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Comparative Politics: Domestic Responses to Global Challenges, Seventh Edition by Charles Hauss Chapter 16: Mexico Learning Objectives After studying this chapter, students should be able to: • Evaluate the assets and liabilities of the Mexican state in dealing with present-day situations • Define the challenges facing Mexico • Summarize the history of the development of Mexico’s regime and politics • Describe the Institutional Revolutionary Party and explain both its long-term hold on power and reasons why its political power has been successfully challenged • Describe the present state of political competition in Mexico • Identify the major public policy challenges facing Mexico and the reasons those issues are challenging • Assess the role of the U.S.–Mexican relationship on Mexican politics and policy making A Potentially Devastating Crisis? • As of 2009, Mexico faces a host of problems that impact how effectively the state can govern: – The economic crisis • • – – 40% of gross income comes from oil 2nd largest foreign income source is remittances from Mexicans living in the U.S. The war on drugs Paralyzed government Thinking about Mexico The Basics • Poverty – Not as poor as most less-developed countries – For the past 20 years stagnation has been the norm – Continued poverty: Lack of access to safe drinking water, lack of adequate housing and healthcare – Cities are overcrowded – Massive debt Thinking about Mexico The Basics • Diversity – Rugged country – 12% of land is arable – Minerals and petroleum – Variety of ethnic heritages • – – Mestizos 5% to 10% speak native languages Indian influence more noticeable than in the United States Thinking about Mexico The Basics • Big brother is watching – U.S.–Mexican relationship – Economic interdependence – Mexican immigration to the U.S. • • – – As many as 9 million Mexicans living in the United States $9 billion goes back to Mexico Cross border drug traffic “Dependent psychology” Thinking about Mexico Key Questions • Why did the PRI win so consistently and stay in power for so long? • How and why did forces undermining PRI rule emerge, culminating in the PAN’s victories in the last two presidential elections? • Why did 3 successive presidents embrace structural adjustment? • How have those economic reforms addressed Mexico’s poverty and other needs? • How have events of the past two decades affected the Mexico–U.S. relationship? The Evolution of Mexican Politics The Colonial Era • 1,000 years ago Mayan civilianization which gave way to the Aztecs – • Spanish incorporated native population into an elaborate hierarchy – • Exploitative mercantilist empire Catholic Church owned 1/3 of the country and forced Catholicism – • Elaborate system of courts, tax collectors, and political-military administrators Haciendas Spanish not effective colonial leaders and were never able to secure rule throughout the country The Evolution of Mexican Politics Independence • Independence battles began in 1810 • A century of civil war, invasion, and chaos followed – • • • Social and economic problems festered Santa Anna and loss of territory to the U.S. Intervention of Europeans in 1864 Stable, military dictatorship under Porfirio Diaz (1876–1911) – – – – Non-reelection Foreign investment Modern economic infrastructure Rurales The Evolution of Mexican Politics The Revolution • Populist rebels, labor unions, and upper-class liberals led 1911 revolution – – – – Zapata, Villa, Madero, and Carranza Wilson administration interference 1914 1.5 million deaths in the countryside 1916 Carranza defeated Zapata and Villa and occupied Mexico City The Evolution of Mexican Politics The Revolution • Institutionalizing the revolution – Constitution of 1917 has survived • • • – Power of church limited Foreigners no longer allowed to own Mexican land or mineral resources Legalization of the break up of haciendas Political turmoil led to establishment of what would become the PRI and the PRI system in 1929 • • • Single-party control access to political office, various groups within the party would win some of them No president could serve more than six years President would select successor The Evolution of Mexican Politics Cárdenas and His Legacy • Land reform • Nationalization of oil industry (PEMEX) • PRI established “Confederation of Mexican Workers” and two peasant organizations • Retired after sexeño ended • Reforms did little to eliminate poverty The Evolution of Mexican Politics An Institutional Revolutionary Party • Revolution was “institutionalized” • Eleven presidents since 1940 – – – – – – – Alemanista model—industrialization/trickle-down theory, state ownership of a few industries and state control over private sector All presidents