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Part 8: THE DATA OF MACROECONOMICS Copyright © 2004 South-Western Measuring a Nation’s Income Copyright © 2004 South-Western 23 Micro vs. Macro • Microeconomics • the study of how individual households and firms make decisions and how they interact with one another in markets. • Macroeconomics • the study of the economy as a whole. • The primary topics involve the causes of long-run growth and business cycles, and the appropriate role for government policy in influencing the performance of the economy Copyright © 2004 South-Western Macro Variables Y: national income or GDP P: price level (cost of living) π: inflation rate u: unemployment rate r: interest rate 主計處網站: http://www.stat.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=15139&ctNode=3565 Copyright © 2004 South-Western The Definition OF GDP • 國內生產毛額 Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure of the income and expenditures of an economy. • It is the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. • 台灣2007年GDP:約12.6兆新台幣 • (台灣資料請參考Ch23.xls) • GNP ( Gross National Product):國民生產毛額 Copyright © 2004 South-Western The Definition OF GDP • “GDP is the Market Value . . .” Output is valued at market prices. (1) traded in the market (2) weighted with market prices • “. . . Of All Final . . .” (1) records only the value of final goods, not intermediate goods: No double counting (不重複計算) (2) Or Σ(value added):附加價值的加總 eg, 小麥($6)麵粉($10)麵包($20) Copyright © 2004 South-Western The Definition OF GDP • “. . . Goods and Services . . . “ • both tangible goods (food, clothing, cars) and intangible services (haircuts, housecleaning, doctor visits). • “. . . Produced . . .” • currently produced, not transactions involving goods produced in the past. (No second-hand trade) • “ . . . Within a Country . . .” • within the geographic confines of a country. “ • “. . . In a Given Period of Time.” • within a specific interval of time, usually a year or a quarter (three months). Copyright © 2004 South-Western What Is Not Counted in GDP? GDP includes all items produced in the economy and sold legally in markets. • GDP excludes (1) most items produced and consumed at home. (2) items produced and sold illicitly (illegal drugs). Copyright © 2004 South-Western The Measurement of Income and Expenditure • For an economy as a whole, income must equal expenditure because: • Every dollar of spending by some buyer is a dollar of income for some seller. The measurement of GDP: • 1. Expenditure approach (支出面) • 2. Income approach (所得面) • 3. Production approach (產出面) • illustrated with the circular-flow diagram. Copyright © 2004 South-Western Figure 23.1 The Circular-Flow Diagram MARKETS FOR GOODS AND SERVICES •Firms sell Goods •Households buy and services sold Revenue Wages, rent, and profit Goods and services bought HOUSEHOLDS •Buy and consume goods and services •Own and sell factors of production FIRMS •Produce and sell goods and services •Hire and use factors of production Factors of production Spending MARKETS FOR FACTORS OF PRODUCTION •Households sell •Firms buy Labor, land, and capital Income = Flow of inputs and outputs = Flow of dollars Copyright Copyright © © 2004 2004 South-Western South-Western 1. Expenditure Approach: The Components OF GDP • GDP (Y) is the sum of the following expenditures: • • • • Consumption (C) Investment (I) Government Purchases (G) Net Exports (NX)=Export(EX)-Import(IM) Y = C + I + G + NX =C+I+G+EX-IM Copyright © 2004 South-Western THE COMPONENTS OF GDP • Consumption (C):消費 • The spending by households on goods and services, with the exception of purchases of new housing. • Investment (I):投資 • The spending on capital equipment, inventories, and structures, including new housing. Copyright © 2004 South-Western THE COMPONENTS OF GDP • Government Purchases (G):政府支出 • The spending on goods and services by governments. • Does not include transfer payments because they are not made in exchange for currently produced goods or services. • Net Exports (NX):淨出口 • Exports (EX出口) minus imports(IM進口). • National Saving: S=Y-C-G (Ch26,32 ) Copyright © 2004 South-Western Taiwan’ GDP (Y) 組成 % C I G EX IM S 歷年平均 56.92 24.07 15.68 44.45 41.12 27.40 1961-1970 62.11 21.84 18.17 21.03 23.15 19.72 1971-1980 52.39 30.41 15.56 46.32 44.68 32.05 1981-1990 51.24 22.81 15.83 53.17 43.05 32.93 1991-2000 58.53 24.43 14.77 47.35 45.07 26.70 2001-2006 62.59 18.77 12.97 61.01 55.37 24.44 Copyright © 2004 South-Western 2. Income Approach • National Income (NI)國民所得= Wage income + Interest income + Rents + profits To prove that GDP.=NI: Revenue = GDP Costs = Wage + Interest payment + Rents Profits= Revenue- Costs = GDP- (Wage + Interest payment + Rents) So GDP= Wage + Interest income + Rents + Profits = National Income 實際上GNP=NI+折舊+間接稅(非所得稅) Copyright © 2004 South-Western Real versus Nominal GDP • Nominal GDP values of goods and services at current prices. (Y=PtQt) Y P Q Pi Q t • Real GDP values of goods and services at constant prices in the base year. (y=P0Qt): the measure of real output t t t i i y P Q Pi Q 0 t 0 i Copyright © 2004 South-Western t i Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western Table 23.2 Real and Nominal GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western The GDP Deflator (GDP平減指數=P) • The GDP deflator is calculated as follows: Nominal GDP GDP deflator= 100 Real GDP Pt Qt = 0 t 100 PQ the measure of price change 亦即 P Y / y Copyright © 2004 South-Western Y=P*y, P=Y/y ,y=Y/P • Converting Nominal GDP to Real GDP: Real GDP20XX Nominal GDP20XX 100 GDP deflator20XX 亦即 y=Y/P 2007年:名目每人平均GDP為NT$55萬=16,768美金 實質每人GDP=(550,343/96.14)=572,439 (2001價格) Copyright © 2004 South-Western Table 23.2 Real and Nominal GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western Taiwan: real GDP and real GNP FIGURE 23.2 Real GNP and Real GDP 16,000,000 14,000,000 Millions NT$ 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 Year real GNP real GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western 2006 Taiwan: GDP growth rate % nominal GDP real GDP (Y) (y) Inflation rate (P) 歷年平均 成長率 13.43 7.88 5.13 1951-1960 20.21 8.15 11.08 1961-1970 13.80 9.68 3.76 1971-1980 21.03 9.91 10.33 1981-1990 11.32 8.01 3.09 1991-2000 8.56 6.52 1.91 2001-2007 3.29 3.80 -0.49 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Taiwan: growth rate of Nominal GDP and Real GDP FIGURE 23.2b Growth rate of Nominal GDP and Real GDP 45 40 35 Millions NT$ 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 Year Nominal GDP Real GDP Copyright © 2004 South-Western GDP and Economic Well-Being • Real GDP per person (per capita): (real GDP/N) as a measure of standard of living and as a measure of average productivity 2004年:名目每人平均GDP為NT$47.7萬= 14,270美金 實質每人GDP=(1,4270/95.33)*100=14,970美 金(2001價格) 跨時比較 購買力評價=24,000美金 跨國比較 Copyright © 2004 South-Western GDP and Economic Well-Being • GDP: not a perfect measure of the happiness or quality of life. GDP not count • • • • • The value of leisure. The value of a clean environment. (綠色國民所得) The value of nonmarket activities. Not an indication for income distribution. 2005年,台灣地區平均每戶可支配所得89.5萬元。若可 支配所得按戶數五等分位觀察,最高20%家庭每戶可支 配所得為179.7萬元,最低20%家庭每戶所得29.8萬元, 高低所得差距6.04倍。(主計處) Copyright © 2004 South-Western Table 23.3 GDP and Quality of Life Copyright © 2004 South-Western Summary ‧GDP is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. • Total expenditure = Total income • GDP =C+I+G+NX • Nominal GDP = Y • Real GDP = y • The GDP deflator = P =Y/y Copyright © 2004 South-Western