72 -0.87 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Commodity X EXY Commodity Y Substitute Goods: McIntosh apple Apples Apples All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Golden delicious apples Apple Juice Energy Drinks 0.80 0.50 0.10 Case Study 4-5 page 143 • 1) Cross elasticity of demand • Case study 4-6 page # 147 • Price ,income and cross elasticities All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 In case of substitute goods Price of Tea ($) Q.D of Coffee P0Tea 10 Q0Cofee 100 P1Tea 40 Q1Cofee 200 Ed=? All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af In case of complementary goods Price of Petrol Per liters ($) Q.D of Cars P0Petrol 10 Q0Car 100 P1Petrol 40 Q1Car 20 Ed=? All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Advertising Elasticity of Demand Advertising Elasticity of Demand measure the response of the changein-quantity-demanded due to the change-in-Advertising expenditures. EA = ΔQd × A ΔA Q Decision: If elasticity of sale with respect to advertising is positive and higher than for its expenditures on product quality and customer service then firm must concentrate more on advertising rather than on product quality and customer service. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Using Elasticises In Managerial Decision Making-Example A firm selling coffee brand X and estimated relevant demand regression as follows: Qx=1.5-3.0 Px+0.8 I+2.0 Py-0.6 Ps+1.2 A Qx is sales of coffee brand X, I is disposable income, Py is price of competitive coffee brand, Ps is price of sugar and A is advertising expenditures for coffee brand X. Suppose: Px=$2, I=$2.5, Py=$1.80, Ps=$0.50 and A=$1 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Using Elasticities In Managerial Decision Making Example page 145 Calculate Qx and the elasticities of sales with respect to each variable in the relevant demand function Qx=1.5-3.0(2)…1.2(1)=2 mn pounds coffee Calculate the elasticities of the demand for coffee brand X Ep=-3(2/2)=-3,Ei=0.8(2.5/2)=1, Exy=2(1.8/2) Exs=-0.6(0.5/2)=-0.15, Ea=1.2(1/2)=0.6 RECALL the Formulae EP P a1 Q All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 E XY a4 PY QX EI I a3 Q 41 Kardan.edu.af Using Elasticises In Managerial Decision MakingExample Next year, the firm would like to increase Px by 5%, A by 12%, I by 4%, and Py 7% whereas Ps fall by 8%. Determine sales of coffee brand X in the next year. Qxx=Qx+Qx(DPx/Px)Ep……+Qx(DA/A)Ea Qxx=2+2(5%)(-3)…..+2(5%)(0.6) Qxx=2.2 or 2,200,000 pounds All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 42 Kardan.edu.af Question Given the demand for beef in the country. Qd= 4850 – 5Pb + 1.5Pc + 0.1Y Y = National Income Pb = Price of Beef Pc = Price of Chicken = 10,000 = 200 =100 Find the Following Elasticities of Demand for Beef in the Country: a. Price Elasticity of Demand b. Income Elasticity of Demand c. Cross Elasticity of Demand. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Thanks All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af The important steps by using Elasticities The analysis of the forces or variables that affect on demand and reliable estimates of their quantitative effect on sales (elasticities) are essential in order for firm to make best operating decisions in shor-run and to plan for its growth in the long-run. The firms can use the elasticities of demand of the variables under their controls to find out best policies as well as to maximize their profits. If the demand for the firm’s product is price inelastic, the firm will want to increase the product price since that would increase its total revenue and reduce its total cost. If the elasticity of the firm’s sales wrt the variable beyod its control or If the cross-price elasticity of demand for the firm’s product is very high, the firm will need to respond quickly to a competitor’s price reduction otherwise losing a great deal of its sales. All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 45 Kardan.edu.af The important steps by using Elasticities • The size of the price elasticity of demand is larger, the closer and the greater is the number of available substitutes for the commodity. For example, sugar is more price elastic than table salt (e.g. honey) • In general, the greater is its price elasticity of demand, the greater will be the number of substitutes • For a given price change, the quantity response is likely to be much larger in the long run than short run so the price elasticity odf demand is likely to be much greater in the long run than short run . All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 46 Kardan.edu.af The demand faced by a firm (cont….) • Following forces effect the demand of a firm. • Own Price of the product • Consumer income & taste • Price of related goods • Numbers of consumers in market • Level of Advertisement and promotional policies • Availability of credit in the country All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Mathematically…. QD=F(P, Y , Pr ,T, A, etc) Where as Qd=Quantity demand of commodity X P=Price of commodity X Y= Income of the household Pr=Price of related goods (substitutes or complementary) T=Taste of consumer A= Advertising All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Kardan.edu.af Results • QdX/I > 0 if a good is normal • QdX/I < 0 if a good is inferior • QdX/PY > 0 if X and Y are substitutes • QdX/PY < 0 if X and Y are complements All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Substitutes EXY 0 Complements EXY 0 Normal Good E I 0 Luxuries Good E I 1 All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014 Inferior Good EI 0 Necessities Good 0 <I E < 1 • SALES = [(number of print ads) x .34] + [(number of radio ads) x .42]," which allows you to forecast SALES based on easy-tovisualize predictors All Rights Reserved to Kardan University 2014