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Class of March 9 • Debrief of budget simulation • Debrief on Ontario Throne Speech and federal Throne Speech and budget • Student presentation on Service Canada website • Managing information technology and new media in government Debrief of Budget Simulation • The outcome: -- LCBO partial privatization: $1.5 B (50%) -- user fees (mainly hydro): $ 541 M (18%) -- budget cuts (health, education, MTO biggest, $ 22 M admin.): $ 939 M (32%) • Conclusion: budget cuts are painful, especially for a Liberal government, so try to increase revenue first Premier and Chief of Staff Smart Practices • • • • • • • • • • • Meeting management: send out agenda and context message in advance Room logistics: blinds down, place cards, effective Powerpoint State of Nation discussion while ministers arriving No daylight between Premier and minister of finance at meeting Premier sometimes flexible (rationalization of school buses) Take straw votes Focus on key issues (biggest proposed cuts) rather than every proposal (especially the small ones) Need not go department-by-department Make tradeoffs among departments Premier reserves right to final decision Set clear priorities in final decisions Minister and DM of Finance Smart Practices • Establish criteria (speedy implementation, fit with priorities, political impact, redundancy, consistency) • Do your homework, i.e. checking proposals carefully and looking for alternative sources of information • Analysis: look for supporting information, challenge departmental calculations Spending Department Smart Practices • Go carefully through the estimates and supporting material • Look for questionable programs (ROOF at Municipal Affairs and Housing) • Look for pilot savings (school bus merger in Peterborough area) that could be applied to the whole department • If you believe strongly in your department’s programs and their consistency with government priorities, offer only minimal cuts • “Musical ride cuts” -- merger of public and Catholic school boards? -- children’s programs: healthy babies, early learning, children with disabilities, children at risk, Ontario child benefit • PIMBY syndrome: Windsor –Essex Parkway, Thunder Bay courthouse • Be bold in user fee proposals • Summarize your proposals at start or end • Show references Ontario Throne Speech • • • • • • • • Attempts to be inspirational and uplifting, not detailed Big theme: Open Ontario (5 year) Plan “the world needs Ontario” Export clean water technology Develop chromite mining in North Expand post-secondary education, esp. foreign students Ontario Online institute Contain growing health care cost through patient choice (money will follow patient) and health care provider accountability Ontario Throne Speech • Plan to balance budget • Will not cut too much, too soon • Government plans to reduce its own size by 5 % • Welcomes federal decision not to reduce transfer payments • Details will be in the budget (March 25?) Federal Budget 2010 $ billions 2009-10 2010-11 2011-2012 Revenue 214 231 249 Program expense 238 249 241 Debt charges 30 31 35 Total expense 268 280 276 (deficit) (54) (49) (28) Total federal debt 518 567 594 Debt/GDP 34 % 35 % 35 % Average Private Sector Forecast (Budget Assumptions) Item 2010 2011 2012 Real GDP growth 2.6 % 3.2 % 3.0 % US real GDP growth 2.7 % 3.0 % 3.4 % Cdn unemp. rate 8.5 % 7.9 % 7.4 % Consumer price inflation 1.7 % 2.2 % 2.1 % Cdn dollar (cents US) 95.5 98.3 97.7 Second and Final Year of Economic Action Plan • • • • • • • • • • $19 billion stimulus $3.2 billion personal income tax cuts $1.6 B unemployment benefits $ 1 B training programs $7.7 B infrastructure and housing $ 1.9 B post-secondary education (infrastructure, research) New: Cdn Youth Business Foundation ($10 M) New: Pathways to Education ($20M) New: First Nations Education ($30M) New: post-docs, over 5 years ($ 45M) Strategy to Return to Balanced Budgets (by 2014-15) • Complete Economic Action Plan Stimulus in 2010-11 • No new taxes (user fees?) • No cuts in transfers to individuals (Employment Insurance, Canada Pension Plan, Universal Child Care Benefit) • No cuts in transfers to provinces (funding for health, social services, equalization) • Depend on economic growth to increase revenues and reduce transfers Cost-Cutting in Government • In 2010-11 no increase in departmental budgets despite prior commitment to increase salaries by 1.5 % • Freeze departmental budgets at 2010-11 levels in 2011-12 and 2012-13 => 0 salary increases (tough bargaining), eat inflation • Review of departmental programs to