Download Reference Scenarios

ET2050
Reference Scenarios
TPG Meeting Bruxelles March 2012
What’s an Extreme scenario?
Scientifically-driven (what may happen in the future?)
Politically-driven (what we would like to happen?)
Great Transition Scenarios, by Global Scenario Group
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
Vision
Baseline
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
Asia
Russia
EU27
North
America
South
America
Africa
South
America
Asia
Russia
Africa
North
America
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
Asia
Russia
EU27
North
America
South
America
Africa
South
AmericaEU27
Asia
Russia
Africa
North
America
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
Suburb
Do it fast
PASHMINA 7th EU FP (2011)
Sparse and rural
Do it together
Do it slow
Do it alone
Core-city
Small city
GDP
Social
Triumphant Markets
The Hundred Flow ers
Shared Responsibilities
Creative Societies
Turbulent Neighbourhoods
Perpetual Motion
Urban Colonies
Tribal Trading
Good Intentions
Market Forces
Policy First
Security First
Sustainability First
S&T develops a Mind of its Ow n
The World Wakes Up
Please, turn off the Spigot
Backlash
Take the A-Train
I'm in love w ith my car
Riding the rainbow
Moonlight ride in a Diesel
Fortress America
The Strong Nation Clubs
Triage
Compassionate World
Pro-active Europe
Cohesion-oriented (Danubean Europe)
Competitiveness-oriented (Rhine-Rhone Europe)
Know ledge is King
Big is beautiful
Convulsive Change
Strong Europe
Transatlantic Market
Regional Communities
Global Economy
GDP
Environment
Triumphant Markets
The Hundred Flow ers
Shared Responsibilities
Creative Societies
Turbulent Neighbourhoods
Perpetual Motion
Urban Colonies
Tribal Trading
Good Intentions
Market Forces
Policy First
Security First
Sustainability First
S&T develops a Mind of its Ow n
The World Wakes Up
Please, turn off the Spigot
Backlash
Take the A-Train
I'm in love w ith my car
Riding the rainbow
Moonlight ride in a Diesel
Fortress America
The Strong Nation Clubs
Triage
Compassionate World
Pro-active Europe
Cohesion-oriented (Danubean Europe)
Competitiveness-oriented (Rhine-Rhone Europe)
Know ledge is King
Big is beautiful
Convulsive Change
Strong Europe
Transatlantic Market
Regional Communities
Global Economy
Technologic optimism
Self-Organisation
Planning
Cultural pessimism
commitment 2000-2006, mill.
EUR
Polycentrisme maillé
Archipel éclaté
Le centralisme renové
Local differencié
Creixement econòmic
Equilibri territorial
Rather than a union, a region or
an identity I would describe
Europe as a narrative; the story,
to be continued endlessly, of an
endeavour which can never be
fully achieved but which will make
sense anyway, because of the
hopeful efforts and good will put
into it Jens Christian Grøndahl