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The Rise of Solar Thermal Energy for heating and cooling in Europe Olivier Drücke ESTIF President New York Solar Thermal Roadmap Tuesday, 20.10.2009 Kingston, NY, USA 1 Rue d'Arlon 63-67 • B-1040 Bruxelles • Belgium • Email: [email protected] • Web: www.estif.org Solar heat is leading the way in solar energy technologies Solar Thermal worldwide provides 10x more energy than Solar Electric ST Capacity installed at the end 2007 by collector technologies in the world Source: IEA SHC, 2008 Final energy consumption in the EU 20% 31% electricity heating transport 49% 4 EU Solar Thermal market 1990-2008 > Major triggers 5000000 4500000 4000000 3500000 m² 3000000 Germany 2500000 Europe minus Germany 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 0 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 19 00 20 02 20 04 20 06 20 08 20 in 2008 back from 35% in 2007 Germany: A Phoenix reborn from ashes 2008: 2,1 millions m² or 1,5 GW thermal Increase 2008/07: 123% Customers finally opted for solar heat to reduce their energy bill ! Outlook 2009: Stable market with uncertainties in the second semester Austria: The pioneer still leads the way 2008: 350.000 m² or 243 MW thermal Increase 2008/07: 24% Sustainable market due to continuous support policies Outlook 2009: Stable market with small growth due to improved support policies Large Scale Solar Thermal Heating and Cooling Vienna Soccer Stadium, Austria Spain: Obligations and construction boom 2008: 434.000 m² or 304 MW thermal Increase 2008/07: 58% Actually second European market in volume ! Outlook 2009: Recessive market due to strongest crisis impact on construction sector and economy Italy: Snow White was waked with a kiss 2008: 421.000 m² or 295 MW thermal Increase 2008/07: 28% Tax breaks and strong marketing influence by northern Neighbours ! Outlook 2009: Strong uncertainties due to crisis impact, but potential to be Europe’s No. 2 soon France: When public authorities push hard 2008: 388.000 m² or 272 MW thermal Increase 2008/07: 18% Despite strongest public support, market growth is weaker than forecasted: High system prices? Heat pumps? Outlook 2009: Probably quite stable market; development of a new support mechanism in 2008 The EU Renewables Directive... 20% EU RES-target by 2020 Agreed by European Parliament and Council in December 2008 Transposition into national law within the next 18 months Mandatory national targets National Renewable Energy Action Plans 18 …provides a major boost for ST Renewable heating/cooling at eye-level with RES in power and transportation!! RES obligation in new and existing buildings by 2015 Exemplary role of public buildings Qualification of installers, planers, public services Important: Stable support policies Quality schemes Flanking campaigns on RES-Heat & EE 19 Solar Heat about to boom in Europe Heating & Cooling Demand Solar Heat Source: Potential of Solar Thermal in Europe, ESTIF, 2009 20 The long term goal: 50% of the heat demand will be provided by ST Heat demand in EU25 5000 TWh -40% by efficiency 4500 4000 Share of solar thermal: 0.2% => 50% Total installed: 13 GWth => 2400 GWth 3500 3000 2500 Main challenges fossil/ nuclear other RES 2000 Cost reduction Capacity building 1500 1000 solar thermal 500 0 2004 2030-2050 Innovations