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Biomarker and Pharmacogenomic Modeling in Upper GI Cancer: Fantasy or Becoming Reality Heinz-Josef Lenz Professor of Medicine and Preventive Medicine Associate Director, Clinical Research Kathryn Balakrishnan Chair for Cancer Research Co-Director, USC Center for Molecular Pathways and Drug Discovery Co-Leader GI Oncology Program USC/Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center Discussion • Pancreas Cancer (4016, 4017,4022) – SPARC for real and where do we look? (Sinn et al) – PG modeling: The Future is Here (Yu et al) – Early diagnosis using Vit D levels? Let the Sun Shine (Van Loon et al) • Gastric Cancer (4019, 4020,4021) – Predict the site of recurrence TOP2, CGH, PECAM1: How Important is this ? (Terashima et al) – MAGIC: Will Gene Profiling give us the answer? We need your help (Smyth et al) – Expand: HER2ve better outcome? Is this true? (Lordick et al) • Biliary Cancers (4018) – Cetuximab in mutant kras biliary cancers? Need more patients! (Chen et al) What is SPARC SPARC in pancreas cancer Infante et al JCO 2007, vol 25, 319. Sparc in the Stroma was associated with increased Median overall survival ©2011 by American Society of Clinical Oncology Von Hoff D D et al. JCO 2011;29:4548-4554 Stromal and cytoplasmatic SPARC only in gemcitabine group not Obs CONKO SPARC • Sparc is prognostic……predictive? Gemcitabine effect? • Sparc in the tumor and/or stroma? • IHC (tissue handling/AB specificity and sensitivity/subjective reading) Pharmacogenomics Modeling 1. PGx Model Gene expression Drug(s) Sensitive to A, not B 4. PGX Analysi s 2. Patients with pancreatic cancer Sensitive to B, not A 3. Gene expression profiling Resistant to A and B Pharmacogenomic Modeling in Pancreatic Cancer, Yu KH, et al. Circulating tumor/invasive cells • Surprisingly, PGx profiling of circulating invasive cell population mirrors tumor tissue Wilms Tumor Pharmacogenomic Modeling in Pancreatic Cancer, Yu KH, et al. Liquid biopsies Tumor specific change (e.g. Mutation) Tumor cell release DNA Circulating Tumor Cells (CTC) Circulating tumor DNA CTC Normal DNA Tumor http://www.inostics.com/ Studies show emergence of KRAS mutations during treatment with EGFR inhibitors Metastatic tumor Blood biopsy Tumor 0 4 Stable disease (by imaging) 8 12 ctDNA levels Anti-EGFR therapy Progressive disease (by imaging) 16 20 24 Different therapy KRAS-mutant ctDNA Other mutant ctDNA 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 Weeks of treatment Misale S, et al. Nature 2012;486:532‒536 Diaz LA, et al. Nature 2012;486;537‒540 Vilar E, Tabernero J. Nature 2012;486:482‒483 Treatment Response in 1st Line PDA Results Sensitivity and Specificity of Treatment Response in 1st Line PDA Performance of PGx Test 10 # Patients # Patients 15 15 13 Sensitive Sensitive Resistant Resistant 10 n = 24 p-value = 0.0073 Sensitivity = 0.81 n=24 Specificity =n=24 0.75 p-value = 0.007 PPV = 0.87p-value = NPV =Sensitivity 0.67 = 0.8 6 5 5 3 0 0 2 TTP>6 mo TTP< 6 mo TTP at 6 months > 6 months TTP>6 mo PFS < 6 months TTP< 6 mo TTP at 6 months Specificity = 0.7 Sensitivi Pos PV = 0.8 Neg Specifici PV = 0.6 Patients receiving treatment predicted by our model to be effective had longer PFS. Pharmacogenomic Modeling in Pancreatic Cancer, Yu KH, et al. Pos PV Neg PV Pathway Analysis • Increased sonic hedgehog pathway disruption associated with shorter TTP • Multiple pathways became more disrupted with progression: – – – – PI3K pathway E2F pathway CREB pathway PLC E pathway Pharmacogenomic Modeling in Pancreatic Cancer, Yu KH, et al. Discussion • Liquid Biopsies and Genomic Characterization will impact future trials and drug development • Complete TCGA data need to be analyzed • Dynamic Changes critical for novel Drug Development • Explant Models but not possible in real time but CTC are • Prospective Studies needed Vit D and Pancreas Cancer Vitamin D deficiency (<20 ng/mL) was highly prevalent among patients with a new diagnosis of APC (44.5%). Black patients had significantly lower 25(OH)D levels than white patients (median 10.7 vs. 22.4 ng/mL). 