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Investment Introduction to the Loanable Funds Market Investment • Investment (I) is a volatile component of GDP – Changes with level of interest rates • Investment has 3 subcomponents: – New capital expenditure by firms – New housing expenditure by households – Net inventories Investment Investment is fixed At a given level of interest rate Includes: Firm builds new plants Orders more machines/supplies Raises/lowers inventories Interest Rate Autonomous Investment Id $ Investment GDP Deriving Savings • GDP is both total income & total expenditure: Y = C + I + G + NX • Assume a closed economy – (does not engage in foreign trade) Y=C+I+G • Subtract C & G from both sides: Y–C–G=I Derived Savings continued.. • New Equation: Y–C–G=I {---------------} • This equals total income after paying for C & G • Y – C – G is known as Savings (S) – the equation can be written as: (what you don’t spend, you save) S=I • For the economy as a whole, savings must equal investment: Savings = Investment National, Private & Public • National Saving – Income that remains after paying for C + G – Equals Y – C – G • Private Saving – Income that households have left after taxes & consumption – Equals Y – T – C (T=Taxes) – Public Saving – Amount of tax revenue government has left after spending – Equals T – G (T=Taxes) LOANABLE FUNDS • Financial markets coordinate the economy’s saving & investment in the market for loanable funds • Supply of loanable funds: – Sum of private & public savings • Demand for loanable funds: – households or firms that wish to invest Loanable Funds Real Supply Interest Rate Sum of Public & Private Savings 5% Demand Investment Demand 0 $1,200 Loanable Funds (in billions of dollars) Real Interest Rate • The price of the loan in real terms (r) – amount borrowers pay for loans & lenders receive on savings • If real return on investment is > r, then make investment Government Policies • Gov’t Policies greatly affect Saving & Investment • Gov’t Incentives: – Taxes on savings – Taxes on investment • Size of Gov’t budget deficits or surplus Example: Saving Incentives • A tax decrease on savings • Result: increases the incentive for households to save at any given interest rate – Supply of loanable funds curve shifts right – Equilibrium interest rate decreases – Quantity demanded for loanable funds increases Changing Saving Incentives Real Interest Rate Supply, S1 S2 Tax incentives for saving increase the supply of loanable funds . . . 5% 4% 2. . . . which reduces the equilibrium interest rate . . . Demand 0 $1,200 $1,600 3. . . . and raises the equilibrium quantity of loanable funds. Loanable Funds (in billions of dollars) Example: Investing Incentives • A tax credit on investing – will increase the incentive to invest: Real Interest Rate ------------------------------- E1 ------------------------------ i1 S1 Demand Increases Interest Rates rise Q1 D1 D2 Qty Loanable Funds Worksheet