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Genome+Environment = Traits, [diseases], (treatments) 1933 Hair: Baldness [alopecia](minoxidil) Eyes: [Near/Far-sightedness](glasses) Iris color [ARMD] (glasses) Face: [Developmental syndromes, Wrinkles] (Botox) Brain: ADHD(Ritalin); Depression(Prozac); Headache(analgesics) Sleep & Circadian (caffeine, amphetamine, modafinil) Motion sickness (Dramamine, and Scopolamine) Ears: Sensitivity (hearing aids) Nose: Shape [breathing disorders] (CPAP) Lip: [Cleft palate] (surgery); [Hirsutism] (calcium thioglycolate) Mouth: Halitosis, throat exams; aerosols [airborne pathogens] Digestion [reflux, gas,ulcer] (antibiotics, antacids, PPIs) Back: Strain sensitivity [IDD] (analgesics) Skin: Perspiration, Body odor, Pheromones (deodorants) Surface texture [psoriasis] (topicals, photo-treatments) Immune components [acne] (topical antibiotics) Skin color [vitamin D & sunburn] (supplements, SPF cream) Hands: Dermatoglyphics [syndromes], [Arthritis](corticosteroids) Internal sensors: Proprioceptor, Repetitive stress (NSAIAs) Body: Height [Marfan] [short stature] (hGH) Weight [anorexia] [obesity] (Orlistat, Phentermine, Sibutramine) Allergies (antihistamines, cortisone, epinephrine, theophylline) Metabolic polymorphisms (vitamins, minerals, insulin) Feet: Plantar fasciitis (orthotic shoes) Athlete’s foot (miconazole, itraconazole, terbinafine, salicylate) SNP chip vs Sequence : Breast Cancer 2x (1Mbp vs 3000Mbp) deCODEme: “does not include the high-risk but rare BRCA1 and BRCA2 breast cancer risk variants”. Navigenics: “Mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 are less common in the population and are only present in approximately 5 – 10% of families with breast and ovarian cancer.” 23andme: “Hundreds of cancer-associated BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations have been documented, but three specific BRCA mutations are worthy of note because they are responsible for a substantial fraction of hereditary breast cancers and ovarian cancers among women with Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry”. Knome: Nearly complete genome sequence 2 Valuable Personal Genome Sequences 1526 genes are highly predictive & medically actionable (inherited & cancer) at ~$2K per gene. PKU, Tay Sachs, Cystic Fibrosis, BRCA1/2, etc. (See Genetests.org) Pharmacogenomic drug/allele combinations: Herceptin, Iressa, .. Also: Ancestry, Forensics, Social Networking, Education, Research 3 Prioritizing by odds ratio, actionability, FP consequences Common Disease – Common Variant Theory. How common? ApoE allele e4 : Alzheimer’s dementia, & hypercholesterolemia 15% in humans, >97% in chimps HbS 17% & G6PD 40% in a Saudi sample CCR5D32 : resistance to HIV 9% in caucasians One form of HIV-1 Resistance Association test for CCR-5 & HIV resistance Alleles CCR-5+ D ccr-5 total Obs Neg ObsSeroPos total ExpecNeg ExpecPos 1278 1368 2646 1305 1341 130 78 208 103 105 1408 1446 2854 dof=(r-1)(c-1)=1 ChiSq=sum[(o-e)^2/e]= 15.6 P 0.00008 Samson et al. Nature 1996 382:722-5 But what if we test more than one locus? Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Assocation) X= Number of Alleles (Hypotheses) Tested Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Association) X= Population frequency (p) GRR=1.5, p= 0.5 (population frequency) GRR=1.5, #alleles=1E6 1,600 1,400 1E+10 1,200 1E+9 1,000 1E+8 800 600 1E+7 [based on Risch & Merikangas (1996) Science 273: 1516] | 400 1E+6 200 1E+5 0 [based on Risch & Merikangas (1996) Science 273: 1516] 1E+4 1E+4 1E+6 1E+8 1E+10 1E+12 1E+14 1E+16 1E+18 1E+20 1E+22 1E+3 | Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Association) X= Genotypic Relative Risk (GRR) 1E+2 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 0.0001 0.00001 1E-06 1E-07 1E-08 1E-09 #alleles=1E6, p=0.5 (population frequency) 1E+8 The future of genetic studies of complex human diseases. Ref (Note above graphs are active spreadsheets -- just click) 1E+7 1E+6 [based on Risch & Merikangas (1996) | Science 273: 1516] 1E+5 1E+4 1E+3 1E+2 GRR = Genotypic relative risk | 1E+1 0.001 0.01 1.001 0.1 1.01 1 1.1 2 10 11 100 101 1000 1,001 10,001 10000 1-GRR GRR