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The Greek Letters Finance (Derivative Securities) 312 Tuesday, 17 October 2006 Readings: Chapter 15 Hedging Suppose that: • A bank has sold for $300,000 a European call option on 100,000 shares of a non-dividend paying stock • S0 = 49, K = 50, r = 5%, s = 20%, m = 13%, T = 20 weeks • Black-Scholes value of option is $240,000 How does the bank hedge its risk? Naked and Covered Positions Naked position • If stock price < $50 at expiry, bank profits • If stock price > $50, bank must pay prevailing stock price x 100,000, no limit to loss Covered position • If stock price > $50 at expiry, bank profits • If stock price < $50, bank loses on stock position Stop-Loss Strategy Ensures covered position if option closes in-themoney, naked position if it closes out-of-themoney • Buy 100,000 shares if price rises over $50 • Sell 100,000 shares if price falls below $50 Cost of hedge would always be less than BlackScholes price, leading to riskless profit • Ignores time value of money • Purchases and sales will not be made at K exactly Delta Hedging Delta (D) is the rate of change of the option price with respect to the underlying asset price Option price Slope = D B A Stock price Delta Hedging Suppose that: • Stock price is $100, option price is $10, D = 0.6 • Trader sells 20 calls on 2,000 shares How can the trader employ delta hedging? • Buy 0.6 x 2,000 = 1,200 shares • Option D is 0.6 x –2,000 = –1,200 • Overall D is 0 (delta neutral) European Stock Options Call on non-dividend paying stock: D = N(d1) Put on non-dividend paying stock: D = N(d1) – 1 Call on stock paying dividends at rate q D = N(d1)e–qT Put on stock paying dividends at rate q D = e–qT [N(d1) – 1] Effect of Dividends Suppose that: • A bank has sold six-month put options on £1m with strike price of 1.6000 • Current exchange rate is 1.6200, UK r = 13%, US r = 10%, volatility of sterling is 15% How can the bank construct a delta neutral hedge? P A Effect of Dividends Put option D = -0.458 • Exchange rate rises by DS, price of put falls by 45.8% of DS • Bank must add £458,000 to its position to make it delta neutral Note that deltas on a portfolio are a weighted average of individual derivative deltas Delta of Futures Futures price on non-dividend paying stock is S0erT When stock price changes by DS, futures price changes by DSerT • Marking-to-market ensures investor realises profit/loss immediately, thus D = erT • With dividends, D = e(r-q)T • Not the case with forwards Delta of Futures To achieve delta neutrality • HF = e–rT HA • HF = e–(r–q)T HA (with dividends) • HF = e–(r–rf)T HA (with currency futures) From earlier example, hedging using ninemonth futures requires short position of: • e–(0.10–0.13)9/12 x 458,000 = £468,442 • Each contract = £62,500, no. of contracts = 7 Theta Theta (Q) is the rate of change of value with respect to time Usually negative for an option For a call option, theta is • Close to zero when the stock price is very low • Large and negative when at-the-money, and approaches –rKe-rT as stock prices gets larger Useful as a proxy for gamma Gamma Gamma (G) is the rate of change of delta (D) with respect to the price of the underlying asset Small gamma implies less frequent rebalancing required Sensitivity of value of portfolio to DS Delta, Theta, Gamma are connected Gamma Call price C′′ C′ C Stock price S S′ Gamma Neutrality Suppose that: • Delta neutral portfolio has a gamma of –3,000 • Delta and gamma of an option are 0.62 and 1.50 respectively How can this portfolio be made gamma neutral? Gamma Neutrality Adding wT options with gamma GT to a portfolio with gamma G gives wT GT + G wT must therefore be –G/ GT Include long position of 3,000/1.5 = 2,000 call options Delta will change from zero to 2,000 x 0.62 = 1,240 Sell 1,240 units of the underlying asset Theta as a Proxy for Gamma For a delta neutral portfolio, DP QDt + ½GDS 2 DP DP DS DS Positive Gamma Negative Gamma Vega Vega (n) is the rate of change of the value of a derivatives portfolio with respect to volatility High vega implies high portfolio sensitivity to small changes in volatility To ensure both gamma and vega neutrality, at least two derivatives must be used Vega Neutrality Suppose that: • A delta neutral portfolio has gamma of –5,000 and vega of –8,000 • Option 1 has gamma of 0.5, vega of 2.0, delta of 0.6 • Option 2 has gamma of 0.8, vega of 1.2, delta 0.5 How can this portfolio be made gamma, vega and delta neutral? Vega Neutrality Simultaneous equations • –5,000 + 0.5w1 + 0.8w2 = 0 • –8,000 + 2.0w1 + 1.2w2 = 0 w1 = 400, w2 = 6,000 Delta = 400 x 0.6 + 6,000 x 0.5 = 3,240 Vega is always positive for a long position in either European or American options Rho Rho is the rate of change of the value of a derivative with respect to the interest rate Long calls and short puts have positive Rhos (increase in interest rate would mean increase in call premium) Rho becomes more significant the longer the time remaining to expiry of the options For currency options there are two rhos corresponding to the two different interest rates Hedging in Practice Traders usually ensure that their portfolios are delta-neutral at least once a day Whenever the opportunity arises, they improve gamma and vega As portfolio becomes larger hedging becomes less expensive Synthetic Positions Strategy I: investing part of portfolio into the risk-free asset Recall, for a put, D = e– qT [N(d1) – 1] • Ensure that at any time, a proportion of e– qT [N(d1) – 1] stocks in the portfolio has been sold and invested into riskless assets Synthetic Positions Suppose that: • A portfolio is worth $90m • Six-month European put is required with strike price of $87m • rf is 9%, dividend yield is 3%, volatility is 25% p.a. How can the option be synthetically created? Synthetic Positions D = –0.3215 32.15% of portfolio should be sold initially and invested into riskless assets If portfolio value falls to $88m after one day, delta becomes –0.3679 and further 4.64% should be sold Synthetic Positions Strategy II: use index futures Using previous example: D = eq(T–T*)e–rT* [N(d1) – 1] A1/A2 T = 0.5, T* = 0.75, A1 = 100,000, A2 = 250, d1 = 0.4499 D = 122.95, ≈ 123 123 futures contracts should be shorted