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Contemporary Economics: An Applications Approach By Robert J. Carbaugh 2nd Edition Chapter 10: Gross Domestic Product and Economic Growth Copyright ©2003, South-Western College Publishing Gross Domestic Product International comparisons of GDP GDP = C + I + G + (X - M) Gross Domestic Product = Personal consumption (C) + Gross private domestic investment (I) + Government purchases of goods and services (G) + Net exports (exports - imports) [X-M] Carbaugh, Chap. 10 Some international comparisons of GDP, 1999 Nation GDP (billions) GDP per person* United States $8,708.9 $30,600 Switzerland 260.3 27,486 Japan 4,395.1 24,041 Canada 612.0 23,725 Mexico 475.0 7,719 Russia 375.3 6,339 Togo 1.5 1,346 Zambia 3.3 686 Ethiopia 6.5 599 Sierra Leone 0.7 414 * measured at purchasing power parity 2 Gross Domestic Product Components of US GDP, 2000 Amount Component of GDP Disposition of household income Durable goods Non-durable goods Services (billions) Percent of total $6,757.3 820.3 2,010.0 3,927.0 68% Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment (plant, equipment) Business inventories 1,832.7 1,778.2 54.5 19% Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and local 1,743.7 595.1 1,148.6 17% Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports -370.6 1,097.4 1,468.0 -4% Gross Domestic Product 9,963.1 100 Carbaugh, Chap. 10 3 Gross Domestic Product Nominal GDP, real GDP, and deflator Nominal and real GDP, 1990-2000 Real GDP nominal GDP 100 GDP deflator Carbaugh, Chap. 10 Year Nominal GDP (billions) Real GDP (billions) GDP deflator (1996=100) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 5803.2 5986.2 6318.9 6642.3 7054.3 7400.5 7813.2 8318.4 8790.2 9299.2 9963.1 6707.9 6676.4 6880.0 7062.6 7347.7 7543.8 7813.2 8159.5 8515.7 8875.8 9318.5 86.5 89.7 91.8 94.0 96.0 98.1 100.0 101.9 103.2 104.8 106.9 4 Gross Domestic Product Economic growth Rate of growth Year2 real GDP - Year1 real GDP Year1 real GDP 8 Japan 14 Canada Years required to double GDP, beginning in 1960, for selected nations 17 Belgium 19 West Germany 24 United States 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Years Carbaugh, Chap. 10 5 Economic Growth Productivity trends Annual rates of growth in US labor productivity and real hourly earnings 1960-1999 Year Labor productivity growth rate 1960s (avg.) 1970s (avg.) 1980s (avg.) 1990-94 (avg.) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 3.2% 1.8 1.2 1.6 0.7 2.8 2.1 2.7 3.1 Real hourly earnings growth rate 2.9% 1.3 0.2 0.8 -0.4 0.4 0.7 3.9 2.9 Source: Economic Report of the President, 2001; US Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the US Carbaugh, Chap. 10 6 Economic Growth Computer technology bolsters US economic growth Annual contribution to productivity growth (%) 2.5% 0.25% Technological Gains: each sector's contribution to technological gains 31% Non-information technology 56% 2.0% 0.99% 1.5% 44% Computers 32% 0.36% 1.0% 14% 0.37% Software 1.13% 0.5% 8% 0.64% 11% 0.0% Communications 1990-95 1995-98 Labor quality T echnological gains Capital investment per hour Carbaugh, Chap. 10 0% 4% 20% 40% 60% 1990-95 1995-98 7 Economic Growth: Role of Government Research & Development Expenditures as a share of GDP, 1998 2.6% United States 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% Japan 2.3% 2.2% Germany 2.3% France 2.0% 1.9% United Kingdom 1.7% 1.1% 1.0% Italy 0% 1% Source: US Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the US, 2000 Carbaugh, Chap. 10 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% T otal Non-defense 8 Economic Growth: Role of Government Impact of education, trade and infrastructure Impact of education, openness to trade, and telecommunications infrastructure on economic growth in seventy-four countries, 1965-95 Growth of GDP per Capita (percent per year) 3.8 4 3.2 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.6 High 0.5 0 -0.1 High Low Openness to trade, supply of telecom infrastructure Low Education Source: World Bank, World Development Report, 1999 Carbaugh, Chap. 10 9