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1. Factors that shift the consumption function Changes in wealth – – shift the consumption function. Example: value of stocks, bonds, consumer durables. 2. Changes in consumer expectations – Shift the consumption function. – Example: Pessimistic expectations decrease autonomous consumption. 3. Taxes and Transfers – Tax increase or decrease in transfers: decrease disposable income and shift the consumption function down. 4. Prices – Affect the purchasing power of assets. Shift up in AE line Shift right in AD line Or Shift down in AE line Shift left in AD line Shift AE line Movement Along AD line Determinants of Investment • • • • Interest Rates Tax Incentives Technical Change Expectations about the strength of demand • Political Stability and the rule of law Shift AE line Shift AD line Government expenditures are determined by the budget process: The president, Congress and the Senate. Shift AE line Shift AD line • National Incomes • GDP of other countries • Relative Prices • Exchange Rates Shift AE line Shift AD line Recessionary/Inflationary Gap? Which AE line will cause a recessionary gap? Which AE line will cause an inflationary gap? A recessionary To increasegap AE, To eliminate a occurs we when actual need an recessionary gap, AE GDPincrease falls SHORT in C,of I, G must rise. full employment or NX GDP = 7,000-6,000 =1,000 To Eliminate a Recessionary/Deflationary Gap • Increase Consumption by a sufficiently large price drop, a decrease in taxes or an increase in transfers. • Increase Investment – tax incentives. – lower interest rates • Increase Government Spending • Increase Exports and reduce Imports: make dollar weaker (increasing supply of dollars) To eliminate To an decrease AE, we need inflationary agap, decrease in AE must C, I, G or NX fall. = 7,000-8,000 =-1,000 An inflationary gap occurs when equilibrium GDP is higher than full employment GDP To Eliminate an Inflationary Gap • Decrease Consumption by a sufficiently large price increase, an increase in taxes or a decrease in transfers. • Decrease Government Spending • Increase interest rates to decrease spending • Decrease net exports and increase imports: stronger dollar. 3. If the economy is at equilibrium, is total spending greater, less than or equal to Output? Do Inventories fall, rise or remain unchanged? Does the economy experience a recessionary gap or an inflationary gap? If an inflationary (recessionary) gap exists, how can the gap be closed? 4. If the economy is at equilibrium, is total spending greater, less than or equal to Output? Do Inventories fall, rise or remain unchanged? Does the economy experience a recessionary gap or an inflationary gap? If an inflationary (recessionary) gap exists, how can the gap be closed? Fiscal Policy • Changes in Government Spending and/ or Taxes. • Induce a change in Aggregate Spending. Increase AE Decrease AE 5/23/2017 © 2002 Claudia Garcia-Szekely 13