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ECONOMICS Johnson Hsu July 2014 The global economy 1. Macroeconomic performance 2. Trade and integration 3. Development and sustainability 4. The economics of globalisation Poverty When income is below the level that would allow someone to enjoy some agreed minimum standard of living. The World Bank defines ‘extreme poverty’ as living on less that US$1 per day and ‘moderate poverty’ as living on less than US$2 per day Poverty Poverty Economic development The process of improving people’s economic well-being and quality of life is the sustained, concerted actions of policy makers and communities that promote the standard of living and economic health of a specific area. Economic development can also be referred to as the quantitative and qualitative changes in the economy. Such actions can involve multiple areas including development of human capital, infrastructure, regional competitiveness, environmental sustainability, social inclusion, health, safety, literacy, and other initiatives. Economic development differs from economic growth. Whereas economic development is a policy intervention endeavor with aims of economic and social well-being of people, economic growth is a phenomenon of market productivity and rise in GDP. Economic development typically involves improvements in a variety of indicators literacy rates life expectancy poverty rates. Poorer countries suffering disadvantages While it is true that free trade encourages globalization among countries, some countries try to protect their domestic suppliers. The main export of poorer countries is usually agricultural productions. Larger countries often subsidise their farmers (e.g., the EU's Common Agricultural Policy), which lowers the market price for foreign crops. The process of development must seek to achieve An increase in the availability and distribution of basic life-sustaining goods, such as food, shelter and health An increase in standards of living, which should include higher incomes, more jobs, better education and enabling people and societies to feel a greater sense of worth and self-respect An expansion of the economic and social choices available to people, which frees people from poverty and misery, ignorance and dependence on others The relationship between economic growth and development Economic growth will raise a nation’s total income, but the additional income might be unequally distributed, so that a large number of people see little or no increase in their individual income. In this situation, affluence and poverty could exist alongside each other. Economic growth might deplete natural resources, so that future generations are unable to achieve the same level of income. In this case, economic growth has made future generations worse off. In this way, development cannot be said to have happened and is described as unsustainable. The relationship between economic growth and development ....cont Economics growth might be achieved by the use of capital-intensive methods of production that generate few additional jobs. This growth might be concentrated in a single sector of the economy, such as the oil industry, which has little positive impact for the vast majority of the population. In these scenarios, the nation’s overall income may have increased but unemployment and poverty will have remained high. Economic growth might be achieve by methods that result in high levels of pollution. The environmental damage caused would damage health and reduce levels of living, therefore conflicting with the objectives set out above Low-income countries Countries with a GDP per capita of $905 or less Countries with the largest percentage of people living on $1.25 or less per day Lower middle-income countries Countries with a GDP per capita of $906-$3,595 Upper middle-income countries Countries with a GDP per capita of $3,596-$11,115 High-income countries Countries with a GDP per capita of $11,116 or more 2014 Top 10 Overall Rank 1 2 Ireland Finland 3 4 5 6 Switzerland Netherlands New Zealand Sweden 7 8 9 United Kingdom Norway Denmark 10 Belgium The human development index is made up of three components Life expectancy at birth as an indicator of the health of the population and longevity The adult literacy rate and the percentage of the relevant population enrolled in primary, secondary and tertiary education as an indicator of knowledge and education GDP per capita in US$ at PPP as an indicator of the standard of living Medium human development A measure that, recognising limitations of GDP per capita as a measure, combines outcomes that might be valued in the development process: life expectancy at birth; adult literacy rate and percentage of the relevant population enrolled in primary, secondary and tertiary education; and GDP per capita in US$ at PPP Human development index categories High human development Where the HDI is 0.8 and above Medium human development Where the HDI is between 0.5 and 0.8 Lower human development Where the HDI is less than 0.5 Development diamonds Examine the relationship between socioeconomic indicator of development, such as GDP per capita, life expectance at birth, primary school enrolment rates, and access to safe water for an individual country compared with the average for low-income countries. There are six key similarities between developing countries Low living standards Low levels of labour productivity A high