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MEASURING REAL INVESTMENT:
TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES
AND INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS
Milka S. Kirova
Robert E. Lipsey
Working Paper 6404
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES
MEASURING REAL INVESTMENT:
TRENDS IN THE UNITED STATES
AND INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS
Milka S. Kirova
Robert E. Lipsey
Working Paper 6404
http://www.nber.org/papers/w6404
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
February 1998
The authors thank Bill Dewald for valuable discussions during the work on this article. We also thank
Patricia Pollard and Peter Yoo for helpful comments, and Charles Horioka for providing the data on
consumer durables in Japan. Eran Segev and Ewa Wojas provided research assistance. Any opinions
expressed are those of the authors and not those of the National Bureau of Economic Research.
© 1998 by Milka S. Kirova and Robert E. Lipsey. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to
exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including
© notice, is given to the source.
Measuring Real Investment: Trends in the United
States and International Comparisons
Milka S. Kirova and Robert E. Lipsey
NBER Working Paper No. 6404
February 1998
JEL Nos. C8, E21, E22
ABSTRACT
The standard measures of nominal capital formation show the United States investing a
proportion of GDP much lower than those of other developed countries throughout the last 25 years
and falling further behind over time. In contrast, measures we have calculated in real terms across
countries and over time indicate that US investment ratios have been rising over time and have been
coming closer and closer to those of the other countries.
A broader measure of capital formation more consonant with economic concepts shows the
United States to have been close to the other countries since 1970 and to have been investing an
above average share of total output in the most recent period 1990-1994. Real capital formation per
capita and per worker, even conventionally defined, has been consistently between 15 and 25 percent
higher than in the other countries and broadly defined real capital formation per capita and per worker
has been 30 to 60 percent higher.
Milka S. Kirova
Department of Economics
School of Business and Administration
Saint Louis University
3674 Lindell Boulevard
St. Louis, MO 63108
Robert E. Lipsey
National Bureau of Economic Research
50 East 42nd Street, 17th Floor
New York, NY 10017-5405
[email protected]