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Risk Sharing in Drug Development Richard Malcolm, Ph.D. CEO, Acurian September 15, 2011 | BIOCOM Risk Sharing Defined • A method in which the cost of the consequences of a risk is distributed among several participants (e.g. syndication) • Business management method whereby the financial consequences of a risk are distributed among both vendor and client 2 Objectives of Risk Sharing • Ensure all parties have an aligned interest to the ultimate success of a venture – Shared accountability • Put the vendor(s) “in the boat” with the sponsor 3 General Background • First appeared in centralized patient recruitment in the 1990s • Soon disappeared due to declining demand • Made a comeback in past several years • Increasingly common requirement in patient recruitment & retention contracts • Applicable to virtually any drug development service, not just patient recruitment 4 Types of Risk Sharing • • • • None Partial Complete Total 5 Patient Recruitment Example • Phase IIb study of drug X in generalized anxiety disorder • Recruitment vendors receive RFP from drug company to provide recruitment/enrollment services • Services requested include mix of radio/TV ads, internet recruiting & direct mail 6 None: Time & Materials RISK Buyer Seller • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $/hour $/hour $/hour • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $/commercial $/station/market $/call $/letter 7 Buyer pays for all fees regardless of results RISK Partial: Non-Pass Through Buyer Seller • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $/hour Results-based Results-based Buyer pays for some costs based upon results • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $/commercial $/station/market $/call $/letter 8 Buyer pays for all pass through costs RISK Complete: Non-Pass Through Buyer Seller • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director Results-based Results-based Results-based Vendor compensated for staff only upon delivery of results • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $/commercial $/station/market $/call $/letter 9 Buyer pays for all pass through costs RISK Total: Price Per Unit Buyer Seller • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director Results-based Results-based Results-based • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage Results-based Results-based Results-based Results-based 10 Buyer pays no fees, only for units produced based on prenegotiated unit price Payment Markers (Units) • For this metric to be successful, it must: represent a reasonable level of vendor performance be considered as a fair assessment of performance (by sponsor & vendor alike) • Key patient recruitment agreement metrics: pre-screened referral screened referral randomized subject 11 None: Costing Example • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $200/hour x 100 hours = $20,000 $90/hour x 100 hours = $9,000 $150/hour x 100 hours = $15,000 TOTAL FOR TIME = $44,000 • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $15,000/commercial = $15,000 $40,000/week x 6 weeks = $240,000 $15/call x 600 calls = $9,000 $1.75/letter x 100,000 letters = $175,000 TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 Vendor projects that these costs will result in 100 randomized patients 12 So….No Risk Share Means: TOTAL FOR TIME = $44,000 + TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 = $483,000 paid regardless of vendor results Vendor has no fees tied to results. Buyer bears 100% of the risk. Cost per patient depends on vendor’s performance against $483,000. For example: 100 patients randomized Sponsor pays $4,830/patient 50 patients randomized Sponsor pays $9,660/patient 10 patients randomized Sponsor pays $48,300/patient 13 Partial: Costing Example • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $200/hour x 100 hours = $20,000 $90/hour x 100 hours = Tied to results $150/hour x 100 hours = Tied to results TOTAL = $20,000 + $24,000 if commitments are met • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $15,000/commercial = $15,000 $40,000/week x 6 weeks = $240,000 $15/call x 600 calls = $9,000 $1.75/letter x 100,000 letters = $175,000 TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 Vendor projects that these costs will result in 100 randomized patients 14 So….Partial Risk Share Means: TOTAL FOR TIME = $20,000 + $24,000 if 100 rands delivered + TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 = $459,000 paid even if vendor fails / $483,000 if vendor succeeds Vendor has only $24,000 tied to results. Buyer bears 95% of the risk. Cost per patient depends on vendor’s performance against $459,000. Vendor receives +$24,000 upon delivery of 100 rands. For example: 100 patients randomized Sponsor pays $4,830/patient 50 patients randomized Sponsor pays $9,060/patient 10 patients randomized Sponsor pays $45,300/patient 15 Complete: Costing Example • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $200/hour x 100 hours = Tied to results $90/hour x 100 hours = Tied to results $150/hour x 100 hours = Tied to results TOTAL FOR TIME = $44,000 in staff fees tied to results • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $15,000/commercial = $15,000 $40,000/week x 6 weeks = $240,000 $15/call x 600 calls = $9,000 $1.75/letter x 100,000 letters = $175,000 TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 Vendor projects that these costs will result in 100 randomized patients 16 So….Complete Share Means: TOTAL FOR TIME = $0 fixed. $44,000 tied to delivery of 100 rnads + TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 = $439,000 paid even if vendor fails / $483,000 if vendor succeeds Vendor has only $44,000 Results-based. Buyer bears 90% of the risk. Cost per patient depends on vendor’s performance against $439,000. Vendor receives +$44,000 upon delivery of 100 rands. For example: 100 patients randomized Sponsor pays $4,830/patient 10 patients randomized Sponsor pays $43,900/patient 17 Total: Costing Example • Time (people) – Project manager – Web developer – Creative director $200/hour x 100 hours = $20,000 $90/hour x 100 hours = $9,000 $150/hour x 100 hours = $15,000 TOTAL FOR TIME = $44,000 • Materials (things) – – – – TV production TV airtime Call center Printing & postage $15,000/commercial = $15,000 $40,000/week x 6 weeks = $240,000 $15/call x 600 calls = $9,000 $1.75/letter x 100,000 letters = $175,000 TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 Vendor projects that these costs will result in 100 randomized patients payment is tied to projected outcome rather than any activity. 18 So….Total Risk Share Means: TOTAL FOR TIME = $44,000 + TOTAL FOR MATERIALS = $439,000 = $483,000 $483,000 / 100 randomizations = $4,830 per patient Buyer pays a fixed $4,830 for 1-100 patients. No other fees may be invoiced. Invoicing occurs only on randomization. 19 Comparison of Each Risk Share Risk to Vendor Price Type Minimum Cost Maximum Cost Per Patient* Per Patient * (100 patients) (1 patient) None (T&M) 0% Variable $4,830 $483,000 Partial 5% Variable $4,830 $459,000 Complete 10% Variable $4,830 $439,000 Total 100% Fixed $4,830 $4,830 *Assuming full budget spent 20 Penalties & Incentives • Risk-share contracts can also contain special performance provisions that govern budget variance • Carrot: Vendor has monetary incentive to out perform contract terms • Stick: Vendor has monetary punishment if it underperforms contract terms • Risk is generally tilted toward the vendor as the monetary penalties are harder to absorb 21 Milestones or Units? • Will achieving the payment markers constitute success? • Is there a time requirement (e.g. Do patients need to be enrolled in a specific time?) 22 Changes in Pricing Assumptions • • • • Protocol amendment Drug availability Number of active sites Early termination of contract 23 The “All Patients” Trick • Vendor bid strategy is to make per patient price appear lower, but consider how each bidder ascertains their per patient price in a 1,000-person study: 24 The “Risk Share” Trick • Two specialty recruitment vendors bidding against each other • One vendor uses a partial risk share, the other uses a total risk share • The partial risk share budget is based on a prediction while the total risk share is a contract that is governed by the vendor meeting performance metrics (randomized patients) 25 Conclusions • Risk sharing can be beneficial to both sponsors & vendors • Terms, conditions & units need to be well thought out • Patient enrollment contracts should consider both vendor costs & pass-through (to be apples-to-apples) • Consideration should be given to impact of changes in conditions or terms • Results-based pricing greatly improves outcomes for sponsors 26 Thank you.