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European semester 2012: Country Specific Recommendations 30 May package • - « Chapeau » Communication on Action for Stability, Growth and Jobs • - 27 Country Specific Recommendations + 1 for Euro-area • - 27 analytical Staff Working Documents + 1 for Euro-area • - 12 In-depth studies (under new Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure) • - 2 Recommendations to bring DE and BG out of EDP • - 1 Recommendation to lift HU Cohesion Fund suspension • - 27 « thematic fiches » comparing Member States’ performance 1 Action for stability, growth and jobs • EU-level action for growth: • - Europe 2020 strategy • - Economic and Monetary Union (SGP, financial backstops, banking sector, deepened EMU) • - Internal Market (EU patent, services directive, Single Market II proposal) 2 Action for stability, growth and jobs • - Human capital (job-rich recovery, skills, mobility) • - External sources of growth (FTA) • - EU funding of the growth that Europe needs (MFF, structural funds, project bonds, EIB capital increase, …) 3 Action for stability, growth and jobs • Member State level action for growth: • - National reform programmes, end April 2012; • Reports from MS on national consultation process: - AT, SE, BE, FR, NL, BG, CY, DK, EE, HU, LU, SK, PL, RO reported to have had a formal and apparently good consultation process. For AT, SE, BE, FR, NL contributions from social partners/stakeholders are annexed to the NRP - LT, SI, FI seemed to have only had a reduced consultation process - CZ, DE, UK seemed to have had no formal consultation process (but may have informal ones) - ES, MT had no consultation process • - Stability or Convergence programmes • - Commission Country Specific recommendations 4 Action for stability, growth and jobs • 2012 Country Specific Recommendations – overview • 1) Pursue differentiated growth-friendly fiscal consolidation: • - Deficits are falling, but: • - Improve growth-friendliness of fiscal consolidation; • - Use available fiscal space in countries without excessive deficits • - Pursue pension reform • - Shift tax burden from labour to environment and consumption, reduce tax exemptions • - Fight shadow economy 5 Action for stability, growth and jobs • 2) Restore normal lending to the economy: • - Complete restructuring of banking sector, while avoiding excessive deleveraging • - Promote access to finance for SMEs 6 Action for stability, growth and jobs • 3) Promote growth and competitiveness: • More efforts are needed to: • - Open up services sector and public procurement markets • - Improve performance of network industries • - Improve business environment • - Promote R&D investment and innovation • - Take steps to meet the 2020 energy targets 7 Action for stability, growth and jobs • 4) Tackle unemployment and social exclusion: • - Fight youth unemployment • - Reduce early school leaving, improve training and develop apprenticeships • - Increase labour market participation (e.g. of women, older workers, vulnerable groups) • - Align development of wages with productivity 8 Action for stability, growth and jobs • 5) Modernise public administration: • - Improve administrative capacity • - Enhance efficiency of civil justice systems (backlogs, length of judicial proceedings) • - Improve quality of services (eg through egovernment) • - Tackle corruption 9 EU recommendations for national action in 2012/13 Public finances Sound public finances AT BE BG CY CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR HU IT LT LU LV MT NL PL SE SI SK UK Pension and health systems Fiscal framework Financial sector Taxation Banking Housing market Access to finance Growth enhancing structural reforms Network industries Competition in service sector Public services and regulation R&D and innovation Labour market Resource efficiency Labour market participation Active labour market policy Wage setting mechanisms Labour market flexicurity Education 0 Note: Recommendations proposed by the Commission in May 2012 for 2012-2013. For IE, EL, PT and RO, the only recommendation is to implement existing commitments under EU/IMF financial assistance programmes. More information at: http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/index_en.htm 10 Commitments under the Euro Plus Pact Foster competitiveness Wage setting mechanisms Public sector wage developments Competition in services Education, R&D, innovation Sustainability of public finances Foster employment Business environment Labour market flexicurity Labour Undeclared participation work Life-long learning Lower labour taxes ParticiAlign pensions Incentives pation of 2nd to for older earners demography workers National fiscal rule Reinforce financial stability National legislation for banking resolution and other financial stabilisation measures AT BE BG CY DE DK EE EL ES FI FR IE IT LT LU LV MT NL PL PT RO SI SK Note: this table summarises commitments taken by Member States participating in the Euro Plus Pact since Spring 2011. 11 Are we likely to meet our targets for 2020? EMPLOYMENT 75% of the population aged 20-64 should be employed INNOVATION 3% of the EU's GDP should be invested in R&D CLIMATE / ENERGY A reduction of CO2 emissions by 20% A share of renewable energies up to 20% An increase in energy efficiency by 20% EDUCATION The share of early school leavers should be under 10% At least 40% of the younger generation should have a degree or diploma POVERTY 20 million fewer people should be at risk of poverty 12 For more information • http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/index_en.htm 13