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The Washington Consensus and its aftermath The power of markets: Adam Smith and the Wealth of Nations • “The invisible Hand” distributes goods and resources where they are most productive and demanded The market revolution: background • 1930s-1960s: heroic period of state intervention • John Maynard Keynes and counter-cyclical state action • state ownership--”national champions”, regulation 1970s--the party ending, views changing • over-extended states, slow growth • inefficiencies apparent in Communist world, and state enterprises everywhere • Hayek and Milton Freidman win Nobel prizes, becomes mainstream 1980s--the revolution arrives: “British American Capitalism” • Thatcher privatizes national industries-airlines, telecom, utilities, transport, etc. • Reagan follows--tax cuts, deregulation • airlines (‘78), banks, telecom, etc. Chilean “miracle” • 1973 After Allende coup, Pinochet imposes free market model • Workers thrown out of work • Then Chilean economy booms, still . . . • 1990 Pinochet steps down “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics” • 1978 Deng Xiaoping reverses course • “glorious to be rich”--colored cats • household responsibility system • 1980 “Special Economic Zones” created, then expanded India: no more “Hindu rate of growth” and “permit Raj” • post-independence models: socialist England and USSR • state-ownership and discouraging foreign investment • Massive regulation • Production for protected domestic market alone • 1991 PM Rao, and successors implement reforms • investment, growth, trade increase Russia—failed reform? • 1985 Gorbachev’s perestroika • then the sales of national assets—”crony capitalism” The world follows the neoliberal “Washington Consensus” • trend around the world to: • • • • privatize govt owned industries cut protective tariffs or subsidies deregulate lower taxes/benefits • Some places less than others-- Continental Europe still defending the “welfare state” • tax-financed health care, education, retirement, transport, childcare, and more Tax rates as % of GDP • Sweden: 53.2% • U.S: 29.8% Latin America today: rejecting the “Washington consensus” • Venezuela—Hugo Chavez expanding the role of the state • Bolivia—Evo Morales—nationalizes oil and gas • Most of LA follows, more or less good and bad of markets • benefits of markets: • distributing products and resources efficiently--the invisible hand • rewarding ingenuity and effort • problems with markets: • • • • can ignore claims of justice, need, and other ideals can boom and bust do not provide “public goods” often require governing rules to function working out a balance? • should we have publicly financed higher education, health care, social security?