Download In search of relevance

Presentation to
Portfolio Committee
of Finance
Statistician-General
Pali Lehohla
In search of relevance
23 May 2008
1
Presentation to the
Portfolio Committee of Finance
Strategic overview
Key strategic priorities
Challenges
The future
“In search of relevance”
In search of relevance
2
Purpose of the presentation
To outline Stats SA’s key priorities in the
work programme for 2008/09
in line with its strategy
In search of relevance
3
strategic overview
In search of relevance
4
Stats SA’s role in society
Strategic importance of statistics
For evidence based decision making
Managing for development results
For deepening transparency
For broadening and deepening democracy
For managing Paris Declaration on aid effectiveness
Anticipating emerging issues
Manage and improve run-of-the-mill
In search of relevance
5
Characteristics of a statistical organisation
Intellectual
Technological
Political
Logistics
Administrative
In search of relevance
6
Role of statistics towards evidence-based decision-making
Society needs basic macro economic and social information to
inform decision-making in public and private sector
Economic growth
Price stability
Employment and job creation
Life circumstances, service delivery and poverty
Demographic profile and population dynamics
In search of relevance
7
Critical societal issues and how statistics relate to itThe policy environment is fluid, and how statistics respond to it
Emerging policy debates –
Changes in the interest rates
Increasing food prices
Labour market dynamics
Fighting poverty
Does Stats SA’s work programme respond to these challenges
In search of relevance
8
key strategic priorities
In search of relevance
9
Key priorities
During 2008/09, key priorities:
Quarterly Labour Force Survey
Living Conditions Survey (previously called Poverty Survey)
Reweighted CPI
Reviewing PPI
Geo-referenced dwelling frame
National Strategy for Development of Statistics
International activities and the ISI
In search of relevance
10
Quarterly Labour Force Survey
“Capturing the pulse of the labour market”
Aim: To comprehensively measure the dynamics of the labour
market. LFS is the primary instrument to measure employment
Re-engineering the LFS introduced in 2006
Data collection for QLFS initiated in January 2008
Improvements: Reviewed concepts and definitions of key
indicators, frequency, timeliness, redesigned questionnaire and
processes
First results to be published in August 2008
In search of relevance
11
Consumer Price Index
“A new basket for the CPI in the making”
Aim: The CPI measures price changes as experienced by
consumers over time
IES 2005 results key input into new weights for CPI basket
Currently running parallel sample on new products
New weights will be published by June 2008
Communication: move from old to new index
Reweighted CPI to be released in February 2009
In search of relevance
12
Producer Price Index
“Prices at the factory gates”
Aim: The PPI shows monthly movement in prices of producers
for a part of the economy (excluding services)
The series has last been reviewed and re-weighted in 1999
Effect: an outmoded product classification and basket of goods
Re-weighting and overall improvement - unexpected problems
in the transition from a very old system to a new
Difficulty of collecting prices from new respondents for new
products resulting in revisions
PPI on a stable footing this year
In search of relevance
13
Living Conditions Survey
“Measuring poverty in multiple dimensions”
Aim: Measuring the extent and distribution of household poverty
and monitoring progress in poverty reduction
Engage key stakeholders
Finalise survey instrument and methodology
Publicity and Training
12 month survey
Data collection to start in November 2008
In search of relevance
14
Geo-referenced dwelling frame
“All information has a spatial dimension”
Aim: To compile a complete, up-to-date database of all
dwellings and other structures in the country
Sampling frame for all household surveys and censuses
Dwelling frame completed during 2009/10
EA demarcation for census 2011 completed during 2010/11
Intergovernmental collaboration
43% of dwelling frame completed by March 2009
In search of relevance
15
National Statistics System
“Setting priorities for the NSS”
Aim of the NSS: ..
