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Ch. 10, Sec. 1 – Gross Domestic Product ● Macroeconomics - ● The study of entire economies ● National income accounting - ● ● The tracking of production, income and consumption for a nation's economy Economists hope to be able to predict economic performance by studying the past and current performance Gross Domestic Product (cont) ● ● ● ● Gross Domestic Product (GDP) The total dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country during one calendar year 1) Final Output To avoid double counting, only count the final product not intermediate products ● 2) Current Year - ● Sales of secondhand products not included ● 3) Output Produced Within National Borders - ● Counts goods produced by foreign companies within our borders GDP (cont) ● World Rank GDP (2006, $Billions) ● 1) European Union - $14,527 ● 2) United States - $13,245 ● 3) Japan - $4,367 ● 4) Germany - $2,897 ● 5) China - $2,630 ● 6) United Kingdom - $2,373 ● 7) France - $2,231 ● 8) Italy - $1,852 GDP (cont) ● How is GDP determined? ● Four sectors of product market are combined: ● 1) Personal consumption expenditures (C) ● 2) Gross Investment (I), total value of all capital goods produced ● 3) Government purchases (G) ● 4) Exports minus imports (X-M) ● Output-expenditure model ● C+I+G+(X-M)= GDP GDP (cont) ● ● Nominal GDP Expressed in the current prices of the period being measured ● Real GDP - ● Adjusted for price changes (inflation) ● 1996 – 2000 ● Nominal GDP increased by 26%, real GDP increased by only 18% GDP (cont) ● Limitations of GDP - ● Accuracy and timeliness of data ● Non-market activities (barter, housework, chores) ● Underground economy (unreported/illegal activities) ● Externalities (“goods” and “bads”) Other National Income Measures ● ● ● ● Gross National Product All final output produced by factors of production owned by residents of a country National Income Employees and owners income, corporate profits and net interest ● Personal Income - ● All income earned by individuals ● Disposable personal income - ● Total amount of income available to spend/save Ch. 10, Sec. 2 – Business Cycles ● Four phases to the business cycle: ● 1) Expansion (recovery) - ● From 1940-44, GDP increased from $99.7B to $210.1B – Why? ● 2) Peak - ● Economy is at its strongest, high demand ● 3) Contraction (recession) - ● Decline in real GDP for 2 or more quarters ● 4) Trough - ● Demand, production and employment at lowest Business Cycles (cont) ● Influences on the business cycle: ● 1) Business investment - ● Higher investment, higher production and new development ● 2) Money and credit - ● Output varies with availability of credit ● 3) Public expectations - ● ● Consumer spending varies based on their feelings about the economy 4) External factors - Business Cycles (cont) ● ● Predicting the cycle - Economists use three types of indicators to determine which phase of the cycle the economy is currently in: ● 1) Leading indicators - ● To anticipate the direction the economy is heading ● Building permits, new orders, price of raw matls ● 2) Coincident indicators - ● Provide information about current conditions ● Personal income, sales, industrial production Business Cycles (cont) ● ● ● 3) Lagging indicators These happen after an upturn or downturn and may help predict the duration of it Consumer credit Ch. 10, Sec. 3 – Economic Growth ● How do we measure economic growth? ● Increase in real GDP per capita ● US - $13T/300M= ● China - $2.6T/1.2B= ● The importance of economic growth - ● 1) Increase the standard of living ● 2) Competing in world markets ● 3) Increasing domestic resources ● More tax payers Economic Growth (cont) ● Requirements for economic growth - ● LAND (natural resources) ● LABOR (human resources) ● CAPITAL ● ENTREPRENEURSHIP ● Increasing Productivity - ● 1) Technological advances ● 2) Capital deepening - ● Production of capital goods increases faster than size of workforce Economic Growth (cont) ● 3) Educated/Skilled labor force ● 4) Motivation, dedication and loyalty ● Productivity in the US - ● Productivity growth has slowed since the 1960s ● Decreased savings and investment ● Decreased investment in research & develop. ● Increased gov't regulation ● Shift to service based economy