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Chapter 1 Introduction Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 1 Topics • • • • What is macroeconomics? GDP, economic growth, business cycles. Macroeconomic models. Understanding recent and current macroeconomic events. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-2 What is Macroeconomics? • Models built to explain macroeconomic phenomena. • The important phenomena are long-run growth and business cycles. • Approach in this book is to build up macroeconomic analysis from microeconomic principles. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-3 Gross Domestic Product, Economic Growth, and Business Cycles • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): the quantity of goods and services produced within a country’s borders over a particular period of time. • The time series of GDP can be separated into trend and business cycle components Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-4 Figure 1.1 Per Capita Real GDP (in 2000 dollars) for the United States, 1900–2005 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-5 Figure 1.2 Natural Logarithm of Per Capita Real GDP Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-6 Figure 1.3 Natural Logarithm of Per Capita Real GDP and Trend Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-7 Figure 1.4 Percentage Deviations from Trend in Per Capita Real GDP Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-8 Macroeconomic Models • A macroeconomic model captures the essential features of the world needed to analyze a particular macroeconomic problem. • Macroeconomic models should be simple, but they need not be realistic. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-9 Basic Structure of a Macroeconomic Model • • • • • Consumers and firms The set of goods that consumers consume Consumers’ preferences The production technology Resources available Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-10 Understanding Recent and Current Macroeconomic Events • Aggregate productivity • Taxes, Government Spending and the Government Deficit • Interest Rates • Business Cycles in the United States • The Current Account Surplus and the Government Surplus • Inflation • Unemployment Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-11 Figure 1.5 Natural Logarithm of Average Labor Productivity Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-12 Figure 1.6 Total Taxes (black line) and Total Government Spending (colored line) in the United States, as Percentages of GDP Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-13 Figure 1.7 The Total Government Surplus in the United States as a Percentage of GDP Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-14 Figure 1.8 The Nominal Interest Rate and the Inflation Rate Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-15 Figure 1.9 Real Interest Rate Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-16 Figure 1.10 Percentage Deviation from Trend in Real GDP, 1947–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-17 Figure 1.11 Exports and Imports of Goods and Services for the United States as Percentages of GDP Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-18 Figure 1.12 The Current Account Surplus and the Government Surplus, 1960–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-19 Figure 1.13 The Inflation Rate and the Money Growth Rate Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-20 Figure 1.14 The Unemployment Rate in the United States, 1948–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-21 Figure 1.15 Deviations from Trend in the Unemployment Rate (black line) and Percentage Deviations from Trend in Real GDP (colored line) Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-22