repressed opposition to PRI rule Under Portillo Alemanista model collapsed when debt skyrocketed IMF and conditions De la Madrid—spoke of democratic and market reforms, only made progress with the latter 1997 Congressional election—end of a political era 200 elections—lost the presidency The Evolution of Mexican Politics An Institutional Revolutionary Party • Stability and continuity resulted from PRI’s hold on power • Social reform became less important • Elitist governance • Corruption and rigged elections • State-run economy faltered as globalization grew Political Culture • Only third-world country included in Gabriel Almond and Sidney Verba’s path-breaking study National identity a powerful force in sustaining PRI rule • - - • Widespread legitimacy - • • • Social and economic changes eroded some of these values Common language, mass culture, history, and religion Revolutionary figures viewed as heroes Revolution is used to describe anything positive Authoritarianism and charismatic leadership Male-dominated political system Patron-client relations; camarillas as PRI base Political Culture • Political sub-cultures (using Almond and Verba’s typology) - - Parochials: Indians not well integrated into Mexican system Subjects: Majority who tolerate the system (elderly, poor, women, peasant farmers) PRI participants: Beneficiaries of the party and its dominance Emerging anti-PRI subculture Political Participation • • • • • • • Basic freedoms of liberal democracy Everyone 18 and older has the right to vote Open and heated press Human rights violations PRI usually did not have to rely on the use of force to keep opponents out of office Election fraud Little opportunity for political dissent Political Participation The PRI and its Hold on Power • Rigged elections when necessary • Organized around a network of camarillas (patron-client networks) • Control of Federal Electoral Commission • Electoral victories legitimized PRI rule • Opposition of late 1980’s • 1990’s reforms – Independent Federal Electoral Institute Political Participation The PRI and its Hold on Power • Corporatism was mutually beneficial to party and members – PRI associations – Provided tangible benefits to group members – Tied peasants and workers to regime to control protest – Groups were recruiting ground for leadership – Control eroded with market-oriented policies and as civil society expanded Political Participation The PRI and its Hold on Power • 21st century – – – Fined $92 million for illegal campaign practices Declining base of support Surprising recovery in 2009 legislative elections Political Participation The Other Parties • PAN – Formed in 1939 to oppose Cárdenas’s reforms – Backed by business and Catholic interests, gained support from President Reagan – Strongest in North and wealthy urban areas – First success in 1983 local elections – Quarter of the vote in 1994 and 1997, breakthrough in 2000 – Fox’s leadership galvanized party energies – Electoral reforms paved the way for successes – 2006 PRD accused PAN of electoral fraud; courts declared Calderon the winner Political Participation The Other Parties • PRD – Left-wing of PRI broke away to form party in 1986 – PRD lost in 1988 because of electoral fraud – Leadership of Cuautémoc Cárdenas was key attraction – PRD holds balance of power in legislature – Controls a number of cities – Obrador Political Participation Civil Society in Mexico • Unlikely to return to corporatist, camarilla-based PRI dominance • Emergence of civil society – Women’s movement The Mexican State • • • No changes in state structure United States and Mexican governments similar on paper Semi-authoritarian, one-party state until recently due to informal arrangements The Mexican State Non-reelection and Presidential Domination • Key features of Mexican state • President appoints all bureaucratic and judicial positions—a whole new team every term • Mexican president far more powerful than U.S. – – – • Initiates legislation Issue decrees Transfer funds and authorize expenditures Cycle of presidency – – – First year/year and a half—assemble team Next few years—implement policy Last few years—plan for succession The Mexican State Non-reelection and Presidential Domination • All three major parties now hold primaries • Post-1999 primary elections to choose presidential candidates have changed process, but not power of office • PAN presidents have struggled with legislature for power FIGURE 16-1 Traditional Decision Making in Mexico The Mexican State The Cabinet, the Bureaucracy and the Judiciary • Bureaucracy was part of PRI machine • Massive appointment powers meant nearly everyone in government owed jobs to someone above them (Camarilla networks) • Bureaucracy manned by political appointees from top to bottom • Tremendous turnover, hard to develop expertise • Without the PRI organization, Fox had difficulty filling positions; many bureaucrats remained in place • Supreme court has unused power of judicial review • More court independence since 1990s The Mexican State Congress and the Legislative Process • Rubber stamp for PRI policies • Non-reelection guaranteed policy inexpertise • Prior to 1997 worked like a parliamentary system • Gridlock since ’97 because of a lack of majority • No tradition of compromise decision making The Mexican State The Federal System • 31 states plus federal district, local municipalities • Most state and local governments still dominated by PRI • PAN and PRD have won more and more elections in last decade The Mexican State The Military • Repeatedly intervened in Mexican politics into the 20th century • Has been depoliticized • High-ranking officers close to drug cartels, although police force is much more deeply involved • In 2008 and 2009 military took over on law enforcement for war on drugs The Mexican State Corporatism and Corruption • Spoils system • Mismanagement of public enterprises • Recent presidents have tried to crack down The Mexican State The Fox Presidency: An Assessment • Critics felt he was not an effective leader, especially dealing with the opposition • Supporters cite problems beyond his control • Struggled through first real political change since 1920’s • Fox and his team were not good at negotiating and bargaining • Mexico could become a failed state Public Policy Debt and Development: Early Success of State-Sponsored Industrialization • Mexican model of stable development gone with decline in oil prices in 1980’s • 1940’s development aided by wartime demand for goods – – Did not take over company for ideological reasons Privately-owned companies integrated in corporate system • • • Economic growth of 6% a year 1940–80 Social justice issues ignored Income distribution unequal • Traffic and pollution Public Policy Debt and Development: Ongoing Crisis • Mismanagement of state industries • Debt crisis • Drawn into global economy • Portillo’s assumption that oil prices would remain high, but prices declined – – – Nationalized banks Earthquake Price of oil fell even more Public Policy Reform • Mexico adopted structural adjustment earlier and more wholeheartedly than other developing countries • Debt reduction • Sharp cuts in government spending – • Kept deficit low, social services cut Privatization – – • Over 1,100 parastatals in ’85; 100 in 2009 Retains control of PEMEX Opening up the economy to foreign investment – 1994 NAFTA—all trade barriers eliminated by 2010 – Wages are 1/8 of those in the U.S. Public Policy Reform • Inflation down; growth rates respectable • More visible middle class • Real wages down • Under or unemployment 40% • Malnutrition • Income distribution more unequal • No significant policy changes under PAN • Losing control of its own economy and development to foreign investors Public Policy U.S.–Mexican Relations: Immigration and Drugs • U.S. rarely dictates policy, but Mexico follows because of its wealth and size • Recent relations peaceful and cooperative, but historical conflicts • Unequal relationship • Four key themes of foreign policy – – – – PRI rhetoric nationalistic Estrada Doctrine 1930 Left-wing foreign policy Wariness regarding the United States Public Policy U.S.–Mexican relations: Immigration and Drugs • During times of economic expansion immigration policies loosened • Times of high unemployment U.S. force immigrants out again • Four major crackdowns: 1947, 1954, 1964, and 1986 – • 2007 Immigration reform bill failed, as of summer 2009 Obama has not introduced any reforms U.S. fears about cost of social services and “dilution” of culture Mexicans point out • • – – – • 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act They work in jobs Americans don’t want U.S. has never fully acknowledged the benefits of immigration U.S. does not address discrimination against Mexicans Remittances are important in Mexico Public Policy U.S.–Mexican Relations: Immigration and Drugs • Many of the drugs Americans consume come from Mexico – – • • Marijuana generates more money in some states than legal crops 70% of Colombian and Peruvian cocaine crosses Mexican border into U.S. Drug trade amounts to $2 billion in additional income for Mexicans DEA operates inside Mexican territory Feedback • Media ostensibly free of government control The mass-market press rarely took on the PRI • – – • • PRI papers with information Occasionally government clamped down Number of independent outlets growing More media not controlled by government Mexico and the Third World • • Erosion of national sovereignty Globalization and proximity to the U.S. are main causes