rate of population growth An economic structure dominated by primary sector production A high degree of market failure A lack of economic power in international markets and dependence Economist has identified some constraints on development Inequalities in the distribution of income and wealth Inequalities in the distribution of the ownership of land Insufficient and inadequate infrastructure, including electricity, water, communications, ports, roads and rail The lack of financial markets, including banks and stock market Economist has identified some constraints on development ...cont An education system that is insufficient, inadequate and inappropriate, including a neglect of primary education and overallocation of resources to higher education Poor governance corruption and patronage generating elites resistant to change Market failure that distort the allocation of resources and reduce competition Economist has identified some constraints on development ...cont An inability to access international markets because of regional trading blocs such as the EU and NAFTA and the protection of domestic markets by developed countries The policies of international organisation such as the World Bank and the IMF High levels of external debt Four approaches to promoting economic development State ownership, government intervention and import substitution Export promotion Filling the savings gap through international aid The Washington Consensus and the role of markets Foreign aid is any flow of capital to developing countries that meets two criteria Its objective is non-commercial from the point of view of the donor It is characterised by concessionary terms; for example, interest rates lower than the market rate, or longer repayment periods International aid forms Grants Loans Tied aid Bilateral aid Multilateral aid Food aid Three main heading of The Washington Consensus Fiscal discipline the eliminating of budget deficit, limits of government spending and the development of a reliable tax base Market liberalisationand privatisation the ending of government intervention in markets, including the sale of state-owned industries and the end of price controls Trade liberalisationand encouragement of foreign investment the scrapping of tariffs and other protectionist measures, including those that created barriers to foreign investment The objectives to achieve sustainable development Economic objectives of growth tend to focus on making better use of scarce resources so that there is an increase in the goods and services available for households to consume. This requires an increase in the output of the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors of the economy. To be sustainable, however, this growth should also ensure that sufficient resources are allocated to investment in human and physical capital to raise the productive capacity of the economy. In other words, economic growth should concentrate on improving the supply-side performance of the economy The objectives to achieve sustainable development The social objective of growth concern the distribution of the benefits of growth. Certain basic goods and services are needed by all people, in order that their lives are healthy and productive. These might include food, shelter, health and education The objectives to achieve sustainable development The environmental objectives of growth focus on ensuring that future generations do not inherit a stock of natural capital that will reduce their quality of life or reduce their ability to produce goods and services. There are environment concerns associated with current economic growth, both in developed and in developing nations. The millennium ecosystem assessment Water Water withdrawals from rivers and lakes for irrigation, household and industrial use doubled in the last 40 years Human now use between 40 and 50 per cent of the freshwater running off land to which the majority of the population has access The millennium ecosystem assessment Conversion and degradation Since about 1980, approximately 35 per cent of mangroves have been lost, while 20 per cent of the world’s coral reefs have been destroyed and a further 20 per cent badly degraded or destroyed The millennium ecosystem assessment Nutrient use and levels Human activities now produce more nitrogen than is produced by all natural processes combined, and more than half of all the manufactured nitrogen fertilizer ever used on the planet has been applied since 1985 The millennium ecosystem assessment Fisheries At least one quarter of marine fish stocks are overharvested The quantity of fish caught by humans increased until the 1980s but is now declining because of the shortage of stocks Index of sustainable economic welfare An index, first construction in 1989 by two economists, Herman E. Daly and John B. Cobb, that adds to national expenditure things that raise the quality of life and deducts things that reduce well-being. Daly and Cobb added to and refined the measure to produce a ‘Genuine Progress Indicator’ The component parts of the index of sustainable economic welfare ISEW = Total personal consumption Minus Defensive expenditures by the private sector Minus Losses arising from income inequality Minus The costs of environmental degradation Minus Depreciation of natural capital Plus Increase in the stock of man-made capital Plus The value of domestic labour plus Non-defensive expenditure by the public sector