Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
The Monetary System, Prices, and Inflation © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning The Monetary System •History of the Dollar •Why Paper Currency Is Accepted as a Means of Payment The Monetary System Unit of Value A common unit for measuring how much something is worth Means of Payment Anything acceptable as payment for goods and services History of the Dollar In 1790, Congress created a new unit of value called the dollar. Before then, every colony had a different currency and each had different purchasing power. The Federal Reserve System Federal Reserve System The central bank and national monetary authority of the United States. The Monetary System The earliest means of payment were precious metals and other valuable commodities such as furs or jewels, called commodity money. The Monetary System Fiat Money Anything that serves as a means of payment by government declaration The Monetary System Money is no longer backed by gold or any other physical commodity. The real force behind the dollar is that it is considered “legal tender,” as well as its long-standing acceptability by others. Measuring the Price Level and Inflation •Index Numbers •The Consumer Price Index •How the CPI Has Behaved •From Price Index to Inflation Rate •How the CPI Is Used •Real Variables and Adjustment for Inflation •Inflation and the Measurement of Real GDP Measuring the Price Level and Inflation Price Level The average level of dollar prices in the economy Index Numbers Index A series of numbers used to track a variable’s rise or fall over time Value of measure in current period 100 Value of measure in base period Consumer Price Index Consumer Price Index (CPI) An index of the cost, through time, of a fixed market basket of goods purchased by a typical household in some base period Consumer Price Index CPI Cost of market basket in current year 100 Cost of market basket in 1983 Consumer Price Index, December, Selected Years, 1960-2001 Year CPI 1960 29.8 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 31.8 39.8 55.5 86.3 109.3 133.8 153.5 174.0 176.7 From Price Index to Inflation Rate Inflation Rate The percent change in the price level from one period to the next Deflation A decrease in the price level from one period to the next How the CPI Is Used The CPI is used in three major ways: •As a Policy Target •To Index Payments •To Translate from Nominal Real Values to How the CPI Is Used Indexation Adjusting the value of some nominal payment in proportion to a price index, in order to keep the real payment unchanged How the CPI Is Used Nominal Variable A variable measured in current dollars Real Variable A variable measured in terms of purchasing power How the CPI Is Used Annual Inflation Rate 14 (% ) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 –2 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2001 Year Real Variables and Adjustment for Inflation To find what happens to our purchasing power, we must: •focus on real wages, •not on nominal wages - the number of dollars we earn Nominal wage in that year Real wage in any year 100 CPI in that year Real Variables and Adjustment for Inflation In measuring changes in the macroeconomy, we usually don’t care about the number of dollars we’re counting, but the purchasing power those dollars represent. We translate nominal values into real values. Inflation and Measurement of Real GDP GDP Price Index An index of the price level for all final goods and services included in GDP Inflation and Measurement of Real GDP •GDP price index measures the prices of all goods and services that are included in U.S. GDP •CPI measures the prices of all goods and services bought by U.S. households The Costs of Inflation •The Inflation Myth •The Redistributive Cost of Inflation •The Resource Cost of Inflation The Inflation Myth Myth: Inflation robs the average citizen of real income. Fact: Inflation can redistribute purchasing power from one group to another, but it cannot - by itself decrease the average real income in the economy. The Redistributive Cost of Inflation Inflation can shift purchasing power away from those who are awaiting future payments specified in dollars and toward those who are obligated to make such payments. The Redistributive Costs of Inflation Over any period, the percentage change in a real value is approximately equal to the percentage change in the associated nominal value minus the rate of inflation. %Real %Nominal Rate of Inflation The Redistributive Costs of Inflation If inflation is fully anticipated, and if both parties take it into account, then inflation will not redistribute purchasing power. The Redistributive Costs of Inflation Nominal Interest Rate The annual percent increase in a lender’s dollars from making a loan Real Interest Rate The annual percentage increase in a lender’s purchasing power from making a loan The Redistributive Costs of Inflation % in Lender's purchasing power % in Lender's dollars Rate of Inflation or Real interest rate = Nominal interest rate – Rate of inflation Unexpected Inflation Shifts Purchasing Power When inflationary expectations are inaccurate, purchasing power is shifted between those obliged to make future payments and those waiting to be paid. Unexpected Inflation Shifts Purchasing Power An inflation rate higher than expected harms those awaiting payment and benefits the payers. An inflation rate lower than expected harms the payers and benefits those awaiting payment. The Resource Cost of Inflation When people must spend time and other resources coping with inflation, they pay an opportunity cost - they sacrifice the goods and services those resources could have produced instead.