Download GDP deflator

© 2007 Thomson South-Western
Measuring a Nation’s Income
Microeconomics is the study of how
individual households and firms make
decisions and how they interact with one
another in markets.
Macroeconomics is the study of the
economy as a whole. Its goal is to explain
the economic changes that affect many
households, firms, and markets at the
same time.
1
Measuring a Nation’s Income
Macroeconomics answers questions like the
following:



Why is average income high in some countries
and low in others?
Why is inflation high in some countries and low
in others? Why was inflation in Turkey above
40% in most of 1980s and 1990s?
Why do production and employment grow in
some years and contract in others?
2
THE ECONOMY’S INCOME AND
EXPENDITURE

When judging whether the economy is doing
well or poorly, it is natural to look at the total
income that everyone in the economy is
earning.
3
3
THE ECONOMY’S INCOME AND
EXPENDITURE

For an economy as a whole, total income
must equal total expenditure because:
–
–
Every transaction has a buyer and a seller.
Every dollar of spending (expenditure) by some
buyer is a dollar of income for some seller.
4
4
THE MEASUREMENT OF GROSS
DOMESTIC PRODUCT

The equality of income and expenditure can be
illustrated with the circular-flow diagram.
5
5
Figure 1 The Circular-Flow Diagram
MARKETS
FOR
GOODS AND SERVICES
•Firms sell
Goods
•Households buy
and services
sold
Revenue
Wages, rent,
and profit
Goods and
services
bought
HOUSEHOLDS
•Buy and consume
goods and services
•Own and sell factors
of production
FIRMS
•Produce and sell
goods and services
•Hire and use factors
of production
Factors of
production
Spending
MARKETS
FOR
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
•Households sell
•Firms buy
Labor, land,
and capital
Income
= Flow of inputs
and outputs
= Flow of dollars
© 2007 Thomson South-Western
THE MEASUREMENT OF GROSS
DOMESTIC PRODUCT


7
Gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure
of the income and expenditures of an
economy.
GDP is the total market value of all final
goods and services produced within a
country in a given period of time.
7
THE MEASUREMENT OF GROSS
DOMESTIC PRODUCT

“GDP is the Market Value . . .”
–

“. . . Of All. . .”
–

It records only the value of final goods, not intermediate
goods (the value is counted only once).
“. . . Goods and Services . . .”
–
8
Includes all items produced in the economy and legally sold
in markets. (underground economy in Turkey?)
“. . . Final . . .”
–

Output is valued at market prices.
It includes both tangible goods (food, clothing, cars) and
intangible services (haircuts, housecleaning, doctor visits).
THE MEASUREMENT OF GROSS
DOMESTIC PRODUCT

“. . . Produced . . .”
–

“ . . . Within a Country . . .”
–

It measures the value of production within the geographic
confines of a country.
“. . . In a Given Period of Time.”
–
9
It includes goods and services currently produced, not
transactions involving goods produced in the past. When a
used car is sold, GDP does not increase.
It measures the value of production that takes place within a
specific interval of time, usually a year or a quarter (three
months).
THE COMPONENTS OF GDP


GDP includes all items produced in the
economy and sold legally in markets.
What Is Not Counted in GDP?
–
–
10
GDP excludes most items that are produced and
consumed at home and that never enter the
marketplace.
It excludes items produced and sold illicitly, such
as illegal drugs. Or the underground, unrecorded
transactions & activities.
THE COMPONENTS OF GDP
GDP (Y) is the sum of the following:




Consumption (C)
Investment (I)
Government Purchases (G)
Net Exports (NX)
Y = C + I + G + NX
11
11
THE COMPONENTS OF GDP
 Consumption (C):
• The spending by households on goods and
services, with the exception of purchases of new
housing.
 Investment (I):
• The spending on capital equipment, inventories,
and structures, including new housing.
12
12
THE COMPONENTS OF GDP

Government Purchases (G):
–
–

The spending on goods and services by
municipalities and government agencies. Roads,
schools, hospitals, wages of govt. employees, etc.
Does not include transfer payments because they
are not made in exchange for currently produced
goods or services. Ex: Social security.
Net Exports (NX):
–
Exports minus imports.
13
13
Table 1 US 2004 GDP and Its
Components
14
US GDP and Its Components (2004)
Government Purchases
19%
Net Exports
Investment
-5 %
16%
Consumption
70%
© 2007 Thomson South-Western
REAL VERSUS NOMINAL GDP


Nominal GDP values the production of goods
and services at current prices.
Real GDP values the production of goods
and services at constant prices.
16
16
REAL VERSUS NOMINAL GDP

An accurate view of the economy requires
adjusting nominal to real GDP by using the
GDP deflator.
17
17
Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP
18
Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP
19
Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP
20
The GDP Deflator


21
The GDP deflator is a measure of the price
level calculated as the ratio of nominal GDP
to real GDP times 100.
It tells us what portion of the increase in
nominal GDP that is because of inflation
rather than an increase in the quantities
produced.
The GDP Deflator

The GDP deflator is calculated as follows:
Nominal GDP
GDP deflator =
 100
Real GDP
22
The GDP Deflator

Nominal GDP is converted to real GDP as
follows:
Real GDP20XX
23
Nominal GDP20XX

 100
GDP deflator20XX
Table 2 Real and Nominal GDP
24
Inflation based on GDP Deflator


25
2005-2006 inflation: 71%
2006 – 2007 inflation: ~40%
Figure 2 Real GDP in the United States
Billions of
2000 Dollars
$10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
© 2007 Thomson South-Western
IS GDP A GOOD MEASURE OF
ECONOMIC WELL-BEING?




27
GDP is the best single measure of the
economic well-being of a society.
GDP per person tells us the income and
expenditure of the average person in the
economy.
Higher GDP per person indicates a higher
standard of living.
GDP is not a perfect measure of the
happiness or quality of life, however.
GDP AND ECONOMIC
WELL-BEING

Some things that contribute to well-being are
not included in GDP.
–
–
–
–
28
Income distribution.
The value of leisure.
The value of a clean environment.
The value of almost all activity that takes place
outside of markets, such as the value of the time
parents spend with their children and the value of
volunteer work.
28
Table 3 GDP and the Quality of Life
29