identify 5 % savings (low priority) but no internal reallocation of savings • Review of administrative operations to identify savings and improve service delivery (use of information technology, shared services, contracting out, rental of office space) Managing Information Technology in Government • Based on Borins et al, Digital State at the Leading Edge (www.digitalstate.org), from 2000 to 2005 (not required) and Borins, Digital State 2.0 from 2006 to 2009 (on website). • IT provides a new channel of interaction between government and society (campaigning and voting, policy discussion and lobbying, service delivery, procurement) • Channel choice: use of the e-channel will depend on convenience and cost relative to other channels • Cost versus visibility a consideration for the government • Demographic factor: younger Canadians have strong preference for the e-channel, older and low-income Canadians have less access to e-channel IT and Collaboration • IT facilitates collaboration within government • Integrated front-line service delivery (e.g. Service Canada, Service Ontario) • Shared internal services and procurement intended to reduce cost • Collaborative policy development often using shared data bases (homelessness and urban poverty; security, foreign policy, trade, and development) IT Procurement • Procurement of complex specialized software systems (complex, asset specific, few bidders) • High probabilities of project problems (recent example Ontario eHealth) • Skilled IT workers in short supply, widespread use of expensive consultants • Commodification of some aspects of technology (e.g. basic hardware) Digital Leadership • Tech-savvy politicians: start with campaigning, then bring their skills to governing (Barack Obama) • Front-line digital leaders (younger employees at the leading edge, hired for new media positions) • Corporate and departmental chief information officers (keep the electronic plumbing working, e.g. virus protection, manage procurement and IT workers) Evolution During the Last Four Years Online politics • Most politicians, especially younger ones, on CrackBerries Obama campaign and presidency leading edge • Rally registration => email list of 13 million • Online fundraising => 50% of $750M US • Mybarackobama.com: tools for activist supporters • WhiteHouse.gov de facto consultation portal • Recovery.gov: tool for tracking implementation • Use of video, especially on YouTube (Saturday morning presidential address) Canadian Politics Online • Websites used for media relations, showing ads, attacks on other parties, humanizing the leader • Federal Conservatives’ “my campaign” • Vetting of candidates’ digital footprints • Gaffes shown on YouTube • Blogs by leaders and activists (“blogging Tories”) • Advocacy groups using Facebook and YouTube: copyright law, strategic voting in federal election campaign, Ontario referendum, Ontario motor vehicle licensing for new drivers Government Home Pages • • • • Lots of political content Colour palette: red (Liberals) or blue (Cons.) News stories about first minister front and centre Buttons for advocacy sites about government priorities (speech from throne, budget, Economic Action Plan, Olympics, Haiti relief, H1N1, armed forces recruiting) • Netiquette with public service about political use of government websites Web 2.0 • Citizen use of popular web 2.0 social networking sites for policy discussion and advocacy (e.g. Facebook, Twitter) • How does government respond to 15,000 wall posts on Facebook about motor vehicle licensing ? • Some departments embrace social networking, others ignore it • Development of internal wikis for practitioners • US initiative to make government data available to users, developers (data.gov) => use of public data for economic development Online Service Delivery • Considerable increase in use of e-channel, but complementing not displacing traditional channels • Service Canada consolidating back rooms (e.g. call centres), developing agreements with provinces to integrate specific services • Service Canada still part of HRSDC, not an independent department • Possible delivery of service over social network portals chosen by user (depends on government making available content, especially data) Class of March 16 Crisis Management Simulation (no advance preparation required, but read Blakeney and Borins chapter 17, Goldenberg prologue and chapter 16) Examples of political communication: • Pierre Trudeau informal interview • Stephane Dion interview • John Tory ambushed by two little old ladies Crisis Management and Communications in Government