82.6% of blacks were deficient vs. 40.9% of whites. Discussion 1. Vit D associated with cancer incidence 2. Vit D key regulators in many pathways (wnt etc) 3. Levels may be important prognostic markers (population based cohorts) 4. Larger Studies needed (ethnicity differences) Gastric Cancer DISEASE HETEROGENEITY • Gastric Cancer is not one disease – Histology – Location – Biology – Etiology (Intestinal vs Diffuse) (Cardia/GEJ vs Antrum) (MET, CDH1, FGFR others?) (H. pylori related, others?) Deep Sequencing KRAS, ERBB2, EGFR, MET, PIK3CA, FGFR2 and AURKA genes in gastric cancer and suggests some of the targeted therapies approved or in clinical development would be of benefit to 11 of the 50 patients studied. The data, also suggests that agents targeting the wnt and hedgehog pathways would be of benefit to a majority of patients. The previously undocumented DNA mutations discovered are likely to affect clinical response to marked therapeutics and may be good drug targets. Holbroook et al Journal of Translational Medicine 2011 (A) Focal regions exhibiting mutually exclusive patterns of genome amplification. (B) Focal regions exhibiting patterns of genomic co-amplification Deng et al 2012 BMJ Identifying Biomarkers for local recurrence: Overlap of first recurrence site of 829 patients (from 1059 pts in the ACTS-GC trial) 45 Lymph-node recurrence 8 16 3 118 10 76 Hematogenous recurrence Peritoneal recurrence *) Local (L) & Peritoneal(P); n=3, L & Lymph(Ly); n=3, L & H; n=3, L & Ly & H; n=1, L alone; n= 15 Presented by: Results (RT-PCR candidates and low density array, DISH (her2), IHC and Kras status) 1) TOP2A significantly correlated with hematogenous recurrence. Hematogenous RFS was significantly worse in TOP2A-high patients than in TOP2A-low patients (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.55-3.57). 2) GGH significantly correlated with lymph-node recurrence. Lymph-node RFS was significantly worse in GGH-high patients than in GGH-low patients (HR, 1.87; 95% CI,1.133.08). 3) PECAM1 significantly correlated with peritoneal recurrence. Peritoneal RFS was significantly worse in PECAM1-high patients than in PECAM1-low patients (HR, 2.37: 95% CI, 1.65-3.41). Presented by: GGH expression in breast cancer associated with OS TransMAGIC NanoString panel Genes (n = 200 + 3 controls) E.g. • Platinum treatment efficacy: ERCC1/2, BRCA1/2, OPRT • Chemosensitivity markers: MYC, COX2, STAT3, HIF1a E.g. • Amplified in GC: FGFR2, CCNE1,KRAS • Deleted in GC: FHIT, CDKN2A, CDKN2B, RB1 Presented by: Smyth EC, Tan IB, Cunningham D et al E.g. • GINT: TOX3, MYB, CEACAM1 • GDIFF: ABL2, SIX4, RASSF8 TransMAGIC NanoString RTK survival analysis: ERBB2 0 2 4 Years from surgery erbb2 = 1 6 erbb2 = 2 8 ERBB2 normal = 0.75 1.00 Survival (all pts) SurvivalbybyERBB2 erbb2 (all pats) 0.50 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 Proportion surviving 0.75 1.00 Survival (surgery pts) Survivalby byERBB2 erbb2 (surgery pats) 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.50 Proportion surviving 0.75 1.00 Survival (chemo pts) Survivalby by ERBB2 erbb2 (chemo pats) 0 2 4 Years from surgery erbb2 = 1 6 erbb2 = 2 ERBB2 high = 8 0 2 4 Years from surgery erbb2 = 1 6 8 erbb2 = 2 Overall survival from