Governance structure for NSS including roles and
responsibility
Compile NSDS in consultation with stakeholders
Training stakeholders in SASQAF
Priorities: Statistical support –
National level – Education, Health & Home Affairs
Provincial level – Provincial profiles
Municipal level – Raising awareness of statistics
NSDS by March 2009
In search of relevance
16
International Relations
“Statistical world cup coming to South Africa”
Global statistical development and learning in a competitive
climate – Hosting the ISI
SADC – towards statistical capacity building and product
harmonisation
African statistical development in an uneven political
environment – ASSD towards 2010 Round of Population and
Housing Census
National statistical development - ISIbalo programme
Hosting ISI in 2009
In search of relevance
17
Capacity Building
“Towards statistical numeracy”
Attract and retain technical skills
Statistical capacity building
Leadership and management development
ISIbalo programme
- Women in statistics
- Young statisticians and demographers conference
- Maths, stats and the girl child
- Data analysis forum
- ISIbalo statistics education
In search of relevance
18
Key challenges
Strategic Risks and Challenges:
Data Management and Information Delivery project
Business register
Building leadership and management capabilities
Strengthening analytical and methodological capabilities
Corporate data processing
Integrated fieldwork
Relocating Stats SA
In search of relevance
19
the future
In search of relevance
20
The future
Beyond 2008 -
bb
Benchmarking GDP
Living Conditions Survey
Statistical Training Institute
ISI in 2009
Census 2011
New Building
Climate change
In search of relevance
21
Conclusion
Stats SA is on track on informing the nation:
For the first time, comprehensive employment data
on a quarterly basis
Changing consumption patterns in the economy
For the first time, comprehensive and integrated
poverty profile of the country
In search of relevance
22
Prioritisation of challenges in 2003
Attend to urgently
Maintain and Improve
Price Indices
Income & expenditure
Poverty information
Research and analysis
GDP
Sectoral economic statistics
Business Register
Quality and Methodology
Financial data
Employment (SEE and LFS)
General household survey
Census 2006
Innovate
Drop
Geography
MIS
Datawarehouse
Parallel samples
Stakeholder satisfaction
In search of relevance
23
Prioritisation of challenges in 2004
Attend to urgently
Price Indices
Income & expenditure
Poverty information
Research and analysis
and
CRS
Second Economy
Construction
Service sector
Maintain and Improve
GDP
Sectoral economic statistics
Business Register
Quality and Methodology
Financial data
Employment (SEE and LFS)
General household survey
Innovate
Drop
Geography
MIS
Datawarehouse
Parallel samples
Census 2006
Stakeholder satisfaction
In search of relevance
24
Prioritisation of challenges in 2005
Attend to urgently
Economic statistics
Growth – GDP (construction,
services sector, informal sector)
Price Indices (CPI, IES and PPI)
Employment (LFS, QES)
Maintain and Improve
Sectoral economic statistics
Quality and Methodology
Financial data
General household survey
Social statistics
Community Survey
Poverty information
Second Economy
Research and analysis
Business register
Capacity building
Innovate
Drop
Geography
MIS
DMID
Parallel samples
Census 2006
Stakeholder satisfaction
In search of relevance
25
Priorities in 2006
Attend to urgently
Maintain and Improve
Economic statistics
Growth – GDP (construction, services
sector, informal sector)
Price Indices (CPI, IES and PPI)
Employment (Re-engineer LFS)
Sectoral economic statistics
Business Register
Quality and Methodology
Financial data
General household survey
Social statistics
Basic services - Community Survey
Poverty information
Second Economy/Informal sector
Internship programme
Support
Human resource management
Risk management
Innovate
Drop
Geography
MIS
DMID
Parallel samples
Census 2006
Stakeholder satisfaction
In search of relevance
26
Statistical Training Institute
NSS
Corporate Image
Priorities in 2007
Attend to urgently
Maintain and Improve
Economic statistics
Growth – GDP (construction, services
sector, informal sector) 2
Price Indices (CPI, IES and PPI)
Employment (Re-engineer LFS) 4
Social statistics
1
Basic services - Community Survey
Poverty information 3
Second Economy/Informal sector
Sectoral economic statistics
Business Register
Quality and Methodology
Financial data
General household survey
Internship programme
Support
Human resource management
Human capacity building
Innovate
Drop
Geography
MIS
DMID 5
Stakeholder satisfaction
In search of relevance
27
Statistical Training Institute
NSS
Corporate Image
thank you
In search of relevance
28