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True or False • It is the responsibility of our Federal government to ensure economic stability. • TRUE! Fiscal Policy Toolbox • What tools does the government have to regulate the economy? • Tax policies • Spending programs • Who implements fiscal policy? • President/Congress Taxes/ spending Washington D.C. Washington D.C. Statuary Hall Capitol Rotunda White House White House Backyard I’m arriving for an economic summit meeting with the Pres Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial definitely our tallest president Jefferson Memorial Jefferson Memorial World War II Memorial Vietnam War Memorial The Wall OUR MADCAP CONGRESS MORE PORK (Pork Barrels) TO PONDER A FEW RECENT EXAMPLES • $224 million to build a bridge in Alaska for about 8,200 people • $2.5 million to a rancher in New Mexico NOT to develop a parcel of his land • $200,000 to Ocean Spray to market white cranberry juice in Great Britain • $12 million for a swine research center (true pork spending) • $1 million for the National Flag Foundation in Pittsburgh. Its purpose is to inspire young people to have more respect for the flag A lot of little piggies went to market • $1.2 million for Aluetian Pribilof Church repairs • $250,000 for onion research in Georgia • Market Access Program (MAP) helps pay advertising costs for exporters of fruits and veggies ($68m a year) • $1.2 m to study the breeding habits of the woodchuck • $84,000 on a study to find out why people fall in love Bringing home the bacon (a Congressman’s district) • $144,000 to see if pigeons follow human economic laws • $219,000 to teach college students how to watch television • $160,000 to study if you can hex an opponent by drawing an X on his chest • $100,000 to study how to avoid falling spacecraft • $500,000 to build a replica of the Great Pyramid in Indiana • Funds to study why people are polite at bowling alleys but rude on tennis courts “the law of demand says…” 3 Types of Federal Budgets (a comparison of revenue and spending) 1. Balanced Budget Revenue and Spending are equal 2. Surplus Budget Revenue is greater than Spending 3. Deficit Budget Revenue is less than Spending • Budget Explorer: The Complete US Federal Budget • Budget of the United States Government: Browse Fiscal Year 2008 • U.S. National Debt Fiscal Policy and the Federal Budget II. Fiscal Policy to get us out of a recession a. Decrease taxes b. Increase government spending c. Moves the budget towards a deficit budget III. Fiscal Policy and Inflation a. Increase Taxes b. Reduce Government Spending c. This will move the federal budget towards a surplus budget Demand-Side Fiscal Policy • Father of Fiscal Policy • John Maynard Keynes • Cut taxes & increase Govt spending during a recession= Expansionary Fiscal Policy • Increase taxes & decrease spending to fight Inflation= Contractionary Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy and the AD-AS Model • Expansionary Fiscal Policy –Increased Government Spending –Tax Reductions –Some Combination of the Two • Budget Deficit STOP HERE Fiscal Policy and the AD-AS Model Expansionary Fiscal Policy Full $20 Billion Increase in Aggregate Demand Price Level $5 Billion Additional Spending AS Recessions Decrease Aggregate Demand P1 AD1 AD2 $490 $510 Real Domestic Output, GDP Fiscal Policy and the AD-AS Model • Contractionary Fiscal Policy –Decreased Government Spending –Increased Taxes –Some Combination of the Two • Budget Surplus • Policy Options: G or T? G 11.1 Fiscal Policy and the AD-AS Model Contractionary Fiscal Policy Recessions Decrease Aggregate Demand $5 Billion Initial Decrease In Spending Price Level AS Full $20 Billion Decrease in Aggregate Demand P1 AD4 AD3 $510 $522 Real Domestic Output, GDP Federal Deficits and Surpluses – 1990 - 2005 as a Percentage of Potential GDP Recent U.S. Fiscal Policy (1) Year (2) Actual Deficit (-) or Surplus (+) (3) Standardized Deficit (-) or Surplus (+) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -3.9% -4.4% -4.5% -3.8% -2.9% -2.2% -1.4% -0.3% +0.8% +1.4% +2.5% +1.3% -1.5% -3.4% -3.5% -2.6% -2.2% -2.5% -2.9% -2.9% -2.1% -2.0% -1.2% -1.0% -0.4% +0.1% +1.1% +1.1% -1.1% -2.7% -2.4% -1.8% Source: Congressional Budget Office