time of surgery in years Chemotherapy Surgery alone Overall ERBB2 normal ERBB2 high ERBB2 normal ERBB2 high ERBB2 normal ERBB2 high Patients 80 9 104 16 184 25 Events 55 2 74 12 129 14 Median survival 1.45 Not reached 1.57 1.59 1.56 2.32 Logrank p-value 0.0197 0.5761 0.2317 Hazard ratio 1 (REF) 0.22 1 (REF) 1.19 1 (REF) 0.72 HR p-value 0.034 0.577 0.234 There is some evidence of an interaction between treatment arm and ERBB2 (p=0.027); reflecting very high survival rates amongst the small group of patients on the chemotherapy arm with ERBB2 overexpression. Presented by: Smyth EC, Tan IB, Cunningham D et al EXPAND Study Her2ve- has significant shorter OS (HR 1.55) Her2ve- response was significantly lower (OR 0.48) Cet, cetuximab; CT, chemotherapy Overall Survival By Amplification Obs Arm 100% No Yes 80% N 109 18 Events 89 14 P = .71 Median in Months 24 24 60% 40% 20% 0% 0 24 48 72 96 Months After Registration 120 144 TransMAGIC NanoString RTK survival analysis: EGFR Survival by EGFR (chemo pts) Survival by EGFR (surgery pts) Survival by EGFR (all pts) 0 2 4 Years from surgery egfr = 1 6 egfr = 2 8 EGFR normal = 0.75 1.00 Survival by egfr (all pats) 0.50 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 Proportion surviving 0.75 1.00 Survival by egfr (surgery pats) 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.50 Proportion surviving 0.75 1.00 Survival by egfr (chemo pats) 0 2 4 Years from surgery egfr = 1 6 8 0 egfr = 2 EGFR high = Overall survival from time of surgery in years Chemotherapy Surgery alone EGFR normal EGFR high EGFR normal EGFR high Patients 83 6 115 5 Events 52 5 83 3 Median survival 1.83 0.53 1.59 0.59 Logrank p-value 0.0650 0.4403 Hazard ratio 1 (REF) 2.33 1 (REF) 1.57 HR p-value 0.073 0.444 2 4 Years from surgery egfr = 1 6 8 egfr = 2 Overall EGFR normal EGFR high 198 11 135 8 1.63 0.59 0.0772 1 (REF) 1.89 0.082 EGFR was overexpressed in 11 patients; their prognosis was poorer in both treatment arms, there is no evidence of an interaction between treatment arm and EGFR (p=0.601). Presented by: Smyth EC, Tan IB, Cunningham D et al Discussion • Her family needs to be evaluated her1-4 (IHC+/- FISH) • TOP2A co amplified with her2 • Unknown if prognostic (treatment effect) Clinical Trials in Biliary Cancer using EGFR/VEGF/MEK inhibitors Randomized, Phase II GEMOX ± Cetuximab in Advanced BTC: TCOG T1210 - Schema Unresectable, locally advanced or metastatic BTC Stratification: ECOG PS: 0 versus 1 KRAS: wt versus mutant Intra- versus extra-hepatic R N=60 Gemcitabine 800 mg/m2 Oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 Q 2 weeks N=62 Cetuximab 500 mg/m2 Gemcitabine 800 mg/m2 Oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 Q 2 weeks Primary EP: ORR,C-GEMOX 30% vs GEMOX 20%, (a=0.2/b=0.5) Secondary EP: DCR≥16 weeks, PFS, OS, Safety & Biomarker 35 Presented by: Chen et al. Randomized, Phase II GEMOX ± Cetuximab in Advanced BTC: comparing therapeutic outcome of treatment arms in KRAS mutation status-stratified subpopulations 36 Presented by: Chen et al. Discussion • Too small to draw any conclusions (RR, PFS and OS consistent with previous studies) • Kras spectrum may be critical • Braf mutations are important for biliary cancer • No detremental effect of Cetuximab in these patients • Previous trial negative for Cetuximab combinations We have a Future There is Light on the end of the Tunnel • Completion of TCGA for Gastric, Pancreas and Hepatobiliary Cancers • Liquid Biopsies CTC/tumor DNA reflect pathway changes under therapy • Biomarker/PG Modeling Driven Trials (based on mutation and gene expression data e.g. SPARC, FGFR….) • International Collaborations to move science forward